Sanpaku
@sanpaku.bsky.social
Lapsed scientist. Book, film, and music enthusiast. Collapse aware since 2001.
Henry Hub pricing is running counter to the NG storage reports, running within 0.2% of 5 year highs.
My personal hope is that a mild winter offers better entry points in the NG E&Ps, when I'm ready to rotate from gold miners.
ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
My personal hope is that a mild winter offers better entry points in the NG E&Ps, when I'm ready to rotate from gold miners.
ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
November 15, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Henry Hub pricing is running counter to the NG storage reports, running within 0.2% of 5 year highs.
My personal hope is that a mild winter offers better entry points in the NG E&Ps, when I'm ready to rotate from gold miners.
ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
My personal hope is that a mild winter offers better entry points in the NG E&Ps, when I'm ready to rotate from gold miners.
ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
Would "concavity" and "convexity" work?
November 14, 2025 at 1:59 AM
Would "concavity" and "convexity" work?
The trio of groups meriting care in the Hebrew bible is 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘴, orphans, and widows:
Ex. 22:20-21, Deut. 10:17-18, 24:17, and 27:19, Ps. 146:9, Jer. 7:5-7, Zech. 7:10, Mal. 3:5.
So Trump, how is Stephen doing treating the foreigners with kindness and humanity?
Ex. 22:20-21, Deut. 10:17-18, 24:17, and 27:19, Ps. 146:9, Jer. 7:5-7, Zech. 7:10, Mal. 3:5.
So Trump, how is Stephen doing treating the foreigners with kindness and humanity?
November 14, 2025 at 1:52 AM
The trio of groups meriting care in the Hebrew bible is 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘴, orphans, and widows:
Ex. 22:20-21, Deut. 10:17-18, 24:17, and 27:19, Ps. 146:9, Jer. 7:5-7, Zech. 7:10, Mal. 3:5.
So Trump, how is Stephen doing treating the foreigners with kindness and humanity?
Ex. 22:20-21, Deut. 10:17-18, 24:17, and 27:19, Ps. 146:9, Jer. 7:5-7, Zech. 7:10, Mal. 3:5.
So Trump, how is Stephen doing treating the foreigners with kindness and humanity?
I've hiked cold weather with a béret basque. They're not like military berets, there's enough wool that one can pull it forward or to the side to shade eyes and ears.
And from Basque country to Northern Spain to Argentina...
And from Basque country to Northern Spain to Argentina...
November 13, 2025 at 5:06 AM
I've hiked cold weather with a béret basque. They're not like military berets, there's enough wool that one can pull it forward or to the side to shade eyes and ears.
And from Basque country to Northern Spain to Argentina...
And from Basque country to Northern Spain to Argentina...
My key takeaway is that climate models, by underestimating aerosol masking, also greatly underestimated equilibrium climate sensitivity.
A study from 2005:
www.nature.com/articles/nat...
A study from 2005:
www.nature.com/articles/nat...
Strong present-day aerosol cooling implies a hot future - Nature
Nature - Strong present-day aerosol cooling implies a hot future
www.nature.com
November 12, 2025 at 10:20 AM
My key takeaway is that climate models, by underestimating aerosol masking, also greatly underestimated equilibrium climate sensitivity.
A study from 2005:
www.nature.com/articles/nat...
A study from 2005:
www.nature.com/articles/nat...
This targeting has all the marks of some hallucinating Palantir AI.
60 people murdered, because someone on the boat had taken cell calls from an alleged cartel member somewhere in the phone logs.
60 people murdered, because someone on the boat had taken cell calls from an alleged cartel member somewhere in the phone logs.
November 7, 2025 at 5:18 PM
This targeting has all the marks of some hallucinating Palantir AI.
60 people murdered, because someone on the boat had taken cell calls from an alleged cartel member somewhere in the phone logs.
60 people murdered, because someone on the boat had taken cell calls from an alleged cartel member somewhere in the phone logs.
The bible is very clear about how foreigners (aliens, strangers, sojourners) should be treated.
גֵּ֣ר : biblehub.com/hebrew/ger_1...
גֵרִ֥ים : biblehub.com/hebrew/gerim...
גֵּ֣ר : biblehub.com/hebrew/ger_1...
גֵרִ֥ים : biblehub.com/hebrew/gerim...
November 6, 2025 at 3:34 PM
The bible is very clear about how foreigners (aliens, strangers, sojourners) should be treated.
גֵּ֣ר : biblehub.com/hebrew/ger_1...
גֵרִ֥ים : biblehub.com/hebrew/gerim...
גֵּ֣ר : biblehub.com/hebrew/ger_1...
גֵרִ֥ים : biblehub.com/hebrew/gerim...
