Scott Willis
@scott.cannonstats.com
Soccer | Arsenal | Stats | Stats Guy and a Civilian | Cannon Stats
Pinned
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
Looking at how the weekend's results move around the title odds
www.cannonstats.com
Doing a check in how the results form this weekend shifted the Premier League title odds
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
Premier League - Weighted xG+Goal Difference and Non-Pen xG Difference By Match
November 11, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Premier League - Weighted xG+Goal Difference and Non-Pen xG Difference By Match
Here is how the Cannon Stats very ordinary and decidedly not super computer sees the Premier League
November 11, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Here is how the Cannon Stats very ordinary and decidedly not super computer sees the Premier League
Premier League Simulation - 2025-11-11
November 11, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Premier League Simulation - 2025-11-11
Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through round 11
Overall
11v11
Close game state (+/- 1 Goal)
Last 10 matches played
Overall
11v11
Close game state (+/- 1 Goal)
Last 10 matches played
November 11, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through round 11
Overall
11v11
Close game state (+/- 1 Goal)
Last 10 matches played
Overall
11v11
Close game state (+/- 1 Goal)
Last 10 matches played
Premier League Points vs xPts over under - 2025-2026 Through Round 11
November 11, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Premier League Points vs xPts over under - 2025-2026 Through Round 11
Big 5 Leagues Combined Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through 2025-11-10
November 10, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Big 5 Leagues Combined Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through 2025-11-10
Title Odds Change:
Arsenal 78% -> 76%
Man City 13% -> 18%
Liverpool 9% -> 5%
Chelsea 0.4% -> 1%
Arsenal 78% -> 76%
Man City 13% -> 18%
Liverpool 9% -> 5%
Chelsea 0.4% -> 1%
Doing a check in how the results form this weekend shifted the Premier League title odds
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
Looking at how the weekend's results move around the title odds
www.cannonstats.com
November 10, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Title Odds Change:
Arsenal 78% -> 76%
Man City 13% -> 18%
Liverpool 9% -> 5%
Chelsea 0.4% -> 1%
Arsenal 78% -> 76%
Man City 13% -> 18%
Liverpool 9% -> 5%
Chelsea 0.4% -> 1%
Doing a check in how the results form this weekend shifted the Premier League title odds
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
Looking at how the weekend's results move around the title odds
www.cannonstats.com
November 10, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Doing a check in how the results form this weekend shifted the Premier League title odds
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
A disappointing weekend for Arsenal, a great weekend for City, and a disaster for Liverpool
www.cannonstats.com/p/a-disappoi...
Sunderland vs Arsenal: The Debrief - Breaking down the trip to the Stadium of Light www.cannonstats.com/p/sunderland...
Sunderland vs Arsenal: The Debrief
Breaking down the trip to the Stadium of Light
www.cannonstats.com
November 10, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Sunderland vs Arsenal: The Debrief - Breaking down the trip to the Stadium of Light www.cannonstats.com/p/sunderland...
Arsenal Compared to Corresponding Fixtures Last Season
Points: +7 (26 vs 19)
xG: -1.6 (19.2 vs 20.8)
G: -4 (20 vs 24)
xGA: -3.6 (6 vs 9.6)
GA: -7.0 (5 vs 12)
xG Dif: +2.0 (13.2 vs 11.2)
G Dif: +3 (15 vs 12)
Points: +7 (26 vs 19)
xG: -1.6 (19.2 vs 20.8)
G: -4 (20 vs 24)
xGA: -3.6 (6 vs 9.6)
GA: -7.0 (5 vs 12)
xG Dif: +2.0 (13.2 vs 11.2)
G Dif: +3 (15 vs 12)
November 10, 2025 at 11:43 AM
Arsenal Compared to Corresponding Fixtures Last Season
Points: +7 (26 vs 19)
xG: -1.6 (19.2 vs 20.8)
G: -4 (20 vs 24)
xGA: -3.6 (6 vs 9.6)
GA: -7.0 (5 vs 12)
xG Dif: +2.0 (13.2 vs 11.2)
G Dif: +3 (15 vs 12)
Points: +7 (26 vs 19)
xG: -1.6 (19.2 vs 20.8)
G: -4 (20 vs 24)
xGA: -3.6 (6 vs 9.6)
GA: -7.0 (5 vs 12)
xG Dif: +2.0 (13.2 vs 11.2)
G Dif: +3 (15 vs 12)
Latest Cannon Stats Podcast is out. Talking about the Sunderland match
Cannon Stats - The Analytics Podcast: Arsenal Drop Points but Give Us Reasons for Optimism
On this episode of the Cannon Stats podcast, Adam and Scott break down Arsenal’s draw away at Sunderland, hitting the main points of the match, the individual performances, and have some big pict...
