Roger Pielke Jr.
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thehonestbroker.bsky.social
Roger Pielke Jr.
@thehonestbroker.bsky.social
undisciplined scholar and recovering academic @AEI @DNVA1 @CUBoulder @UCL | Subscribe to The Honest Broker ➡️ http://rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Oh my
October 31, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Again false

Let’s say you have a tabulation that you say represents global average temperatures

I plot the data to have a look and it looks like the below

Just by looking at the plot we can conclude that the data cannot be used to say anything about the real world

You are a researcher?! 🤷‍♂️
October 31, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Thanks for the long post on my work

However, you got off on the wrong foot by falsely claiming that I say that the decline in BDD cost-per-disaster is real

I do not and it is not (see below)

It is an artifact of a tabulation that is not fit for analysis

So we agree
Cheers👍
October 27, 2025 at 1:19 AM
ChatGPT on problems with stacking the IPCC AR7 author team for extreme events with people from the “extreme event attribution” community - with 9 of 20 authors
October 14, 2025 at 9:51 AM
At THB
September 26, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Coming shortly at THB . . .
September 16, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Via Judy Curry on Climate Etc
September 8, 2025 at 11:58 AM
"Where were you when I needed you?"
Climate scientist Jos de Laat on the DOE CWG and the biases of the climate beat
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/where-were...
August 18, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Tomorrow at THB
August 14, 2025 at 11:26 PM
Not my area of expertise
That said . . .

Below left is what ChatGPT tells me IPCC AR6 says
Below right is summary from DOE CWG

Seems to be some legitimate differences of view
I don't think any of this is outrageous

Also, I don't think any of this is at all relevant to EPA endangerment finding!
August 6, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Open for discussion

I will post a series of Tweets on the DOE CWG report
I invite discussion/critique
Especially from the climate scientists who have been most critical about the report and its authors

Let's start with Chapter 1
July 30, 2025 at 7:07 PM
This crowd has me blocked so please share
July 10, 2025 at 10:37 PM
The summary of my Oslo talk on the decades-long battle between Republicans and very-left scientists/academics is now the third-most-read post ever at THB
June 24, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Another slide from my talk last week at Uni Oslo
June 24, 2025 at 10:42 AM
At THB
June 23, 2025 at 9:51 AM
I want to be sure to give @hausfath.bsky.social a chance to respond
No subtweets here😀
June 5, 2025 at 1:42 PM
June 5, 2025 at 1:41 PM
The Trump administration is incorrect in its "Gold Standard Science" EO

RCP8.5 is not a "worst case scenario"
It is already fasified
That is: a scientific idea or claim that has been proven incorrect through empirical evidence

RCP8.5 is not "unlikely"
It is impossible
June 3, 2025 at 7:32 PM
Climate scientist Michael Mann ordered to pay $477,350.80 in legal fees to two defendents that he sued

That's on top of $530,820.21 ordered to pay another defendent

All told, counting the penalty for misleading the court, "in bad faith," Mann is out almost $1.1M
May 22, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Thanks ... I read your piece

After 14 paragrahs of ad homs you write:
"Clearly I’ve covered the ad hominem side of this"
Not a great start

Wang et al. is qualitativelty consistent with Michaux, the key difference is the IAMs they looked at have much less wind/solar than IRENA 1.5
May 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Tomorrow's THB is a banger
May 13, 2025 at 9:41 PM
NOAA is not a “climate agency”

It is an atmospheric and oceanic agency

@aaas.org sweeping it into the partisan climate wars is an effort to politicize the agency for clicks

@voosen.me
April 11, 2025 at 7:36 PM
It's like a time machine over here
March 24, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Michael Mann not-so-subtly signaling that partisan politics motivates the judge in his case — Very Trump-like & dumb strategy

Judge Irving was in fact reappointed by Joe Biden:
“His performance as a judge has been exceptional. He has well-earned the highest category rating permitted by statute”
March 19, 2025 at 12:55 PM
DC Court reduces Michael Mann's defamation award from $1,000,000 to $5,000

I wonder if Science, NYT, Wash Post and others who celebrated the original verdict will cover this at all

Mann was ordered by the court in January to pay $530,820.21 in National Review's legal cost
March 4, 2025 at 5:46 PM