Strolling Rabbi of no fixed address
strollingrabbi.bsky.social
Strolling Rabbi of no fixed address
@strollingrabbi.bsky.social
My brain thinks strange thoughts, so I share them with others
I came to the comment section for this comment
May 26, 2025 at 9:22 AM
It is especially curious since postal applications ended last Wednesday, so even if they couldn't keep up with the envelopes being returned, surely the envelopes issued should match the requests by now?
May 9, 2025 at 4:28 AM
Do these categories mean the same thing? And if they do, where are the remaining 2000 ballots?
May 9, 2025 at 4:28 AM
On postals - why does there seem to be a discrepancy on different parts of the AEC website?

In Goldstein:
On the downloads and statistics page the .csv file says 27,071 applications and 23,094 received

In results page it has 24,299 envelopes issued and 20,960 received
May 9, 2025 at 4:28 AM
5. I have been working on similar numbers to you that the Libs need 5-7% swing and 30-40% of ALP preferences, but because there are so many moving parts I cannot get a good read on where it is going.
April 22, 2025 at 9:56 AM
3. Liberals have lost 14% primary vote since 2019. Maybe cos they ran 2 of the worst candidates or is it changing demographics (probably a bit of both, but how much I don't know)
4. ALP running an open ticket will not sway any Jews, but may anger some others. Will probably be a slight net negative
April 22, 2025 at 9:56 AM
I live just over the border in Goldstein and spend lots of time in Macnamara
1. I don't know if many votes have changed over Gaza, but those opposed to the Greens are much louder now
2. Liberal house signs in North Caulfield is INTENSE, and that comes from someone used to seeing Zoe signs everywhere
April 22, 2025 at 9:56 AM
And while we are on the subject of idiot things politicians get up to
Mandatory minimums suggests we should trust MP's judgement more than judges who have spent a lifetime in the justice system

I am sure there are some bad judges, but there are many more silly politicans
#auspol
January 19, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Meanwhile it is certain that nothing Dutton will help, and he will almost certainly inflame the situation

He may put a lid on antisemitism temporarily, but it will be at the expense of broader social cohesion
#auspol
January 19, 2025 at 11:45 PM
And yes, I know that in #auspol it is a party room vote and not a membership vote

But if you needed $50,000 to contest (with the incumbent not required to pay) they would be a lot more careful about destabilising their leadership
January 19, 2025 at 2:44 AM
1. By the time Subs are delivered China will be in catastrophic population decline and won't have much of an army
2. It is not Albo opposing Israel. It is Netanyahu using the war to connect far right leaders around the world
3. He wants to work with Trump, who has just threatened NATO
January 13, 2025 at 3:54 AM
Unfortunately the persecution of Aboriginal people in the NT is not news
January 9, 2025 at 12:34 AM