Thiago Moreira
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tmqm.bsky.social
Thiago Moreira
@tmqm.bsky.social
Runner, cyclist, and political scientist. Assistant professor at LSU.

thiagomqmoreira.com
In this new paper with Spencer Goidel and @barmstrong.bsky.social, we show that the drug crisis boosts Republican vote, especially among independents, by lowering both Democratic support and abstention.
NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!

The #Drug #Crisis and #Voting #Behavior

By Thiago M.Q. Moreira, Spencer Hamilton Goidel & @barmstrong.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1017/S153...
November 7, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Job alert! We are hiring.
LSU is hiring at the assistant level in Comparative (open specialization), and two positions in Judicial Politics. CP job should post soon and judicial job is live. I’m on the CP search committee but happy to answer questions about both searches!
August 29, 2025 at 3:20 AM
Reposted by Thiago Moreira
Here is the update through Week 6, early because I am traveling. adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/diary
Diary
I decided to keep a record of my thoughts as events transpire, a diary.
adamprzeworski.substack.com
March 24, 2025 at 2:44 PM
What happens to economic voting under high polarization? In this @bjpols.bsky.social paper, I argue that voters stick with their preferred party as the ideological distance between parties increases, reducing their propensity to hold incumbents accountable for economic outcomes. 1/3
NEW -

Is It Still the Economy? Economic Voting in Polarized Politics - cup.org/41ZuVSb

- @tmqm.bsky.social

"polarization affects economic evaluation and clouds the responsibility for economic conditions, decreasing voters’ willingness to sanction the incumbent party"

#OpenAccess
March 24, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Reposted by Thiago Moreira
New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism
February 14, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Reposted by Thiago Moreira
Why democracy, backsliding, or autocracy? Unabashedly, I think this model has exceptionally rich results. The introductory overview is intended to be self-explanatory without delving into the math. See papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
November 18, 2024 at 3:51 PM
My 6th APSA. Crazy how fast time flies.
September 5, 2024 at 9:18 PM
Heading to APSA in Philly. If you will be there and still don't have plans for Saturday afternoon, drop by to see our presentation. José Cheibub, Andrea Junqueira, and I study effective participation across income groups with granular electoral data from Brazil.
September 4, 2024 at 3:39 PM