Roger Pielke Jr.
@thehonestbroker.bsky.social
undisciplined scholar and recovering academic @AEI @DNVA1 @CUBoulder @UCL | Subscribe to The Honest Broker ➡️ http://rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Again false
Let’s say you have a tabulation that you say represents global average temperatures
I plot the data to have a look and it looks like the below
Just by looking at the plot we can conclude that the data cannot be used to say anything about the real world
You are a researcher?! 🤷♂️
Let’s say you have a tabulation that you say represents global average temperatures
I plot the data to have a look and it looks like the below
Just by looking at the plot we can conclude that the data cannot be used to say anything about the real world
You are a researcher?! 🤷♂️
October 31, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Again false
Let’s say you have a tabulation that you say represents global average temperatures
I plot the data to have a look and it looks like the below
Just by looking at the plot we can conclude that the data cannot be used to say anything about the real world
You are a researcher?! 🤷♂️
Let’s say you have a tabulation that you say represents global average temperatures
I plot the data to have a look and it looks like the below
Just by looking at the plot we can conclude that the data cannot be used to say anything about the real world
You are a researcher?! 🤷♂️
False
I argue that the BDD tabulation cannot be used in research to say anything about the real world
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
I argue that the BDD tabulation cannot be used in research to say anything about the real world
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Scientific integrity and U.S. “Billion Dollar Disasters” - npj Natural Hazards
npj Natural Hazards - Scientific integrity and U.S. “Billion Dollar Disasters”
www.nature.com
October 31, 2025 at 10:46 AM
False
I argue that the BDD tabulation cannot be used in research to say anything about the real world
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
I argue that the BDD tabulation cannot be used in research to say anything about the real world
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Reposted by Roger Pielke Jr.
Grievance anchoring.
Person A wronged me in the past.
Person A now claims X.
∴ X is false.
Person A wronged me in the past.
Person A now claims X.
∴ X is false.
October 30, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Grievance anchoring.
Person A wronged me in the past.
Person A now claims X.
∴ X is false.
Person A wronged me in the past.
Person A now claims X.
∴ X is false.
Of course, and I was pleased to have the opportunity to reinforce Gates' 3 truths as well as this statement of his:
Gates includes what might have been a fourth truth... “Climate change is a very important problem. It needs to be solved, along with other problems like malaria and malnutrition.”
Gates includes what might have been a fourth truth... “Climate change is a very important problem. It needs to be solved, along with other problems like malaria and malnutrition.”
October 30, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Of course, and I was pleased to have the opportunity to reinforce Gates' 3 truths as well as this statement of his:
Gates includes what might have been a fourth truth... “Climate change is a very important problem. It needs to be solved, along with other problems like malaria and malnutrition.”
Gates includes what might have been a fourth truth... “Climate change is a very important problem. It needs to be solved, along with other problems like malaria and malnutrition.”
Thanks for coming clean
I didn’t think you had any concerns with my work
And yes — lifeboat ethics is deeply racist, whether from Hardin or from you 😎
I didn’t think you had any concerns with my work
And yes — lifeboat ethics is deeply racist, whether from Hardin or from you 😎
October 30, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Thanks for coming clean
I didn’t think you had any concerns with my work
And yes — lifeboat ethics is deeply racist, whether from Hardin or from you 😎
I didn’t think you had any concerns with my work
And yes — lifeboat ethics is deeply racist, whether from Hardin or from you 😎
Check out THB shortly 👍
October 30, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Check out THB shortly 👍
I’ll make it easy for you
Here you go
scholar.google.com/citations?us...
You’ve written countless words and mean Tweets about me but oddly, have never once engaged any of my work🤷♂️
If it’s personal, just say so
No need to pretend it is about science
👍🤓🙏
Here you go
scholar.google.com/citations?us...
You’ve written countless words and mean Tweets about me but oddly, have never once engaged any of my work🤷♂️
If it’s personal, just say so
No need to pretend it is about science
👍🤓🙏
scholar.google.com
October 30, 2025 at 1:19 PM
I’ll make it easy for you
Here you go
scholar.google.com/citations?us...
You’ve written countless words and mean Tweets about me but oddly, have never once engaged any of my work🤷♂️
If it’s personal, just say so
No need to pretend it is about science
👍🤓🙏
Here you go
scholar.google.com/citations?us...
You’ve written countless words and mean Tweets about me but oddly, have never once engaged any of my work🤷♂️
If it’s personal, just say so
No need to pretend it is about science
👍🤓🙏
You pivoted quickly away from the critique of my Nature paper after I pointed out its obvious fatal flaw
While I understand that you’d like to make this personal, I won’t take the bait
Do you have any substantive critiques of my work? Anything at all?
Or is it just purely a personal beef?
While I understand that you’d like to make this personal, I won’t take the bait
Do you have any substantive critiques of my work? Anything at all?
