It's very different, in 22/23 City had a massive advantage on team rating. That's swung Arsenal's favor here.

The other season that we care about, 2023-24:

Arsenal Compared to Corresponding Fixtures 2023-24 Season
Points: +4 (26 vs 22)
xG: +2.3 (19.2 vs 16.9)
G: -4 (20 vs 24)
xGA: -1.9 (6 vs 7.9)
GA: -2.0 (5 vs 7)
xG Dif: +4.2 (13.2 vs 9.0)
G Dif: -2 (15 vs 17)

Continued:

Chelsea: 2025-02-14 | 0-3 @ Brighton
Manchester City: 2025-02-02 | 1-5 @ Arsenal
Arsenal: 2023-05-14 | 0-3 vs Brighton

This doesn't account for changes in rating that will also happen but it will be close enough

Yeah that’s something I brought up too. No way to get out