The Cruncher
@tcau.dev
Predictions and analysis for League, AFL and Netball (and sometimes elections). #rstats, data and programming enthusiast
tcau.dev (website) and
thecruncherau.substack.com (blog)
tcau.dev (website) and
thecruncherau.substack.com (blog)
Super excited to announce a project I've been working on for a little while now: a ladder predictor that's actually fun to use
Only NRL 2026 is available for now, but planning on adding more leagues soon
Try it at tcau.dev/league/m/pre...
Only NRL 2026 is available for now, but planning on adding more leagues soon
Try it at tcau.dev/league/m/pre...
November 16, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Super excited to announce a project I've been working on for a little while now: a ladder predictor that's actually fun to use
Only NRL 2026 is available for now, but planning on adding more leagues soon
Try it at tcau.dev/league/m/pre...
Only NRL 2026 is available for now, but planning on adding more leagues soon
Try it at tcau.dev/league/m/pre...
🗞️NEW ARTICLE: A brief stats nerds' tour of the Broncos' 2025 season
Check it out here: thecruncherau.substack.com/p/a-brief-st...
Or, read the thread below for some snippets
Check it out here: thecruncherau.substack.com/p/a-brief-st...
Or, read the thread below for some snippets
A brief stats nerds' tour of the Broncos' 2025 season
I review the Broncos' drought-breaking year. Featuring analysis of Reece Walsh's stats, whether luck played a role, and more!
bit.ly
October 10, 2025 at 2:21 AM
🗞️NEW ARTICLE: A brief stats nerds' tour of the Broncos' 2025 season
Check it out here: thecruncherau.substack.com/p/a-brief-st...
Or, read the thread below for some snippets
Check it out here: thecruncherau.substack.com/p/a-brief-st...
Or, read the thread below for some snippets
Lineups out, here's the model's updated estimate for #AFLCatsDogs
May 21, 2025 at 9:11 AM
Lineups out, here's the model's updated estimate for #AFLCatsDogs
In Excel, clicking a cell sometimes focuses on the wrong cell and I have to completely restart the app 😔
Anyone else have this issue, or just me?
Anyone else have this issue, or just me?
May 21, 2025 at 7:30 AM
In Excel, clicking a cell sometimes focuses on the wrong cell and I have to completely restart the app 😔
Anyone else have this issue, or just me?
Anyone else have this issue, or just me?
With tonight's result, the 2025 AFL Circle of Parity is officially complete
May 18, 2025 at 9:25 AM
With tonight's result, the 2025 AFL Circle of Parity is officially complete
Reposted by The Cruncher
Proud to announce Stephen Gallagher's #NRL Pronunciation Guide now has its own website! See phonetic pronunciations and listen to recordings of every player's name.
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
May 9, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Proud to announce Stephen Gallagher's #NRL Pronunciation Guide now has its own website! See phonetic pronunciations and listen to recordings of every player's name.
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
Proud to announce Stephen Gallagher's #NRL Pronunciation Guide now has its own website! See phonetic pronunciations and listen to recordings of every player's name.
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
May 9, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Proud to announce Stephen Gallagher's #NRL Pronunciation Guide now has its own website! See phonetic pronunciations and listen to recordings of every player's name.
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
Check it out at pg.tcau.dev/nrl
May 8, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Lineups out, here's the updated tip for #AFLFreoPies
May 8, 2025 at 4:18 AM
Lineups out, here's the updated tip for #AFLFreoPies
Reposted by The Cruncher
I made a website. It's called "one million chessboards." It has a million chessboards on it.
moving a piece moves it for everyone, instantly. No turns. You can move between boards.
that's it. Have fun!
onemillionchessboards.com
moving a piece moves it for everyone, instantly. No turns. You can move between boards.
that's it. Have fun!
onemillionchessboards.com
April 28, 2025 at 4:04 PM
I made a website. It's called "one million chessboards." It has a million chessboards on it.
moving a piece moves it for everyone, instantly. No turns. You can move between boards.
that's it. Have fun!
onemillionchessboards.com
moving a piece moves it for everyone, instantly. No turns. You can move between boards.
that's it. Have fun!
onemillionchessboards.com
Reposted by The Cruncher
@tcau.dev the record for most of the same losing score in a round is 6 games:
2013 Rd1: losing score = 10 x6 games
1998 Rd11: losing score = 12 x6 games
5x losing score on 3 occasions
4x losing score now on 45 occasions
2013 Rd1: losing score = 10 x6 games
1998 Rd11: losing score = 12 x6 games
5x losing score on 3 occasions
4x losing score now on 45 occasions
April 27, 2025 at 11:19 AM
@tcau.dev the record for most of the same losing score in a round is 6 games:
2013 Rd1: losing score = 10 x6 games
1998 Rd11: losing score = 12 x6 games
5x losing score on 3 occasions
4x losing score now on 45 occasions
2013 Rd1: losing score = 10 x6 games
1998 Rd11: losing score = 12 x6 games
5x losing score on 3 occasions
4x losing score now on 45 occasions
huge fan of the bird's eye view cam, should be at all games
#NRLTigersSharks
#NRLTigersSharks
April 27, 2025 at 7:52 AM
huge fan of the bird's eye view cam, should be at all games
#NRLTigersSharks
#NRLTigersSharks
Today is one of those hopeful days where I look up "NRL API" only to find results for Api Koroisau 😞
April 25, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Today is one of those hopeful days where I look up "NRL API" only to find results for Api Koroisau 😞
Correction: foul play only applies to some infringements, which I didn't know until today!
Referee Sutton just said you can't quick tap after foul play but isn't that what all penalties are?
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
April 24, 2025 at 11:55 AM
Correction: foul play only applies to some infringements, which I didn't know until today!
Reposted by The Cruncher
With tonight's result, the 2025 NRL Circle of Parity is officially complete
April 24, 2025 at 11:51 AM
With tonight's result, the 2025 NRL Circle of Parity is officially complete
Referee Sutton just said you can't quick tap after foul play but isn't that what all penalties are?
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
April 24, 2025 at 10:47 AM
Referee Sutton just said you can't quick tap after foul play but isn't that what all penalties are?
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
#NRLBroncosBulldogs
Now up to a 16-step cycle in the 2025 AFL:
Geelong beat
Hawthorn beat
Essendon beat
Port beat
Sydney beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
GWS Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
St Kilda beat
Geelong
Geelong beat
Hawthorn beat
Essendon beat
Port beat
Sydney beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
GWS Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
St Kilda beat
Geelong
April 22, 2025 at 4:18 AM
Now up to a 16-step cycle in the 2025 AFL:
Geelong beat
Hawthorn beat
Essendon beat
Port beat
Sydney beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
GWS Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
St Kilda beat
Geelong
Geelong beat
Hawthorn beat
Essendon beat
Port beat
Sydney beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
GWS Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
St Kilda beat
Geelong
No lineup data available yet but yowzahh
April 21, 2025 at 9:24 AM
No lineup data available yet but yowzahh
The 2025 AFL now has a 14-step cycle:
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
St Kilda beat
Port beat
Hawthorn beat
Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
Carlton beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
St Kilda beat
Port beat
Hawthorn beat
Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
Carlton beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond
April 19, 2025 at 12:52 PM
The 2025 AFL now has a 14-step cycle:
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
St Kilda beat
Port beat
Hawthorn beat
Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
Carlton beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond
Richmond beat
Gold Coast beat
Adelaide beat
St Kilda beat
Port beat
Hawthorn beat
Giants beat
Collingwood beat
Brisbane beat
Bulldogs beat
Carlton beat
North beat
Melbourne beat
Fremantle beat
Richmond