Thomas Wolfgarten
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thomaswolfgarten.bsky.social
Thomas Wolfgarten
@thomaswolfgarten.bsky.social
220 followers 110 following 1 posts
PhD Cand, Warwick: IGPP, SBIDER, WBS Beh Sci Group.
Modelling (and hopefully forecasting) pandemic trajectories with large, novel behavioural data sets.
SVs: Matt Keeling, Neil Stewart.
@TomWolfgarten on the other site
https://twolfgarten.github.io
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thomaswolfgarten.bsky.social
Nice overview of the challenges of doing "epidemiological-behavioural" modelling.
In my PhD I am tackling the problem by measuring and modelling behaviour on an individual level, with massive amounts of location data.
Stay tuned...
edmhill.bsky.social Ed Hill @edmhill.bsky.social · Nov 29
1/ "Integrating human behaviour & epidemiological modelling: unlocking the remaining challenges"

🧵on our commentary article in @mmls-journal.bsky.social Behavioural Epidemiology Special Issue #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

✍️ With thanks to all co-authors! (see author list in images)

🔗 doi.org/10.1080/2993...
RESEARCH ARTICLE. Open access. MATHEMATICS IN MEDICAL AND LIFE SCIENCES 2024, VOL. 1, NO. 1, 2429479 https://doi.org/10.1080/29937574.2024.2429479 Integrating human behaviour and epidemiological modelling: unlocking the remaining challenges Authors: Edward M. Hill (Affiliations: Civic Health Innovation Labs and Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Gastrointestinal Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK) Matthew Ryan (Affiliation: The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Adelaide, Australia) David Haw (Affiliation: Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK) Mark P. Lynch (Affiliation: EPSRC & MRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Mathematics for Real-World Systems, University ofWarwick, Coventry, UK) RuthMcCabe (Affiliation: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London) Alice E. Milne (Affiliation: Net-zero and resilient farming, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK) Matthew S. Turner (Affiliation: Department of Physics & Centre for Complexity Science, University ofWarwick, Coventry, UK) Kavita Vedhara (Affiliation: School of Psychology, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK) Fanqi Zeng (Affiliation: Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK) Martine J. Barons (Affiliation: Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK) Emily J. Nixon (Affiliation: Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK) Stephen Parnell (Affiliation: School of Life Sciences and The Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK) Kirsty J. Bolton (Affiliation: School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom) PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY. When faced with health crises like disease outbreaks or pandemics, scientists have struggled to accurately predict how they will spread. One issue is that models of how infections spread in the population do not usually consider how people behave. We call models that include both how infections spread and behaviour “epidemiological-behavioural” models. To improve these models we need experts from different research areas to work together. These teams include (but are not limited to) scientists who study human behaviour, medical and biological experts, and those who analyse data and who work with mathematical models. Our article is by organisers and presenters at a workshop on “Mathematical modelling of behaviour to inform policy for societal challenges” hosted at the University of Warwick Mathematics Institute on 10 June 2024. This workshop had participation from behavioural scientists, data scientists, statisticians and mathematical modellers. We state the current challenges we face in creating teams with experts from different research areas and to produce “epidemiological-behavioural” models. We suggest ways to overcome these challenges and outline potential impacts and benefits to society once these challenges are unlocked.
January 19, 2025 at 12:49 PM