Older voters became more pro-union post-2014/16 and younger voters became more pro-indy and the elderly are a bigger cohort so it all came out in the wash!

Finally, while the salience of independence continues to fall, #indyref2 views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧

Opinions are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @teamlabouruk.bsky.social govt. in London 👀

Vote intention is stabilising ahead of 2026 🗳️

@reformukscotland.bsky.social's rapid increase has plateaued and @snp.org remain on ~30% 🤷🏻

But @scottishlabour.bsky.social need to close the gap again if they hope to make @anassarwar.bsky.social FM 🌹

@scottories.bsky.social struggles persist 🤒

On issues, the constitutional question has substantially declined in relevance in the last couple of years 🪧

Scots remain overwhelmingly preoccupied with the state of the economy, the health service, education and increasingly immigration and housing 🏗️

Government performance evaluations are similar. First Minister @johnswinney.bsky.social seems to have arrested but not reversed the decline 🫷🏻

Meanwhile, views of the newish
@10dowingstreet.bsky.social have only improved marginally over its predecessor 🚪

Scots have become significantly more pessimistic about the country's direction since covid, but attitudes seem to have stabilised over the past year 🥱

A warm welcome to all colleagues arriving from around the UK and Europe 🥃

Massive congrats to all the other prize winners, particularly our @edinburghpir.bsky.social colleagues, and thank you to the PSA and the judges for this recognition. We had a great time in Brum and look forward to seeing everyone in Oxford next year!

We find that Reform are, unsurprisingly, attracting anti-immigration and anti-establishment voters in Scotland. They pose a big threat to the @scottories.bsky.social but could be held back by a limited pool of prospective voters and Farage's personal ratings.