A moonrace to land on a world of cognitive atrophy.
November 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
A moonrace to land on a world of cognitive atrophy.
There are entire coffee table cookbooks where Michelin chefs offer vegan menus.
I don't eat out often (plant based and all). The two last times, off peak hour, the chefs regarded my requests as a challenge, and I had by consensus the best looking/tasting entree.
www.goodreads.com/book/show/33...
I don't eat out often (plant based and all). The two last times, off peak hour, the chefs regarded my requests as a challenge, and I had by consensus the best looking/tasting entree.
www.goodreads.com/book/show/33...
Great Chefs Cook Vegan
Unlike any other cookbook, Great Chefs Cook Vegan inclu…
www.goodreads.com
November 6, 2025 at 1:23 PM
There are entire coffee table cookbooks where Michelin chefs offer vegan menus.
I don't eat out often (plant based and all). The two last times, off peak hour, the chefs regarded my requests as a challenge, and I had by consensus the best looking/tasting entree.
www.goodreads.com/book/show/33...
I don't eat out often (plant based and all). The two last times, off peak hour, the chefs regarded my requests as a challenge, and I had by consensus the best looking/tasting entree.
www.goodreads.com/book/show/33...
Remind all HR managers and law-enforcement recruiters, 'former ICE thug' is not a protected class in employment law.
November 5, 2025 at 12:09 AM
Remind all HR managers and law-enforcement recruiters, 'former ICE thug' is not a protected class in employment law.
This is almost certainly Stephen Miller's intent with these provocations.
It would offer justification for this admin to apply the Insurrection Act. The US Department of War fully deployed against American citizens.
It would offer justification for this admin to apply the Insurrection Act. The US Department of War fully deployed against American citizens.
November 5, 2025 at 12:07 AM
This is almost certainly Stephen Miller's intent with these provocations.
It would offer justification for this admin to apply the Insurrection Act. The US Department of War fully deployed against American citizens.
It would offer justification for this admin to apply the Insurrection Act. The US Department of War fully deployed against American citizens.
More soothing coming from retired geologist Myron Cook
www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYS3...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYS3...
Learn how Supervolcanoes caused the World’s Largest Landslide in Wyoming
YouTube video by Myron Cook
www.youtube.com
November 4, 2025 at 8:30 PM
More soothing coming from retired geologist Myron Cook
www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYS3...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYS3...
In some cities, and my lower rent neighborhood, ICE thugs are casting a pall over the holiday.
November 1, 2025 at 12:16 AM
In some cities, and my lower rent neighborhood, ICE thugs are casting a pall over the holiday.
"...So we're not actually going to make any kind of saving in terms of the cost of a massive rocket..."
Mitchell and Webb Look skit, 2010:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MO...
Mitchell and Webb Look skit, 2010:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MO...
That Mitchell and Webb Look - Moon Landing Sketch
YouTube video by Jack Govier
www.youtube.com
October 31, 2025 at 4:50 PM
"...So we're not actually going to make any kind of saving in terms of the cost of a massive rocket..."
Mitchell and Webb Look skit, 2010:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MO...
Mitchell and Webb Look skit, 2010:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MO...
The SEC filings on DJT are damning enough. '24 revenue: 3.6 million. Losses $400 M. Cash: $777 M. Market valuation: as high as $12 billion, now $4.3 B.
Its a conduit transferring $ from shareholders to insiders like former congressman Devin Nunes.
www.forbes.com/sites/zachev...
Its a conduit transferring $ from shareholders to insiders like former congressman Devin Nunes.
www.forbes.com/sites/zachev...
Trump Media Lost $401 Million Last Year — But CEO Devin Nunes Made $47 Million
Former Congressman Devin Nunes' pay soared after Trump Media went public, but he can’t cash in right away.
www.forbes.com
October 31, 2025 at 4:24 PM
The SEC filings on DJT are damning enough. '24 revenue: 3.6 million. Losses $400 M. Cash: $777 M. Market valuation: as high as $12 billion, now $4.3 B.
Its a conduit transferring $ from shareholders to insiders like former congressman Devin Nunes.
www.forbes.com/sites/zachev...
Its a conduit transferring $ from shareholders to insiders like former congressman Devin Nunes.
www.forbes.com/sites/zachev...
Darin Morgan's episodes are all memorable moments.
Also, one of my favorite writing career trajectories: he started wearing a rubber suit, portraying a mutated flukeworm in S2E2.
Also, one of my favorite writing career trajectories: he started wearing a rubber suit, portraying a mutated flukeworm in S2E2.
October 31, 2025 at 7:21 AM
Darin Morgan's episodes are all memorable moments.
Also, one of my favorite writing career trajectories: he started wearing a rubber suit, portraying a mutated flukeworm in S2E2.
