Tobias Dienlin
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Tobias Dienlin
@tobiasdienlin.com
1.9K followers 650 following 370 posts
Media Psychology & Communication | Privacy & Well-Being | Open Science & Slow Science | IKMZ & University of Zurich | https://tobiasdienlin.com
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Reposted by Tobias Dienlin
dingdingpeng.the100.ci
This slide unfortunately generalizes well 🥲
Slide titled: The non-experimental psych workaround - introduction: relies on a causal reading of the literature - methods & results: implicitly (but never explicitly) causal inference-y - discussion: only makes sense in terms of causality - IMPORTANT: add a paragraph that your study was only observational and no causal conclusions are warranted. future longitudinal or experimental studies will surely fix this problem.
November 11, 2025 at 9:25 AM
tobiasdienlin.com
Application deadline: Dec. 17 2025!
November 10, 2025 at 4:42 AM
tobiasdienlin.com
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.... h/t @malte.the100.ci
Debunking “When Prophecy Fails”
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. When neither arrived, she recanted, her group dissolved, and efforts to proselytize ceased....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 7, 2025 at 8:44 PM
tobiasdienlin.com
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.... h/t @malte.the100.ci
Debunking “When Prophecy Fails”
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. When neither arrived, she recanted, her group dissolved, and efforts to proselytize ceased....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 7, 2025 at 8:41 PM
tobiasdienlin.com
an astronaut is looking at the earth with the words " always has been " above him
ALT: an astronaut is looking at the earth with the words " always has been " above him
media.tenor.com
November 5, 2025 at 4:45 PM
tobiasdienlin.com
I had thought about this before … having this would be so great, and in many ways genuinely European. Let’s hope.
November 5, 2025 at 4:42 PM
tobiasdienlin.com
And here's the study and central figure.

Kratz, F., & Brüderl, J. (2025). Assessing age trajectories (of subjective well-being): Clarifying estimands, identification assumptions, and estimation strategies. European Sociological Review, jcaf038. doi.org/10.1093/esr/...
November 4, 2025 at 7:54 PM
tobiasdienlin.com
I guess preregistering is still not the norm ... but it seems it's increasingly being implemented, so let's be optimistic!
November 4, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Reposted by Tobias Dienlin
dingdingpeng.the100.ci
How about instead:
Inspirational poster that says Run every study as if it were the last one on the topic
October 28, 2025 at 11:33 AM