Shel Winkley
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Shel Winkley
@shelwinkleywx.bsky.social
@climatecentral.org | Former KBTX Chief Meteorologist | AMS CBM #780 | TAMU Class of 2007 | 🔴 🌎 Climate Change is Real.
Temperature 📉 coming to the Brazos Valley tonight.

Afternoon rain/storms chance ends 10-11pm as a cold front passes.

Temperatures crash to upper 30s/low 40s by sunrise. Wind chill (feels like) ~32° @ sunrise Sunday.

Sunday: 50s, chills in the 40s #bcstx
November 29, 2025 at 5:04 PM
#bcstx hit 83°F Sunday: 13° above avg for Nov. 16. More like early October than mid-November.

Warmth sticks around Mon-Wed. Highs forecast to tie/break daily records.

@climatecentral.org’s Climate Shift Index shows this kind of fall warmth is now at least 2x more likely because of climate change.
November 17, 2025 at 1:36 AM
Round #1 of storms was overnight.
Round #2 is expected to come together by mid-late afternoon & rattle through most of the evening.

Early morning version for what the radar could look like as we await this second batch of active weather across the Brazos Valley
October 25, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Forecast radar for rounds of rain & storms (perhaps a few severe w/ strong wind gusts as the main concern overnight)

Line of storm timing✅
Expect sunrise rain with a morning lull.
Personally, think the 2nd round timing is too slow. Suspect afternoon rain could be possible
#bcsx #txwx
October 25, 2025 at 2:41 AM
Let's. Go.
🌧️🌧️🌧️

Weekend (much, much needed) rain loading...
October 23, 2025 at 3:24 PM
#Melissa is stewing over Caribbean waters 2°F+ above average — made 600x more likely by oceans storing ~90% of the extra heat from *our* carbon pollution.

Thread below on why that matters for this late-season storm👇
October 22, 2025 at 2:58 PM