Also, one of my favorite writing career trajectories: he started wearing a rubber suit, portraying a mutated flukeworm in S2E2.
Terrific resource. The passes near Palmerston North and offshore South Taranaki look especially prospective.
Map of avg wind velocity in m/s (+ offshore to 58 m depth), from globalwindatlas.info/en/
Map of avg wind velocity in m/s (+ offshore to 58 m depth), from globalwindatlas.info/en/
October 27, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Terrific resource. The passes near Palmerston North and offshore South Taranaki look especially prospective.
Map of avg wind velocity in m/s (+ offshore to 58 m depth), from globalwindatlas.info/en/
Map of avg wind velocity in m/s (+ offshore to 58 m depth), from globalwindatlas.info/en/
For perspective, median emissions for green coffee is around 3.6 kg CO2eq/kg. 40 kg/y for my 2 cup/d habit. It can be roasted & brewed using renewable electricity.
US beef averages 31 kg CO2eq/kg. A daily ¼ lb hamburger would be 1285 kg/y emissions at farmgate.
agritrop.cirad.fr/609238/1/V1....
US beef averages 31 kg CO2eq/kg. A daily ¼ lb hamburger would be 1285 kg/y emissions at farmgate.
agritrop.cirad.fr/609238/1/V1....
October 27, 2025 at 7:15 PM
For perspective, median emissions for green coffee is around 3.6 kg CO2eq/kg. 40 kg/y for my 2 cup/d habit. It can be roasted & brewed using renewable electricity.
US beef averages 31 kg CO2eq/kg. A daily ¼ lb hamburger would be 1285 kg/y emissions at farmgate.
agritrop.cirad.fr/609238/1/V1....
US beef averages 31 kg CO2eq/kg. A daily ¼ lb hamburger would be 1285 kg/y emissions at farmgate.
agritrop.cirad.fr/609238/1/V1....
I've never played it, and resented it 30 years ago for taking up so shelf space from military simulation wargames, but the lore is intriguing.
When chuds started praising Trump as 'God Emperor' in 2016, it was revulsion that anti-authoritarian fiction was adopted as sloganeering.
When chuds started praising Trump as 'God Emperor' in 2016, it was revulsion that anti-authoritarian fiction was adopted as sloganeering.
October 27, 2025 at 1:29 AM
I've never played it, and resented it 30 years ago for taking up so shelf space from military simulation wargames, but the lore is intriguing.
When chuds started praising Trump as 'God Emperor' in 2016, it was revulsion that anti-authoritarian fiction was adopted as sloganeering.
When chuds started praising Trump as 'God Emperor' in 2016, it was revulsion that anti-authoritarian fiction was adopted as sloganeering.
Worth drilling down into the expert partisan breakdown. Trump was ranked worst among those who identified as liberal, centrist, Democratic or Independent. But among those who identified as conservative or Republican, third worst.
The 2nd term will sway the later to moving him down a couple notches.
The 2nd term will sway the later to moving him down a couple notches.
October 26, 2025 at 12:40 AM
Worth drilling down into the expert partisan breakdown. Trump was ranked worst among those who identified as liberal, centrist, Democratic or Independent. But among those who identified as conservative or Republican, third worst.
The 2nd term will sway the later to moving him down a couple notches.
The 2nd term will sway the later to moving him down a couple notches.
Object permanence issues aside, AI video generation isn't real time, and is compute intensive. Sora would require 17 minutes of compute on a 700 W H100 chip for this 1:24 video.
To do this in real time would generate about 8,400 W of heat. Comparable to household electric furnaces.
To do this in real time would generate about 8,400 W of heat. Comparable to household electric furnaces.
October 24, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Object permanence issues aside, AI video generation isn't real time, and is compute intensive. Sora would require 17 minutes of compute on a 700 W H100 chip for this 1:24 video.
To do this in real time would generate about 8,400 W of heat. Comparable to household electric furnaces.
To do this in real time would generate about 8,400 W of heat. Comparable to household electric furnaces.
Large Language Models aren't intelligent. They have no internal models of the physical world.
All they do is generate the most probable next token/word, based on the sequences in their training set and in in their prompts.
Hallucination isn't the exception. It's how they work.
All they do is generate the most probable next token/word, based on the sequences in their training set and in in their prompts.
Hallucination isn't the exception. It's how they work.
October 23, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Large Language Models aren't intelligent. They have no internal models of the physical world.
All they do is generate the most probable next token/word, based on the sequences in their training set and in in their prompts.
Hallucination isn't the exception. It's how they work.
All they do is generate the most probable next token/word, based on the sequences in their training set and in in their prompts.
Hallucination isn't the exception. It's how they work.