Yikes—flight prices up *6%* in August. Excluding 2020-2022, this is the 3rd largest one-month jump on record.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% higher than 12 months ago
- 18% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% lower than February 2020

Airfare up 4% in July, the largest one-month jump since May 2022.

Airfares are currently:

- 1% higher than 12 months ago
- 22% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 8% lower than February 2020

Five drops in a row with flight prices down 0.1% in June.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020

Flight prices fell *another* 3% in May, the fourth drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since Feb 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 7% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020

Flight prices fell another 3% in April, the third drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since March 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 8% lower than 12 months ago
- 23% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 9% lower than February 2020

#10 ✅

bsky.app/profile/smke...

#6 ✅

airlinegeeks.com/2025/04/15/a...

Flight prices sank 5% in March, the largest one-month drop since September 2021.

This is larger than any one-month drop between January 1996 and March 2020.

Airfares are currently:

- 5% lower than 12 months ago
- 21% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 7% lower than February 2020

Flight prices fell 4% in February.

Perspective: this is larger than any one-month drop between December 2008 and March 2020.

Airfares are currently:

- 1% lower than 12 months ago
- 17% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 1% lower than February 2020

Flight prices up another 1% in January.

Airfares are currently:

- 7% higher than 12 months ago
- 13% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% higher than February 2020

Flight prices up another 4% in December—the highest one-month jump since May 2022.

Airfares are currently:

- 8% higher than 12 months ago
- 13% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% higher than February 2020

Five months in a row of airfare increases. Yikes.

After going 10/12 in 2024, here's my 2025 @goingapp.bsky.social travel predictions:

Good stuff:

(1) There will be 3–7 mistake fares.

(2) You’ll have more elbow room.

(3) More flights to Asia than 2024.

(4) More deals to Europe than 2024.

(5) No bag fee increases.

A year ago I made 12 travel predictions for 2024.

Here's how they scored:

✅ 10
❌ 2

(1) Average airfare won’t rise or fall more than 5%.

Actual: 4.7% ✅

(2) A new record for air travel numbers.

2023: 854 million
2024: 901 million ✅

(3) Flight cancellations under 2% for the year.

Actual: 1.6% ✅

Big jump in December TSA numbers, up 9% over 2023. Reverses a narrowing trend.

Dec 2024: 77.2 million
Dec 2023: 71.0 million
Dec 2019: 70.4 million

Full year numbers:

2024: 901 million (new record, +5.5%)
2023: 854 million
2019: 840 million

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in November (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇯🇵 Japan - $436 nonstop
🇧🇷 Brazil - $376
🇦🇺 Australia - $685
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $191 nonstop

Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in November was:

- 1% higher than 1 year ago
- 19% cheaper than 5 years ago
- 35% cheaper than 10 years ago

Don't be fooled—airfare today is still a bargain compared to nearly everything else we buy.

Flight prices nudged up 0.5% in November—the fourth increase in four months.

Airfares are currently:

- 5% higher than 12 months ago
- 16% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 1% cheaper than February 2020

Three previous months saw big spikes—November sign of airfare starting to drop?

Final November TSA numbers were up <1% compared to 2023, the smallest YoY increase to date.

Nov 2024: 71.9 million
Nov 2023: 71.3 million
Nov 2019: 70.4 million

Good news though: Yesterday (Dec 1) set a new single-day record—3.1 million US air travelers.