trashedcoast
@trashedcoast.bsky.social
I'm just out here havin' a good one
Own The Libs may not be every faction's top priority, but it's the highest priority that every faction agrees on. Hence, it's the policy goal the GOP converges on. It may look irrational for individuals to not push back as MAGA objectively fails, but that would require them to jettison Own The Libs
December 23, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Own The Libs may not be every faction's top priority, but it's the highest priority that every faction agrees on. Hence, it's the policy goal the GOP converges on. It may look irrational for individuals to not push back as MAGA objectively fails, but that would require them to jettison Own The Libs
The way I square this is to assume the overarching policy goal of the GOP is to Own The Libs. It explains why factions within the GOP are willing to sacrifice their pet interests at the feet of MAGA without much of a fight.
December 23, 2025 at 10:59 PM
The way I square this is to assume the overarching policy goal of the GOP is to Own The Libs. It explains why factions within the GOP are willing to sacrifice their pet interests at the feet of MAGA without much of a fight.
Graeme Wood with back-to-back articles that belong in the Cursed HOF
December 23, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Graeme Wood with back-to-back articles that belong in the Cursed HOF
I will not walk away from the Trump era with a stronger understanding of the Trump worldview. I will walk away from it applying a blanket 50% discount to anything that comes from that world, and my ability to "evaluate likelihood" will be more accurate for it.
December 23, 2025 at 10:37 PM
I will not walk away from the Trump era with a stronger understanding of the Trump worldview. I will walk away from it applying a blanket 50% discount to anything that comes from that world, and my ability to "evaluate likelihood" will be more accurate for it.
I think your pushback on this issue is Good and Important, not trying to imply otherwise.
December 23, 2025 at 10:32 PM
I think your pushback on this issue is Good and Important, not trying to imply otherwise.
One thing I struggle with about Trump stuff in general, is how to evaluate the likelihood of actions that are wildly outside my heuristics or appear flatly irrational. I think we've all been burned by "that can't possibly be true"-thinking in the past, and update how we evaluate things due to that.
December 23, 2025 at 10:32 PM
One thing I struggle with about Trump stuff in general, is how to evaluate the likelihood of actions that are wildly outside my heuristics or appear flatly irrational. I think we've all been burned by "that can't possibly be true"-thinking in the past, and update how we evaluate things due to that.
Might as well get a forehead tattoo that says "I'm extremely naive but also deeply incurious".
December 23, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Might as well get a forehead tattoo that says "I'm extremely naive but also deeply incurious".
This is, genuinely, the type of take that should end a writing career. The kindest interpretation here is that she's incredibly naive, while also not bothering to engage with the real arguments of the side she's arguing against.
December 23, 2025 at 10:09 PM
This is, genuinely, the type of take that should end a writing career. The kindest interpretation here is that she's incredibly naive, while also not bothering to engage with the real arguments of the side she's arguing against.
The Nate Silver test
December 23, 2025 at 9:08 PM
The Nate Silver test
Don't worry everythings been very normal on here lately.
December 23, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Don't worry everythings been very normal on here lately.
@Grok is this true?
December 23, 2025 at 12:58 AM
@Grok is this true?
I try to cultivate a "I'm 2.5 beers deep" mindset on the TL. It's what protects me from Posters Madness.
December 22, 2025 at 12:01 AM
I try to cultivate a "I'm 2.5 beers deep" mindset on the TL. It's what protects me from Posters Madness.
I don't know if this helps at all, but as a more lurker-y type of follower, your presence will be missed.
December 21, 2025 at 8:24 AM
I don't know if this helps at all, but as a more lurker-y type of follower, your presence will be missed.
I'm team Neat!, but I'm not a good role model
December 20, 2025 at 8:51 PM
I'm team Neat!, but I'm not a good role model
To be clear, the reasonable response is both "Neat!" and "Uh oh". Anybody who can't see from both camps isn't really thinking about this stuff.
December 20, 2025 at 8:02 PM
To be clear, the reasonable response is both "Neat!" and "Uh oh". Anybody who can't see from both camps isn't really thinking about this stuff.
But so much of the anti-AI crowd here doesn't really engage with the underlying technology or its implications, which is kind of vital here. It's clear they have a single, hammer-like worldview that they think they can apply to AI to make go away, but that's not gonna work here!
December 20, 2025 at 7:59 PM
But so much of the anti-AI crowd here doesn't really engage with the underlying technology or its implications, which is kind of vital here. It's clear they have a single, hammer-like worldview that they think they can apply to AI to make go away, but that's not gonna work here!
There are only two reasonable reactions to the invention of a tool that lets you build arbitrary mathematical bridges between language and other mediums:
"Neat!"
and
"Uh oh..."
"Neat!"
and
"Uh oh..."
December 20, 2025 at 7:57 PM
There are only two reasonable reactions to the invention of a tool that lets you build arbitrary mathematical bridges between language and other mediums:
"Neat!"
and
"Uh oh..."
"Neat!"
and
"Uh oh..."
Classless activity. I refuse to participate.
December 10, 2025 at 6:07 AM
Classless activity. I refuse to participate.
Oh I'm stupid I misread your first post and you were saying the exact same thing.
December 8, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Oh I'm stupid I misread your first post and you were saying the exact same thing.
And when revenue inevitably does become a concern, it seems optimistic to think that ads and price hikes alone would be enough to cover what's already invested, much less any continued investment between now and then. It doesn't feel like old strategies will work here.
December 8, 2025 at 6:24 PM
And when revenue inevitably does become a concern, it seems optimistic to think that ads and price hikes alone would be enough to cover what's already invested, much less any continued investment between now and then. It doesn't feel like old strategies will work here.
I think the dynamics are slightly different here. AI's $/unit-performance has been decreasing exponentially for years and shows no signs of stopping. As long as that dynamic holds, revenue concerns will take a backseat to growth; at least until we run out of either capital or applications.
December 8, 2025 at 6:22 PM
I think the dynamics are slightly different here. AI's $/unit-performance has been decreasing exponentially for years and shows no signs of stopping. As long as that dynamic holds, revenue concerns will take a backseat to growth; at least until we run out of either capital or applications.
School: "Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years"
Me while there: "Holy shit Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years!"
Me while there: "Holy shit Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years!"
December 8, 2025 at 6:05 PM
School: "Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years"
Me while there: "Holy shit Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years!"
Me while there: "Holy shit Delhi has been the administrative capital of a sub-continent for more than 2000 years!"
I "knew" that India was basically Europe in terms of age and cultural diversity, except bigger and older, but I didn't actually KNOW that until visiting. There are many things I don't know about India but would believe without question.
December 8, 2025 at 6:01 PM
I "knew" that India was basically Europe in terms of age and cultural diversity, except bigger and older, but I didn't actually KNOW that until visiting. There are many things I don't know about India but would believe without question.
Oh wow. Nebraska's atmospheric sciences program was well respected. I guess they just decided to light that on fire?
December 6, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Oh wow. Nebraska's atmospheric sciences program was well respected. I guess they just decided to light that on fire?