Thomas Scherer
@tlscherer.bsky.social
Research Director for fp21.org; setting a new standard for evidence and integrity in foreign policy. Now accepting article pitches and fellow applications. Loves conflict data, D&D, USWNT. he/him
Crooked Media is taking steps that direction next month with www.crookedcon.com
Crooked Con | November 6th & 7th | Washington, DC
Join America’s smartest organizers and least annoying politicians to strategize, debate, and commiserate about where we go from here (hopefully up).
www.crookedcon.com
October 17, 2025 at 6:23 AM
Crooked Media is taking steps that direction next month with www.crookedcon.com
From Mandel 2021, "A positive future for futures and foresight science needs fierce competition in the marketplace of ideas"
October 2, 2025 at 5:28 PM
From Mandel 2021, "A positive future for futures and foresight science needs fierce competition in the marketplace of ideas"
Reposted by Thomas Scherer
The problem here is shitty science.
You can find "evidence" for all of the above, just like RFK's study linking Tylenol to autism.
But then the argument shifts to things like causal inference, p-hacking, lousy study design, and everyone's bored and goes home.
And keeps believing this stuff.
You can find "evidence" for all of the above, just like RFK's study linking Tylenol to autism.
But then the argument shifts to things like causal inference, p-hacking, lousy study design, and everyone's bored and goes home.
And keeps believing this stuff.
October 2, 2025 at 12:11 PM
The problem here is shitty science.
You can find "evidence" for all of the above, just like RFK's study linking Tylenol to autism.
But then the argument shifts to things like causal inference, p-hacking, lousy study design, and everyone's bored and goes home.
And keeps believing this stuff.
You can find "evidence" for all of the above, just like RFK's study linking Tylenol to autism.
But then the argument shifts to things like causal inference, p-hacking, lousy study design, and everyone's bored and goes home.
And keeps believing this stuff.
Reposted by Thomas Scherer
If you want a totally "unchecked situation" about federal grants, it's that One Mad King can now simply cancel federal contracts funding area and language studies at universities around the country, without cause, while Congress does nothing. But that doesn't sell copy, so here are lies instead.
Here we go. of all IFLE funding. No FLAS fellowships or NRC area studies centers nationwide.
Might be nice of even a single university president was willing to speak up about this disaster for R1 universities & their students.
democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/evo-su...
Might be nice of even a single university president was willing to speak up about this disaster for R1 universities & their students.
democrats-appropriations.house.gov/sites/evo-su...
September 25, 2025 at 7:32 PM
If you want a totally "unchecked situation" about federal grants, it's that One Mad King can now simply cancel federal contracts funding area and language studies at universities around the country, without cause, while Congress does nothing. But that doesn't sell copy, so here are lies instead.
Reposted by Thomas Scherer
Thiel's DOGEbuddies have shredded the NSF and NIH.
Anyone want to take bets on whether that INCREASES or DECREASES the rate of scientific progress?
Because I'll gladly take your fucking money and laugh in your face if you think the events of 2025 have been GOOD for scientific progress. Dumbshit.
Anyone want to take bets on whether that INCREASES or DECREASES the rate of scientific progress?
Because I'll gladly take your fucking money and laugh in your face if you think the events of 2025 have been GOOD for scientific progress. Dumbshit.
June 26, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Thiel's DOGEbuddies have shredded the NSF and NIH.
Anyone want to take bets on whether that INCREASES or DECREASES the rate of scientific progress?
Because I'll gladly take your fucking money and laugh in your face if you think the events of 2025 have been GOOD for scientific progress. Dumbshit.
Anyone want to take bets on whether that INCREASES or DECREASES the rate of scientific progress?
Because I'll gladly take your fucking money and laugh in your face if you think the events of 2025 have been GOOD for scientific progress. Dumbshit.
My team and I at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman@bsky.social, Soha Hammam, & Chris Shay) have a new piece out: wagingnonviolence.org/2025/06/amer.... In it, we show that through May 2025, the size and scale of anti-Trump protests have dwarfed those in 2017. 🧵
June 14, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Can also check out the countingcrowds.org blog for lessons from past efforts.
Counting Crowds
Blog of the Crowd Counting Consortium
countingcrowds.org
June 13, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Can also check out the countingcrowds.org blog for lessons from past efforts.
Someone should! I assumed Crowd Counting Consortium would be on it, but I can't tell if they're still active.
ash.harvard.edu/programs/cro...
ash.harvard.edu/programs/cro...
ash.harvard.edu
June 13, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Someone should! I assumed Crowd Counting Consortium would be on it, but I can't tell if they're still active.
ash.harvard.edu/programs/cro...
ash.harvard.edu/programs/cro...