Scott Keyes
smkeyes.bsky.social
Scott Keyes
@smkeyes.bsky.social
Founder, Going travel app. I find cheap flights, professionally.

Author: TAKE MORE VACATIONS
Three months in a row of YoY air passenger growth. TSA numbers:

September 2025: 71,947,622 (+0.5%)
September 2024: 71,599,103

Every month in 2025 so far has been +/-2% from 2024 figures.
October 1, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Adjusting for inflation, airfare in August was:

- Flat vs. 1 year ago
- 22% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 33% cheaper than 10 years ago

For the history of air travel, there's rarely been a cheaper time to fly than now, despite the last two months' price jumps.
September 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Yikes—flight prices up *6%* in August. Excluding 2020-2022, this is the 3rd largest one-month jump on record.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% higher than 12 months ago
- 18% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% lower than February 2020
September 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Two months in a row of YoY air passenger growth. TSA numbers:

August 2025: 80,306,610 (+1%)
August 2024: 79,508,438
September 2, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Adjusting for inflation, airfare in July was:

- 2% lower than 1 year ago
- 25% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 38% cheaper than 10 years ago

For the history of air travel, there's rarely been a cheaper time to fly than now.
August 12, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Airfare up 4% in July, the largest one-month jump since May 2022.

Airfares are currently:

- 1% higher than 12 months ago
- 22% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 8% lower than February 2020
August 12, 2025 at 3:00 PM
After 2 consecutive months of contraction, TSA numbers back to growth.

July 2025: 85.1 million (+1%)
July 2024: 84.1 million
August 11, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Adjusting for inflation, airfare in June was:

- 7% lower than 1 year ago
- 28% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 41% cheaper than 10 years ago

In fact, airfare in June 2025 was the 2nd cheapest month *on record* (#1: May 2020)
July 15, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Five drops in a row with flight prices down 0.1% in June.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020
July 15, 2025 at 10:03 PM
For the 3rd time in 6 months, TSA numbers last month finished lower than the previous year.

June 2025: 81.3 million (-1%)
June 2024: 82.1 million

Previously this hadn't happened since February 2021.
July 1, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in May was:

- 11% lower than 1 year ago
- 28% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 40% cheaper than 10 years ago

Remarkable stat: Adjusted for inflation, airfare in May 2025 was the 3rd cheapest month *ever*
June 11, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Flight prices fell *another* 3% in May, the fourth drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since Feb 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 7% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020
June 11, 2025 at 4:07 PM
For the second time in five months, TSA numbers in May finished lower than the previous year.

May 2025: 79.2 million (-1.7%)
May 2024: 80.6 million

Previously this hadn't happened since February 2021.
June 5, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in April was:

- 10% lower than 1 year ago
- 24% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 36% cheaper than 10 years ago

Remarkable stat: Adjusted for inflation, airfare in April 2025 is cheaper than it was in April 2020.
May 13, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Flight prices fell another 3% in April, the third drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since March 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 8% lower than 12 months ago
- 23% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 9% lower than February 2020
May 13, 2025 at 3:46 PM
April 2025 TSA numbers came in 0.2% higher than 2024. A new monthly record for April, however slight.

Apr 2025: 74,186,577
Apr 2024: 74,039,524
Apr 2019: 70,111,486

2025 travel volume continues to look virtually identical to 2024.
May 9, 2025 at 6:23 PM
March 2025 TSA numbers came in 0.2% *lower* than 2024—the first time since February 2021 that we've seen a YoY decrease in air travel volume.

Mar 2025: 77,204,653
Mar 2024: 77,362,019
Mar 2019: 73,181,158
May 9, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in March was:

- 7% lower than 1 year ago
- 23% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 35% cheaper than 10 years ago

We are living in the Golden Age of Cheap Flights.
April 10, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Flight prices sank 5% in March, the largest one-month drop since September 2021.

This is larger than any one-month drop between January 1996 and March 2020.

Airfares are currently:

- 5% lower than 12 months ago
- 21% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 7% lower than February 2020
April 10, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in February was:

- 3% lower than 1 year ago
- 19% cheaper than 5 years ago
- 33% cheaper than 10 years ago

We are living in the Golden Age of Cheap Flights.
March 12, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Flight prices fell 4% in February.

Perspective: this is larger than any one-month drop between December 2008 and March 2020.

Airfares are currently:

- 1% lower than 12 months ago
- 17% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 1% lower than February 2020
March 12, 2025 at 3:54 PM
February 2025 TSA numbers came in just 1% higher than 2024. A new February record, barely!

Feb 2025: 62,579,858
Feb 2024: 62,055,590
Feb 2019: 58,123,265
March 3, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in January was:

- 3% higher than 1 year ago
- 17% cheaper than 5 years ago
- 31% cheaper than 10 years ago

In spite of recent increases, airfare today is still near all-time lows.
February 12, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Flight prices up another 1% in January.

Airfares are currently:

- 7% higher than 12 months ago
- 13% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% higher than February 2020
February 12, 2025 at 5:07 PM
January 2025 TSA numbers up 2% over January 2024. New record for January air travel numbers.

Jan 2025: 65.7 million
Jan 2024: 64.4 million
Jan 2019: 58.6 million
February 3, 2025 at 6:47 PM