bread
@seattlebread.bsky.social
that’s not really a benefit though. we trade the seattle city council and mayor always being chosen by a more conservative electorate for maybe a benefit to some levies and ballot measures? not worth it.
November 16, 2025 at 2:24 AM
that’s not really a benefit though. we trade the seattle city council and mayor always being chosen by a more conservative electorate for maybe a benefit to some levies and ballot measures? not worth it.
what’s stopping us, state law?
November 15, 2025 at 1:39 AM
what’s stopping us, state law?
i’m so grateful we could get the commercial property manager’s take on homelessness
November 14, 2025 at 2:32 PM
i’m so grateful we could get the commercial property manager’s take on homelessness
it’s the best holiday, the entire point is to appreciate family, friends, and FOOD! the most american and most inclusive holiday
November 13, 2025 at 8:36 PM
it’s the best holiday, the entire point is to appreciate family, friends, and FOOD! the most american and most inclusive holiday
this may not exist but i’d love to see more granular data on votes counted over time from king county. katie’s drop on day 2 versus election day points to something more complex than simply a late swing to the progressive candidate.
November 11, 2025 at 3:22 AM
this may not exist but i’d love to see more granular data on votes counted over time from king county. katie’s drop on day 2 versus election day points to something more complex than simply a late swing to the progressive candidate.
sure enough! her margin in this batch increased 0.8% to 55.6%. if she maintains this margin for 10k remaining ballots, she'll end up at 50.03% overall, beating bruce by 1,235 votes (0.44%).
bruce needs 50.3% of the remaining ballots to win, which is >6% swing from his 44.1% in the last batch.
bruce needs 50.3% of the remaining ballots to win, which is >6% swing from his 44.1% in the last batch.
November 11, 2025 at 1:51 AM
sure enough! her margin in this batch increased 0.8% to 55.6%. if she maintains this margin for 10k remaining ballots, she'll end up at 50.03% overall, beating bruce by 1,235 votes (0.44%).
bruce needs 50.3% of the remaining ballots to win, which is >6% swing from his 44.1% in the last batch.
bruce needs 50.3% of the remaining ballots to win, which is >6% swing from his 44.1% in the last batch.
man the one good thing she ever tried to do
November 10, 2025 at 11:51 PM
man the one good thing she ever tried to do
Looking at historical daily counts, the share that the progressive takes typically doesn't go down from here. (Until the tiny updates at the end).
November 10, 2025 at 7:39 PM
the slope leveling off here doesn’t necessarily indicate her share of the vote dropping. later vote drops have a smaller impact on the overall margin because they are a smaller portion of all votes counted at that point.
November 10, 2025 at 7:36 PM
the slope leveling off here doesn’t necessarily indicate her share of the vote dropping. later vote drops have a smaller impact on the overall margin because they are a smaller portion of all votes counted at that point.
she wins the same portion of remaining ballots but that’s being averaged with more votes counted previously, so it has less of an impact.
another way to look at it is her win portion is an asymptote that the overall margin will approach but not cross.
another way to look at it is her win portion is an asymptote that the overall margin will approach but not cross.
November 10, 2025 at 7:30 PM
she wins the same portion of remaining ballots but that’s being averaged with more votes counted previously, so it has less of an impact.
another way to look at it is her win portion is an asymptote that the overall margin will approach but not cross.
another way to look at it is her win portion is an asymptote that the overall margin will approach but not cross.
here's my attempt, with the red line showing where wilson would end up if she wins the same portion of remaining ballots that she won in the latest batch — it ends up being just a 0.2% margin
November 10, 2025 at 2:22 AM
here's my attempt, with the red line showing where wilson would end up if she wins the same portion of remaining ballots that she won in the latest batch — it ends up being just a 0.2% margin
one of your very best!
November 9, 2025 at 7:37 PM
one of your very best!
what if put vote margin over votes counted?
or even share of votes counted out of total turnout for that year.
it’s an approximation of the continuous count of vote margin in the order the votes are counted
or even share of votes counted out of total turnout for that year.
it’s an approximation of the continuous count of vote margin in the order the votes are counted
November 8, 2025 at 7:32 AM
what if put vote margin over votes counted?
or even share of votes counted out of total turnout for that year.
it’s an approximation of the continuous count of vote margin in the order the votes are counted
or even share of votes counted out of total turnout for that year.
it’s an approximation of the continuous count of vote margin in the order the votes are counted
any idea how many ballots remain to be counted?
November 5, 2025 at 4:31 AM
any idea how many ballots remain to be counted?
carter here’s what i said originally that offended you so much. see any mention of my sexuality? or excuses for mike? nope and yet you’ll keep lying about me.
sorry should i be calling him “my cock” instead? how about that other word you like to throw around? the one starting with f?
sorry should i be calling him “my cock” instead? how about that other word you like to throw around? the one starting with f?
November 3, 2025 at 12:01 AM
carter here’s what i said originally that offended you so much. see any mention of my sexuality? or excuses for mike? nope and yet you’ll keep lying about me.
sorry should i be calling him “my cock” instead? how about that other word you like to throw around? the one starting with f?
sorry should i be calling him “my cock” instead? how about that other word you like to throw around? the one starting with f?
pretty bold of you to say i don’t respect queer people because i’ll call out homophobia no matter who it comes from.
doubly so when you drop some casual homophobia of your own because a gay man dared disagree with you. “wahh why is it their whole personality” you sound like mike johnson dude
doubly so when you drop some casual homophobia of your own because a gay man dared disagree with you. “wahh why is it their whole personality” you sound like mike johnson dude
November 2, 2025 at 11:00 PM
pretty bold of you to say i don’t respect queer people because i’ll call out homophobia no matter who it comes from.
doubly so when you drop some casual homophobia of your own because a gay man dared disagree with you. “wahh why is it their whole personality” you sound like mike johnson dude
doubly so when you drop some casual homophobia of your own because a gay man dared disagree with you. “wahh why is it their whole personality” you sound like mike johnson dude