Shaun Newkirk
@shauncore.bsky.social
Mostly NFL and MLB stats, finance, films, occasionally dogs. Seriously, don't listen to me I am almost certainly wrong. CFA. Sabermetric friendly.
Pretty neat to see a scatterplot this clean. It's barrel% and xwOBACON for every batter since 2015 (min. 300 PA season)
(and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)
(and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)
June 24, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Pretty neat to see a scatterplot this clean. It's barrel% and xwOBACON for every batter since 2015 (min. 300 PA season)
(and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)
(and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)
If I only did my favorites, it would be something this
June 24, 2025 at 1:42 AM
If I only did my favorites, it would be something this
I think this is my ballot if I'm considering the best (not just my favorites)
June 24, 2025 at 1:35 AM
I think this is my ballot if I'm considering the best (not just my favorites)
Caglianone has a 16 wRC+ including tonight, 4th lowest for a Royals rookie (min. 40 PA). But on a positive spin, the best player in Royals franchise history had the worst rookie hitting season in franchise history.
June 18, 2025 at 2:23 AM
Caglianone has a 16 wRC+ including tonight, 4th lowest for a Royals rookie (min. 40 PA). But on a positive spin, the best player in Royals franchise history had the worst rookie hitting season in franchise history.
Daniel Murphy when he sees the Mets pride shirts:
June 13, 2025 at 10:59 PM
Daniel Murphy when he sees the Mets pride shirts:
This is actually a funny point raised here: the Royals catchers are so good at preventing steals when they happen, it prevents them from having opportunities to throw out runners (and turn a hit/walk into an out) and thus, not add the value other teams have with lower rates!
May 30, 2025 at 8:01 PM
This is actually a funny point raised here: the Royals catchers are so good at preventing steals when they happen, it prevents them from having opportunities to throw out runners (and turn a hit/walk into an out) and thus, not add the value other teams have with lower rates!
Am I crazy or did NFL Pro add new split filters?
May 14, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Am I crazy or did NFL Pro add new split filters?
Here is the what I would do mock draft, based off team needs (per PFF), the consensus big board rankings, and how I think about positional value mostly in the draft
April 21, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Here is the what I would do mock draft, based off team needs (per PFF), the consensus big board rankings, and how I think about positional value mostly in the draft
Called out, challenge not given
April 18, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Called out, challenge not given
Nugget from Dane Brugler's AMA. Looking at some various trackers, Ruben Hyppolite has had a top 30 visit to the Lions and a private workout with the Patriots.
April 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Nugget from Dane Brugler's AMA. Looking at some various trackers, Ruben Hyppolite has had a top 30 visit to the Lions and a private workout with the Patriots.
DK thinks Jalen Milroe is more likely to go in the first round than Luther Burden
April 16, 2025 at 4:08 PM
DK thinks Jalen Milroe is more likely to go in the first round than Luther Burden
How can that be profitable for 7Up?
April 15, 2025 at 10:50 PM
How can that be profitable for 7Up?
Oh yeah QB Heat Maps too and combine metric percentiles
April 1, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Oh yeah QB Heat Maps too and combine metric percentiles
The PFF Draft Guide is out. Last year it sadly was only really half finished, but this year it's the full thing. Full of scouting profiles, traditional stats, advanced stats, and the always necessary player comps.
April 1, 2025 at 3:44 PM
The PFF Draft Guide is out. Last year it sadly was only really half finished, but this year it's the full thing. Full of scouting profiles, traditional stats, advanced stats, and the always necessary player comps.
Obviously a comically small sample size, but here is the reported list of torpedo bat users and their hitting so far. Combined for a .284/.365/.537 (148 wRC+) line
April 1, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Obviously a comically small sample size, but here is the reported list of torpedo bat users and their hitting so far. Combined for a .284/.365/.537 (148 wRC+) line
People say "what for the guarantees" when an NFL contract gets announced, but I'm proposing we say "wait for Jason's breakdown at OTC" instead
overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...
overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...
March 21, 2025 at 5:01 PM
People say "what for the guarantees" when an NFL contract gets announced, but I'm proposing we say "wait for Jason's breakdown at OTC" instead
overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...
overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...
Here is my mock drafted based off *what I would do* in each spot, balancing team need, aggregate boards, and just my personal preference for some positional value/players.
March 18, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Here is my mock drafted based off *what I would do* in each spot, balancing team need, aggregate boards, and just my personal preference for some positional value/players.
Watched some Tyler Warren last night and...he's just insane? Likely comically big and dominant. Give me him over Loveland.
(note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))
(note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))
March 18, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Watched some Tyler Warren last night and...he's just insane? Likely comically big and dominant. Give me him over Loveland.
(note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))
(note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))
Chiefs playing Joe Thuney at left tackle somehow made it into a bit on Last Week Tonight...
March 17, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Chiefs playing Joe Thuney at left tackle somehow made it into a bit on Last Week Tonight...
Nets to be something like a mid-6th pickup for Buffao plus they get the $2.6M cap savings when they are pretty tight against the cap. Doesn't quite recoup what they net paid for Elam but it's not that far off (ignoring the value they lost with the pick itself)
March 12, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Nets to be something like a mid-6th pickup for Buffao plus they get the $2.6M cap savings when they are pretty tight against the cap. Doesn't quite recoup what they net paid for Elam but it's not that far off (ignoring the value they lost with the pick itself)
Looking at Joey Bosa's numbers, his get off time has stayed the same, but his time to pressure, pressure rate, and sack rate have all gone down. Could it be his reaction skill has stayed the same, but his physical movements have been reduced due to injury?
March 12, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Looking at Joey Bosa's numbers, his get off time has stayed the same, but his time to pressure, pressure rate, and sack rate have all gone down. Could it be his reaction skill has stayed the same, but his physical movements have been reduced due to injury?
Here are the teams that roughly have done well in free agency so far
March 11, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Here are the teams that roughly have done well in free agency so far
Seen some valid chatter that the Chiefs signing Fulton allows McDuffie to play in the slot more, which makes me think that when it comes time to extend McDuffie, you can't pay him like an elite outside corner ($25M APY)? Maybe closer to nickel DB or free safety?
March 11, 2025 at 5:52 PM
Seen some valid chatter that the Chiefs signing Fulton allows McDuffie to play in the slot more, which makes me think that when it comes time to extend McDuffie, you can't pay him like an elite outside corner ($25M APY)? Maybe closer to nickel DB or free safety?