Shane Swager
@swagzilla.bsky.social
Hear my voice on The Rookie Fever Podcast, The Super Flexible Podcast, maybe someday on Fantasy Football Breakdown again #SuperFlexArmy #CompetitiveRebuild #WRsDontMatter #DFTBA
It literally just says how much we miss. More success comes out of the earlier picks than later. 1st round misses just hurt more and 2nd round hits make you feel great. Those are just emotions.
January 12, 2025 at 3:46 PM
It literally just says how much we miss. More success comes out of the earlier picks than later. 1st round misses just hurt more and 2nd round hits make you feel great. Those are just emotions.
How would Reagor in the 1st help your argument?
January 12, 2025 at 3:37 PM
How would Reagor in the 1st help your argument?
I’m using actual Rookie drafts as well. You made it sound like I was cherry picking a certain year and brought up 2020 and how I avoided it. I just showed you 2020 from the same league
January 12, 2025 at 3:36 PM
I’m using actual Rookie drafts as well. You made it sound like I was cherry picking a certain year and brought up 2020 and how I avoided it. I just showed you 2020 from the same league
2020 2nd since you wanted it so bad
Tee Higgins
Zack Moss
Henry Ruggs
Jalen Reagor
Brandon Aiyuk
Denzel Mims
Michael Pittman
AJ Dillon
Chase Claypool
Joshua Kelley
Bryan Edwards
Laviska Shenault
Again more duds than studs
Keenan Allen would still help you more than Pittman 5 seasons in
Tee Higgins
Zack Moss
Henry Ruggs
Jalen Reagor
Brandon Aiyuk
Denzel Mims
Michael Pittman
AJ Dillon
Chase Claypool
Joshua Kelley
Bryan Edwards
Laviska Shenault
Again more duds than studs
Keenan Allen would still help you more than Pittman 5 seasons in
January 12, 2025 at 3:28 PM
2020 2nd since you wanted it so bad
Tee Higgins
Zack Moss
Henry Ruggs
Jalen Reagor
Brandon Aiyuk
Denzel Mims
Michael Pittman
AJ Dillon
Chase Claypool
Joshua Kelley
Bryan Edwards
Laviska Shenault
Again more duds than studs
Keenan Allen would still help you more than Pittman 5 seasons in
Tee Higgins
Zack Moss
Henry Ruggs
Jalen Reagor
Brandon Aiyuk
Denzel Mims
Michael Pittman
AJ Dillon
Chase Claypool
Joshua Kelley
Bryan Edwards
Laviska Shenault
Again more duds than studs
Keenan Allen would still help you more than Pittman 5 seasons in
Market cost lets you shift to known commodity and elevate risk. I’ve gotten Mixon for a 2nd, Jared Goff, Diggs the year he went to Buffalo. Allen and Diggs stacks helped me win a few leagues that year. Not that we want to win
January 12, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Market cost lets you shift to known commodity and elevate risk. I’ve gotten Mixon for a 2nd, Jared Goff, Diggs the year he went to Buffalo. Allen and Diggs stacks helped me win a few leagues that year. Not that we want to win
Reposted by Shane Swager
I like to trade my seconds for proven players and try to load up on 3rds for picking instead. I've hit on guys like B Rob, Downs, and Tracy bc I had multiple darts to throw. (Plenty of misses too ofc)
January 12, 2025 at 3:18 PM
I like to trade my seconds for proven players and try to load up on 3rds for picking instead. I've hit on guys like B Rob, Downs, and Tracy bc I had multiple darts to throw. (Plenty of misses too ofc)
I had lots of Dameon Pierce, he so far helped us a season. Tough to call a hit. It was fun for a minute. It’s a fact that less rookies hit than miss. Tougher to hit the later we get.
The answer to this post for you should be “I haven’t learned yet”
The answer to this post for you should be “I haven’t learned yet”
January 12, 2025 at 3:19 PM
I had lots of Dameon Pierce, he so far helped us a season. Tough to call a hit. It was fun for a minute. It’s a fact that less rookies hit than miss. Tougher to hit the later we get.
The answer to this post for you should be “I haven’t learned yet”
The answer to this post for you should be “I haven’t learned yet”
I didn’t pick the draft year you did. I could do this with any year. 2017 could be the strongest in your favor. Theres WR in the 2nd that did better than Corey Davis, TEs who did better than OJ Howard. You act like this is fools proof when your glorify your hits
January 12, 2025 at 3:16 PM
I didn’t pick the draft year you did. I could do this with any year. 2017 could be the strongest in your favor. Theres WR in the 2nd that did better than Corey Davis, TEs who did better than OJ Howard. You act like this is fools proof when your glorify your hits
ARSB is my highest rostered WR, yes it feels good. Everyone hated him. That doesn’t make Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, Michael Carter, Trey Sermon, Terrace Marshall, Kadarius Toney, Dyami Brown, Dee Eskridge, Amari Rodgers, or Kenneth Gainwell good picks
January 12, 2025 at 3:14 PM
ARSB is my highest rostered WR, yes it feels good. Everyone hated him. That doesn’t make Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, Michael Carter, Trey Sermon, Terrace Marshall, Kadarius Toney, Dyami Brown, Dee Eskridge, Amari Rodgers, or Kenneth Gainwell good picks
Who said anything about dismissing?
