A semi solid stem

Im fighting for my farm to be my nonprofits and not be sold to the corps, sucks right now. No one wants to listen to how magical the middle of no where can be

Gotta swath it first

*at

My shot

Man its wind shelf packed a wallop. Powers out, no hail yet

Milo, sudex and millet. Really need to hit it to cashflow this year🫠🙃

That was a do or die shower, thank goodness we scored🙌🏼🔥🌧️☔️

Finally, from STEREO-A imagery, it does look like three separate eruptions. Remember, STEREO-A is looking at the Sun from the west side, so the signatures will not look like halos from STEREO-A's perspective. But you can clearly see the bright fronts of each stacked in close proximity.

Looking at NOAA's recently released run, it seems SWPC might have modeled a two-part eruption. The stronger part being directed slightly eastward of Earth, while the weaker part directed more towards Earth. This is likely why NOAA believes we won't see much of an impact until early July 27.

Now, it looks like NASA chose to model this multi-part eruption as a single storm because the coronagraph signature was so complex. Their model run shows essentially a direct hit early on July 26, circa 0400 UTC.

In actuality, there are multiple partial halos in this complex structure-- one that launches to the east, one more northward, and another structure that launches a bit more southward. I will go over this in more detail in my upcoming forecast.

Now, here is what makes things interesting. These eruptions happened so close together that in coronagraphs they look like a single structure launching to the east side of the Sun, but that is not consistent with the location of the main filament launch, which was west of center disk.

To break things down a bit more simply, here is a detailed animation that shows the scars created by the two bits of the complex eruption that are Earth-directed. These dark scars are highlighted by the ovals and show where the final two bits tore off from the Sun.

Next, early on July 23, the filament near center disk (see arrows) launches slowly. This is the main Earth-directed eruption. Then by mid-afternoon on July 23, Region 4149 finally lets go of the remaining material connected to the filament. It is a three-part process that is deceptively complex.

🚜👩🏼‍🔬🦸🏼‍♀️