Or is it just purely a personal beef?
October 30, 2025 at 1:09 PM
You pivoted quickly away from the critique of my Nature paper after I pointed out its obvious fatal flaw
While I understand that you’d like to make this personal, I won’t take the bait
Do you have any substantive critiques of my work? Anything at all?
Or is it just purely a personal beef?
While I understand that you’d like to make this personal, I won’t take the bait
Do you have any substantive critiques of my work? Anything at all?
Or is it just purely a personal beef?
Wrong again
I’ve never changed my handle here at BSky
Why you would want to block people who you routinely follow and comment on is strange
But block away if that’s your thing 😎
I’ve never changed my handle here at BSky
Why you would want to block people who you routinely follow and comment on is strange
But block away if that’s your thing 😎
October 30, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Wrong again
I’ve never changed my handle here at BSky
Why you would want to block people who you routinely follow and comment on is strange
But block away if that’s your thing 😎
I’ve never changed my handle here at BSky
Why you would want to block people who you routinely follow and comment on is strange
But block away if that’s your thing 😎
Our hurricane normalization work uses fixed reproducible tangible wealth (among other factors), not GDP
At this point I’ll assume you can’t be bothered to read our work before commenting
If you do decide to engage what we’ve actually written I’m happy to respond
🙏
At this point I’ll assume you can’t be bothered to read our work before commenting
If you do decide to engage what we’ve actually written I’m happy to respond
🙏
October 30, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Our hurricane normalization work uses fixed reproducible tangible wealth (among other factors), not GDP
At this point I’ll assume you can’t be bothered to read our work before commenting
If you do decide to engage what we’ve actually written I’m happy to respond
🙏
At this point I’ll assume you can’t be bothered to read our work before commenting
If you do decide to engage what we’ve actually written I’m happy to respond
🙏
Again, you are correct
And as I document, NOAA’s application of CPI adjustments do not correspond to the CPI adjustments that they say they use
Shambolic
And as I document, NOAA’s application of CPI adjustments do not correspond to the CPI adjustments that they say they use
Shambolic
October 29, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Again, you are correct
And as I document, NOAA’s application of CPI adjustments do not correspond to the CPI adjustments that they say they use
Shambolic
And as I document, NOAA’s application of CPI adjustments do not correspond to the CPI adjustments that they say they use
Shambolic
Thanks
Others seem to have missed the paper's only argument
Which is a risk if you don't actually read the paper
🧐
Others seem to have missed the paper's only argument
Which is a risk if you don't actually read the paper
🧐
October 29, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Thanks
Others seem to have missed the paper's only argument
Which is a risk if you don't actually read the paper
🧐
Others seem to have missed the paper's only argument
Which is a risk if you don't actually read the paper
🧐
3/2
Just be specific about the claim you'd like to discuss.
Just be specific about the claim you'd like to discuss.
October 29, 2025 at 7:12 PM
3/2
Just be specific about the claim you'd like to discuss.
Just be specific about the claim you'd like to discuss.
2/2
Thus, I have made no claims about what the BDD says about real world losses. Anyone doing so is wasting their time.
That said, I am happy to hear speciifc critiques of claims I have made (in this paper or others) and we can then have a proper scientific exchange. . .
Thus, I have made no claims about what the BDD says about real world losses. Anyone doing so is wasting their time.
That said, I am happy to hear speciifc critiques of claims I have made (in this paper or others) and we can then have a proper scientific exchange. . .
October 29, 2025 at 7:12 PM
2/2
Thus, I have made no claims about what the BDD says about real world losses. Anyone doing so is wasting their time.
That said, I am happy to hear speciifc critiques of claims I have made (in this paper or others) and we can then have a proper scientific exchange. . .
Thus, I have made no claims about what the BDD says about real world losses. Anyone doing so is wasting their time.
That said, I am happy to hear speciifc critiques of claims I have made (in this paper or others) and we can then have a proper scientific exchange. . .
I submitted this comment at PubPeer
In moderation
1/2
My article evaluates the suitability of the BDD tabulation for saying anything about the real world. I conclude, for multiple reasons, that the tabulation is fatally flawed and can not be used in research. . .
In moderation
1/2
My article evaluates the suitability of the BDD tabulation for saying anything about the real world. I conclude, for multiple reasons, that the tabulation is fatally flawed and can not be used in research. . .
October 29, 2025 at 7:11 PM
I submitted this comment at PubPeer
In moderation
1/2
My article evaluates the suitability of the BDD tabulation for saying anything about the real world. I conclude, for multiple reasons, that the tabulation is fatally flawed and can not be used in research. . .
In moderation
1/2
My article evaluates the suitability of the BDD tabulation for saying anything about the real world. I conclude, for multiple reasons, that the tabulation is fatally flawed and can not be used in research. . .