pod.fo
November 10, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Latest Cannon Stats Podcast is out. Talking about the Sunderland match
New Cannon Stats Podcast: Arsenal Drop Points but Give Us Reasons for Optimism
A nice chat about the Sunderland match, both of us feel more positive about Arsenal after that match even though it wasn't the result we wanted or really deserved.
www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-dr...
A nice chat about the Sunderland match, both of us feel more positive about Arsenal after that match even though it wasn't the result we wanted or really deserved.
www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-dr...
Arsenal Drop Points but Give Us Reasons for Optimism
Takeaways from Sunderland vs Arsenal on the latest Cannon Stats Podcast
www.cannonstats.com
November 9, 2025 at 9:04 PM
New Cannon Stats Podcast: Arsenal Drop Points but Give Us Reasons for Optimism
A nice chat about the Sunderland match, both of us feel more positive about Arsenal after that match even though it wasn't the result we wanted or really deserved.
www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-dr...
A nice chat about the Sunderland match, both of us feel more positive about Arsenal after that match even though it wasn't the result we wanted or really deserved.
www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-dr...
The last time each "Big 6" team has lost by 3 goals or more in the Premier League
Liverpool: 2025-11-09 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Manchester United: 2025-09-14 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Spurs: 2025-05-25 |1-4 vs Brighton
Liverpool: 2025-11-09 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Manchester United: 2025-09-14 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Spurs: 2025-05-25 |1-4 vs Brighton
November 9, 2025 at 8:54 PM
The last time each "Big 6" team has lost by 3 goals or more in the Premier League
Liverpool: 2025-11-09 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Manchester United: 2025-09-14 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Spurs: 2025-05-25 |1-4 vs Brighton
Liverpool: 2025-11-09 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Manchester United: 2025-09-14 | 0-3 @ Manchester City
Spurs: 2025-05-25 |1-4 vs Brighton
This is Liverpool's first loss by 3 goals in the Premier League since 2023-04-01. They lost that one 4-1 also against Manchester City.
November 9, 2025 at 6:36 PM
This is Liverpool's first loss by 3 goals in the Premier League since 2023-04-01. They lost that one 4-1 also against Manchester City.
This was asked in the CannonStats discord, here is how things stand now based on how the result of this City vs Liverpool match goes.
Either team winning isn't something that changes really for Arsenal (obviously changes for that team). A draw the best for Arsenal but that doesn't look likely.
Either team winning isn't something that changes really for Arsenal (obviously changes for that team). A draw the best for Arsenal but that doesn't look likely.
November 9, 2025 at 5:23 PM
This was asked in the CannonStats discord, here is how things stand now based on how the result of this City vs Liverpool match goes.
Either team winning isn't something that changes really for Arsenal (obviously changes for that team). A draw the best for Arsenal but that doesn't look likely.
Either team winning isn't something that changes really for Arsenal (obviously changes for that team). A draw the best for Arsenal but that doesn't look likely.
For the first half yesterday by my calculations the ball in play time was just 23 minutes. A very start stop match and it was very much the type of disruption that Sunderland wanted.
Arsenal were much better in the second half to impose their style on the match.
Arsenal were much better in the second half to impose their style on the match.
November 9, 2025 at 4:24 PM
For the first half yesterday by my calculations the ball in play time was just 23 minutes. A very start stop match and it was very much the type of disruption that Sunderland wanted.
Arsenal were much better in the second half to impose their style on the match.
Arsenal were much better in the second half to impose their style on the match.
