Too Tall Jones
tedjerse.bsky.social
Too Tall Jones
@tedjerse.bsky.social
Analytics extremist
Final 'consensus' overview for Rd 1 of the NFL draft. These are the most mocked selections based on the 'top' mocks in the dataset (Posted in the last month from a top graded publisher). Manual overrides listed based on player availability + data. 106 mocks in this view, 535 in the full analyzer.
April 23, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Are you a Browns fan feeling like the consensus has shifted from Abdul Carter to Travis Hunter at 2? The data backs it up. Over the last month, Hunter runs ahead of Carter and has a clear lead with A graded publishers. The surge is apparent tracking over time, tho Carter leads on full time horizon.
April 17, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Updated summary of the consensus picks for Round 1 of the 2025 NFL draft based on an aggregation of 313 mocks from 2/25-4/4. As usual, where a consensus selection was already off the board, I've manually added the 'next best option' from the data set.
April 4, 2025 at 5:18 PM
NFL Mock Draft Analyzer showing a rapid rise for Omarion Hampton (RB-UNC) to the Broncos at 20 of late. Early mocks had showed a lot of love for Colston Loveland heading to Denver, but there's been a clear shift in consensus. Feeling confident about 2 RBs going in round 1 at this stage.
April 2, 2025 at 6:38 PM
-Don’t sleep on Derrick Harmon, a well rounded DT out of Oregon but w/ limited college tape. It’s supposed to be a deep DT draft, and Mason Graham will undoubtedly be the first off the board, but Harmon at 22 is about right for value. He actually runs neck and neck with Barron in top graded mocks.
April 1, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Green Bay Packers Draft Overview:
-The consensus pick at 23 for GB is Jahdae Barron, a “versatile” CB out of Texas. Barron will likely be the 3rd CB taken in the draft, assuming Hunter and Will Johnson are gone by 20, but PFF has Barron as the 7th overall prospect so this would be great value.
April 1, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Below is a summary of the consensus picks for Round 1 of the 2025 NFL draft based on an aggregation of 262 mocks from 2/25-3/28. Where a consensus selection was already off the board, I've manually added the 'next best option' from the data set.
March 29, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Some WR positional insights from the Mock Draft Analyzer:
-Four man race with McMillan clearly profiling as the top prospect, mocking as high as 4 overall and 6 more reliably
-Matthew Golden (PFF prospect no. 27) mocks all over the map but currently has a higher ADP than Burden (15) and Egbuka (19)
March 24, 2025 at 6:05 PM
What are the 'surest bets' in the NFL draft based on the mock draft data?
-Mason Graham to the Jags at 5 followed by Abdul Carter to the Browns at 2
-Jeanty to the Raiders at 6
-Colts and Broncos nab the top TEs at 14 and 20, respectively
-Titans (1) and Pats (4) currently showing split tickets
March 19, 2025 at 12:46 AM
New view in the Mock Draft Analyzer shows the most common trade scenarios for round 1. A few quick takeaways:
-NYG into the 1st overall pick is, again, the most common
-Raiders swapping into 1 (Titans) or 4 (Pats) frequently mocked
-Browns getting back into Rd 1 late has some traction
March 13, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Observations of the mock draft consensus around what will happen at No. 1 overall:
-Abdul Carter to the Titans is the most frequently mocked scenario even as Cam Ward is clearly the favorite to go 1st
-Cam Ward sweep stakes split evenly b/t Titans and NYG
-Travis Hunter mocked 2X Shedeur @ 1 overall
March 11, 2025 at 1:05 AM
On pat leave and revisiting a project to aggregate data across dozens of NFL Mock Drafts to allow fans to analyze the wisdom of the crowd. I will add data, make updates over the next several weeks. LMK if you have questions! Data from NFL Mock Draft Database and PFF. V1 linked below.
March 10, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Taps the sign…
December 19, 2024 at 4:55 PM