Thijs Van de Graaf
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thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
Thijs Van de Graaf
@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
Associate Professor @GIESGhent
Energy Fellow @BIGEurope
Contributing author to @IRENA reports on Geopolitics of the Energy Transition
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
Just as Ursula von der Leyen declared in her State of the Union that Europe is "on the path to energy independence," Trump has turned Europe’s energy lifeline into leverage.

How can Europe avoid this energy trap?

New essay by @thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social

big-europe.eu/publications...
Trump's energy trap for Europe
In September, Donald Trump put a price on sanctions against Moscow. In a Truth Social post, he declared that the United States would act only if NATO allies stopped buying Russian oil and imposed...
big-europe.eu
October 2, 2025 at 6:09 AM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
⛽ Once hailed as 'molecules of freedom', US oil and gas now expose the EU to the whims of the White House.

As #EUCO meets today with a ban on Russian LNG on their agenda, @thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social argues that #energy independence lies not in a new supplier, but a new path.

🔗 shorturl.at/Ww3D5
October 1, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
Zoals Zeus ooit Europa op de rug van een stier wegdroeg, zo laten we ons vandaag meesleuren uit de arena van macht. COP30 vraagt om Green Realpolitik: waarden als hefboom, ambitie die bijt, en een Europa dat zelf het touw in handen neemt. @thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social

big-europe.eu/publications...
Green Realpolitik: Recasting Europe’s Climate and Energy Diplomacy
big-europe.eu
August 19, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
„The message in this report is that the EU must not abandon its values and green ambition, but it must express them in ways that are realistic and compelling (…). It means embracing a Green Realpolitik.“

@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social

big-europe.eu/publications...
Green Realpolitik: Recasting Europe’s Climate and Energy Diplomacy
big-europe.eu
August 16, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
The Institute hosted a 'safe space' session this week on Europe’s energy and climate diplomacy with six Commission DGs and the EEAS — a chance to break down silos and reflect on strategic priorities.

big-europe.eu/2025-04-03-b...
Brussels Institute for Geopolitics – BIG hosts ‘safe space’ strategy
big-europe.eu
April 4, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
"We weten niet zeker hoeveel grondstoffen er precies zitten en of ze rendabel naar boven kunnen worden gehaald. En dat ontginnen zal nog 10 tot 15 jaar duren. Je moet er eerst geld insteken, wat goed is voor de wederopbouw van Oekraïne."

@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social #terzake
February 26, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Trump just blamed Ukraine for being invaded. This is beyond parody. He is literally repeating Kremlin propaganda word by word.

on.ft.com/4gKnqDT
Donald Trump signals Ukraine to blame for war
US president suggests Ukrainian election is overdue in first remarks after talks with Moscow
on.ft.com
February 19, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Nice peace by Ron Bousso for @reuters.com debunking the persistent myth that Russian (pipeline) gas to Europe is cheap. It never was and likely never will be.
www.reuters.com/markets/comm...
Cheap Russian gas in Europe? No such thing
As European officials consider the possibility of restarting Russian gas pipeline imports as part of an eventual peace deal in Ukraine, they should be clear about one thing: Russian gas never was, and likely never will be, cheap.
www.reuters.com
February 18, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Reposted by Thijs Van de Graaf
🇺🇸US 47th (& 45th) President Donald J. Trump was sworn in less than 24 hours ago.

✍️Here is a quick take of the first seven decisions that represent magmatic shifts in the country's energy and climate policies and strategies to which all stakeholders must adapt.
🧵
January 21, 2025 at 8:45 AM
How will shifts in demand, Trump and new geopolitical realities reshape global commodities markets? I was pleased to contribute to this excellent Big Read in the Financial Times: www.ft.com/content/8ae5...
The China commodities supercycle is over. Will there be another?
Chinese demand for steel and iron ore has finally peaked. The industry hopes the energy transition will spark a new boom, but it will be shaped by geopolitical competition
www.ft.com
January 15, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Are cables the new pipelines?

As we enter the "age of electricity", our geopolitical maps of energy must adapt. Pipelines once shaped energy geopolitics; now, high-voltage cables like the 1,195 km #BlackSeaSubmarineCable are the new "corridors of power."

I wrote about it here: shorturl.at/V08ra
November 26, 2024 at 1:21 PM