Granit Xhaka, Performance
Arsenal did a good job to not let the ex-Arsenal man do much or really impact the game here.
His only "highlight" was yelling at Merino after he fouled him and bringing back that even though his reputation was rehabbed after leaving, why I often disliked him at Arsenal
Arsenal did a good job to not let the ex-Arsenal man do much or really impact the game here.
His only "highlight" was yelling at Merino after he fouled him and bringing back that even though his reputation was rehabbed after leaving, why I often disliked him at Arsenal
November 9, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Granit Xhaka, Performance
Arsenal did a good job to not let the ex-Arsenal man do much or really impact the game here.
His only "highlight" was yelling at Merino after he fouled him and bringing back that even though his reputation was rehabbed after leaving, why I often disliked him at Arsenal
Arsenal did a good job to not let the ex-Arsenal man do much or really impact the game here.
His only "highlight" was yelling at Merino after he fouled him and bringing back that even though his reputation was rehabbed after leaving, why I often disliked him at Arsenal
Average touch locations and passing networks broken out by quarter of the match.
Got a bit too deep late for my taste.
Got a bit too deep late for my taste.
November 9, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Average touch locations and passing networks broken out by quarter of the match.
Got a bit too deep late for my taste.
Got a bit too deep late for my taste.
Arsenal vs Sunderland ball progression
November 9, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Arsenal vs Sunderland ball progression
Reupping my thoughts at full time.
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
- Main takeaway: Sometimes you get footballed , plus some positives, and a negative
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
- Main takeaway: Sometimes you get footballed , plus some positives, and a negative
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
My raw reaction on the final whistle to Fulham vs Arsenal
www.cannonstats.com
November 9, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Reupping my thoughts at full time.
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
- Main takeaway: Sometimes you get footballed , plus some positives, and a negative
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
- Main takeaway: Sometimes you get footballed , plus some positives, and a negative
If Arsenal were chasing the game late I’d be more open to the bench was light stuff.
Arsenal had plenty of midfield and defensive depth there with White, Lewis-Skelly, Hincapie, Mosquera, Norgaard available. Only 1 got one.
Arsenal had plenty of midfield and defensive depth there with White, Lewis-Skelly, Hincapie, Mosquera, Norgaard available. Only 1 got one.
November 8, 2025 at 9:11 PM
If Arsenal were chasing the game late I’d be more open to the bench was light stuff.
Arsenal had plenty of midfield and defensive depth there with White, Lewis-Skelly, Hincapie, Mosquera, Norgaard available. Only 1 got one.
Arsenal had plenty of midfield and defensive depth there with White, Lewis-Skelly, Hincapie, Mosquera, Norgaard available. Only 1 got one.
Saka had looked like he was playing within himself quite a bit since coming back from injury. Here he looked much more like THE GUY we want and know he can be.
He put the team on his back in the second half.
He put the team on his back in the second half.
November 8, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Saka had looked like he was playing within himself quite a bit since coming back from injury. Here he looked much more like THE GUY we want and know he can be.
He put the team on his back in the second half.
He put the team on his back in the second half.
My raw reaction here. Arsenal should have had more, but that is the game sometimes. www.cannonstats.com/p/first-thou...
First Thoughts: Sunderland vs Arsenal
My raw reaction on the final whistle to Fulham vs Arsenal
www.cannonstats.com
November 8, 2025 at 8:44 PM
My raw reaction here. Arsenal should have had more, but that is the game sometimes. www.cannonstats.com/p/first-thou...
Sunderland vs Arsenal Deserve to win-o-meter
November 8, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Sunderland vs Arsenal Deserve to win-o-meter
Sunderland 2 (0.9)-(2.0) 2 Arsenal
A very annoying game. A couple of mistakes from Arsenal and not enough energy to see it out after a great fight back.
A very annoying game. A couple of mistakes from Arsenal and not enough energy to see it out after a great fight back.
November 8, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Sunderland 2 (0.9)-(2.0) 2 Arsenal
A very annoying game. A couple of mistakes from Arsenal and not enough energy to see it out after a great fight back.
A very annoying game. A couple of mistakes from Arsenal and not enough energy to see it out after a great fight back.