James
toner56.bsky.social
James
@toner56.bsky.social
he/him
Nah, it’s likely just randomized so you can see all the data points.

datavizproject.com/data-type/ji...
Jitter Plot | Data Viz Project
A jitter plot is a variant of the strip plot with a better view of overlapping data points, used to visualise the distribution of many individual one-dimensional values. The values are plotted as dots...
datavizproject.com
November 20, 2025 at 1:12 PM
GOP won 60/40 majorities in all of those states in 2010. You think a gerrymander could have held onto all of those chambers? That Dems in office would go for it?

Best case scenario is that just makes the Dems the bad guys, it lasts for one election and then split control undoes it after 2010.
November 19, 2025 at 9:06 PM
I'm saying he has no actual power or mechanism here. He can only yell at state Rs to do it (much like when he yelled at them to steal 2020 election).

Which states had Dem trifectas in 2009 that Obama could bully? Why would Dems bother when everyone would redraw the lines after 2010?
November 19, 2025 at 8:50 PM
"the map was crafted so that every existing GOP district would have voted for Trump by at least 15 percentage points"

Texas Tribune says Dems had a chance to hold onto existing seats, but there was no risk to current GOP districts

www.texastribune.org/2025/07/31/t...
Texas congressional map leaves room for Dems to play defense
The new proposed lines would also prevent few, if any, opportunities for Democrats hoping that an aggressive gerrymander could backfire on Republicans.
www.texastribune.org
November 19, 2025 at 8:44 PM
This isn't true at any level?

Trump doesn't have the power to do it now because states draw districts, and is struggling to convince them (see Indiana).

Where could Obama have put pressure to redistrict?

And if all maps were redrawn after the 2010 census anyway, what's the point?
November 19, 2025 at 8:37 PM
For most of them, it was the first time something bad happened to someone they considered relevant to their lives
November 19, 2025 at 6:23 PM
I don’t think they forged it, because one step was the judge asking for the GJ docs and being surprised when the govt said there weren’t any.

Also, some say indictment text for one charge still references the now removed no-bill charge (aka they didn’t rewrite it) so whole thing is a clusterfuck.
November 19, 2025 at 5:55 PM
The *only* good thing about the current environment is that it's possible for me to directly support the good journalists (like you!) going independent instead of bundling that support with all other facets of a large institution.
It doesn't make up for everything else, but it's something.
November 19, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Yes and no. Some gerrymanders are risky if they make a bunch of +5 seats because those can all be lost in a wave election, but the Texas gerrymander was very resilient.

But it's a bad combo if you piss off voters AND don't gerrymander everyone into a safe seat
November 19, 2025 at 2:46 PM
a man in a car says " the machine knows "
ALT: a man in a car says " the machine knows "
media.tenor.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:56 AM
I do don’t know he styled his show on Pardon The Interruption
November 19, 2025 at 1:30 AM
He did until Adams broke!
November 19, 2025 at 1:20 AM
This is essentially just the first chart minus explosive plays, yes?

Ever looked into what ratio of the two is most predictive of future performance?
November 18, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Are we back to Character-of-the-Day era?!
November 18, 2025 at 8:22 PM
He sure did. But you only know those things if you're paying attention.
November 18, 2025 at 7:53 PM
He said he'd allow exceptions to abortion bans

He said he opposed the Iraq War

He complained that Washington politics was a mess (which is more populist than moderate, but similar)

Overall he said a bunch of non-conservative stuff, and was light on all of the details, and got away with all of it.
November 18, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Nah, he ran as a moderate too. He said lots of things low info voters liked:

He promised to protect Medicare and SS, plus a healthcare plan that would be better than Obamacare

He claimed he would cut taxes and close loopholes in a way that makes the rich (including himself) pay more on net
November 18, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Somewhat related, but I’m always amused by the big Trump billboard on the highway near me that’s been there since 2016 and clearly painted over the still faintly visible P E with a V A so it reads Trump Vance
November 18, 2025 at 12:45 AM
“By inventing the Air Raid offense, Mike Leach killed the future of American soccer by creating a system that allowed undersized but agile WRs like Wes Welker to excel by finding the open space in defenses at mid major programs instead of pursuing a career in soccer. In this essay I will….”
November 18, 2025 at 12:34 AM
It’s fine as long as your OLine moves that mass 1 yard upfield
November 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Even simpler: make birth tourism more accessible and desirable.
perry the platypus says " if i have a nickel for every time "
ALT: perry the platypus says " if i have a nickel for every time "
media.tenor.com
November 18, 2025 at 12:18 AM
#3 is an absurd standard. Germany and Spain can’t even do that
November 18, 2025 at 12:13 AM
…. I had never before considered that DH and Keeper skills 1) overlap, and more importantly 2) are oppositely offensive/defensive
November 17, 2025 at 11:51 PM
More seriously, it’s just another version of the eternal progressive vs centrist Dem battle.

1. If conservative voters in red states, then Dems should run Manchin types as a mod Dem is better than right wing GOP.

2. If voting issues no need to moderate. Purity on abortion, climate, immigration etc
November 17, 2025 at 8:25 PM
People arguing whether red states are red because the people in those states vote conservative, or because voting laws/abuses/etc change the outcome.

All agree it’s Democrats fault for avoiding the hard work of (persuading conservatives to vote for Dems OR ending voting rights abuses)
November 17, 2025 at 8:18 PM