Data on the causes of IDF fatalities since Israel broke the ceasefire show how reliant Hamas is on IEDs, and hence how little offensive capacity it has.

So why has the IDF's method been raid-withdraw-repeat, allowing Hamas to reestablish lethality each time? Analysis in the quoted post.

Translated Ha'aretz chart on IDF fatalities in Gaza over past year. In a month, if no end to the war, we'll see whether June was an anomaly or if Hamas are able to maintain an effective resurgence in lethality. (nb: Even at this level, it seems far from sufficient to deter IDF.)

Israel claims to have a "side letter" - these have often accompanied U.S.-mediated agreements signed by Israel - in which *the Biden administration* legitimates its approach.

Absolutely false, irresponsible framing. The ceasefire has not "expired", it has been killed by Israel, apparently with U.S. backing.

Hamas are factually correct to describe this as "a blatant upending of the agreement.”

We need to understand with absolute clarity what the IDF is, and what it does. It is not capable of exercising self-restraint, and Israel’s “political echelon” has no intention of restraining it. It must be restrained from outside.
www.haaretz.com/opinion/2024...

Israel is running a prison camp at Ofer, which lawyers say routinely administers torture to detainees, including electrocution and beating - in at least one case, to death www.972mag.com/ofer-camp-to...

Bashar al-Asad claims to have, in essence, fled Syria by accident, after going to Russia's Hmeimim airbase for safety, and then evacuating with the troops there.

A video filmed by a friend in Damascus: celebratory gunfire over the early morning skyline as the news of Assad's departure spreads.

Much uncertainty ahead, but for now: a thousand thousand congratulations to Syria and its revolution.

I wrote about Yahya Sinwar: his strengths and flaws, why he initiated the 7 October attacks/Al-Aqsa Flood in the manner that he did, how to judge his legacy today, and what we can learn from comparing him to David Ben Gurion.

zeroline.substack.com/p/the-traged...

Israel has killed more *children* in Gaza since 7 Oct than the total Israeli death toll, civilian and military from Palestinian operations. And they're just getting started.

Also note that Israel disputes only one of 25 alleged strikes on medical facilities.