If someone like Kittle made it to the 4th round there’s an entire community not being diligent enough.
Amon being in the 2nd made more people wrong than the one person that drafted him. He was more of a miss than a hit.
If someone like Kittle made it to the 4th round there’s an entire community not being diligent enough.
Amon being in the 2nd made more people wrong than the one person that drafted him. He was more of a miss than a hit.
January 12, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Who said anything about dismissing?
If someone like Kittle made it to the 4th round there’s an entire community not being diligent enough.
Amon being in the 2nd made more people wrong than the one person that drafted him. He was more of a miss than a hit.
If someone like Kittle made it to the 4th round there’s an entire community not being diligent enough.
Amon being in the 2nd made more people wrong than the one person that drafted him. He was more of a miss than a hit.
Just look at all of your historical rookie drafts. Not your picks but each round and how they look. I once drafted George Kittle in the 4th round of a Rookie draft. That doesn’t make the 4th round the best formula for success
January 12, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Just look at all of your historical rookie drafts. Not your picks but each round and how they look. I once drafted George Kittle in the 4th round of a Rookie draft. That doesn’t make the 4th round the best formula for success
I think maybe you’re taking this the wrong way. I don’t even see how this is worth debating
January 12, 2025 at 3:02 PM
I think maybe you’re taking this the wrong way. I don’t even see how this is worth debating
ARSB is my highest rostered WR, yes it feels good. Everyone hated him. That doesn’t make Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, Michael Carter, Trey Sermon, Terrace Marshall, Kadarius Toney, Dyami Brown, Dee Eskridge, Amari Rodgers, or Kenneth Gainwell good picks
January 12, 2025 at 3:01 PM
ARSB is my highest rostered WR, yes it feels good. Everyone hated him. That doesn’t make Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, Michael Carter, Trey Sermon, Terrace Marshall, Kadarius Toney, Dyami Brown, Dee Eskridge, Amari Rodgers, or Kenneth Gainwell good picks
The hits are fun but there’s more misses than hits in between. “Almost” gives plenty of room for the few hits. It’s not like I’ve never hit in those rounds. I just understand that’s special and happens less often than we admit.
January 12, 2025 at 2:54 PM
The hits are fun but there’s more misses than hits in between. “Almost” gives plenty of room for the few hits. It’s not like I’ve never hit in those rounds. I just understand that’s special and happens less often than we admit.
Just because a player does good for a year or two doesn’t mean the known commodity you could have traded them for didn’t. Everyone knows using a rookie pick is like driving a brand new car off the lot. We rarely get the Ferrari. That new car smell is nice though
January 12, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Just because a player does good for a year or two doesn’t mean the known commodity you could have traded them for didn’t. Everyone knows using a rookie pick is like driving a brand new car off the lot. We rarely get the Ferrari. That new car smell is nice though
That’s less than 1/3 of the players over that time span and I would have trouble calling a few of them hits. So many of those players didn’t make it to the 2nd round of my drafts.
January 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
That’s less than 1/3 of the players over that time span and I would have trouble calling a few of them hits. So many of those players didn’t make it to the 2nd round of my drafts.
The “value” of the picks really have nothing to do with my post. There’s usually not 3-5 hits drafted in the 2nd round of a rookie draft either.
January 12, 2025 at 1:57 PM
The “value” of the picks really have nothing to do with my post. There’s usually not 3-5 hits drafted in the 2nd round of a rookie draft either.
Most of the players you mentioned weren’t drafted in the second round. Picking one draft that had more than a historical hit rate only moves the needle a little. The odds are still against us. Go back and look through all of your drafts. Shoot look at all the misses we have in the 1st round too
January 12, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Most of the players you mentioned weren’t drafted in the second round. Picking one draft that had more than a historical hit rate only moves the needle a little. The odds are still against us. Go back and look through all of your drafts. Shoot look at all the misses we have in the 1st round too
That’s just not accurate then. It’s definitely not a take. The only research you need to do is looking through your historical Rookie drafts.
January 12, 2025 at 1:48 PM
That’s just not accurate then. It’s definitely not a take. The only research you need to do is looking through your historical Rookie drafts.
Comparing NFL draft picks to Dynasty Rookie picks isn’t a good formula
January 12, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Comparing NFL draft picks to Dynasty Rookie picks isn’t a good formula
I agree it’s fun to make picks and we always feel savvy when our guy falls to us.
January 12, 2025 at 1:42 PM
I agree it’s fun to make picks and we always feel savvy when our guy falls to us.
Reposted by Shane Swager
It blows my mind that most people playing dynasty don’t realize that 2nd round picks are a sub-25% hit rate (declining from top of the round…) and that beyond the second, you’re throwing darts blindfolded in a hurricane.
It’s fun to make picks, but it’s lucrative to trade them.
It’s fun to make picks, but it’s lucrative to trade them.
January 11, 2025 at 11:37 PM
It blows my mind that most people playing dynasty don’t realize that 2nd round picks are a sub-25% hit rate (declining from top of the round…) and that beyond the second, you’re throwing darts blindfolded in a hurricane.
It’s fun to make picks, but it’s lucrative to trade them.
It’s fun to make picks, but it’s lucrative to trade them.
Reposted by Shane Swager
Been trading all my picks since day 1!
January 11, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Been trading all my picks since day 1!