Salomon Orellana
@salomon7.bsky.social
Data scientist, political scientist, computer scientist. So, I'm a scientist! :)
Some people talk about the coming stimuli in 2026 (e.g., tax cuts, AI spending). But Trump is diminishing the productive capacity of the nation (e.g., tariffs that drive up input costs, mass deportations). The stimuli of 2026 feel like someone trying to pour more water down a narrowing bottleneck.
December 17, 2025 at 11:47 PM
Some people talk about the coming stimuli in 2026 (e.g., tax cuts, AI spending). But Trump is diminishing the productive capacity of the nation (e.g., tariffs that drive up input costs, mass deportations). The stimuli of 2026 feel like someone trying to pour more water down a narrowing bottleneck.
The rich generally tend to think they know better, about everything.
November 29, 2025 at 3:58 PM
The rich generally tend to think they know better, about everything.
But have you considered the possibility that Democrats and their minions are going to your grocery store and increasing the prices just before you show up, and then they're changing them back after you finish shopping?
fry from futurama is shown with a very serious look on his face
ALT: fry from futurama is shown with a very serious look on his face
media.tenor.com
November 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
But have you considered the possibility that Democrats and their minions are going to your grocery store and increasing the prices just before you show up, and then they're changing them back after you finish shopping?
Unfortunately, people think rich people are smart, not just at making money, but on everything. But you don't have to wait long to hear them spout shallow conspiracy theories, that show they don't really know much outside their field of my making money.
November 5, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Unfortunately, people think rich people are smart, not just at making money, but on everything. But you don't have to wait long to hear them spout shallow conspiracy theories, that show they don't really know much outside their field of my making money.
We'll have to see how the US looks when the data are updated to 2025.
a close up of a woman 's face with the name debbie downer in yellow letters .
ALT: a close up of a woman 's face with the name debbie downer in yellow letters .
media.tenor.com
November 1, 2025 at 1:13 PM
We'll have to see how the US looks when the data are updated to 2025.
I've made the case that electoral systems create incentives that affect taxation and spending. Basically, in 2-party systems, it's harder to talk about raising taxes or cutting programs. In multiparty systems, minor parties can do so more easily.
salomonorellana.substack.com/p/using-demo...
salomonorellana.substack.com/p/using-demo...
Using Democracy to Balance the National Debt
Discussions on the national debt (recently revived by the debt ceiling crisis) tend to be relatively superficial in the US.
salomonorellana.substack.com
November 1, 2025 at 1:45 AM
I've made the case that electoral systems create incentives that affect taxation and spending. Basically, in 2-party systems, it's harder to talk about raising taxes or cutting programs. In multiparty systems, minor parties can do so more easily.
salomonorellana.substack.com/p/using-demo...
salomonorellana.substack.com/p/using-demo...
If we ever regain power, people must be prosecuted.
October 20, 2025 at 5:27 PM
If we ever regain power, people must be prosecuted.
We could have kept the IRS well funded and let the Trump tax cuts expire. Future admins should think about a VAT that gets reimbursed to lower income Americans.
October 11, 2025 at 3:17 PM
We could have kept the IRS well funded and let the Trump tax cuts expire. Future admins should think about a VAT that gets reimbursed to lower income Americans.
I've long thought of managing the economy as similar to driving on icy roads. The uninformed think it's cool and manly to floor it. Those are the people you eventually see in a ditch, begging careful drivers to help pull them out.
September 15, 2025 at 11:58 PM
I've long thought of managing the economy as similar to driving on icy roads. The uninformed think it's cool and manly to floor it. Those are the people you eventually see in a ditch, begging careful drivers to help pull them out.
A slowing economy will cause a surge in the deficit/debt. They assumed the BBB wouldn't be so bad for the deficit/debt because the tax cuts would accelerate growth. The GOP refuses to give up the "tax cuts pay for themselves" fever dream.
August 4, 2025 at 12:32 AM
A slowing economy will cause a surge in the deficit/debt. They assumed the BBB wouldn't be so bad for the deficit/debt because the tax cuts would accelerate growth. The GOP refuses to give up the "tax cuts pay for themselves" fever dream.
Starting to better understand how the famine happened under Mao.
August 1, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Starting to better understand how the famine happened under Mao.
Something is tragically wrong with the Democratic Party. The leadership is failing the moment. Humanity is failing the moment.
July 20, 2025 at 12:54 AM
Something is tragically wrong with the Democratic Party. The leadership is failing the moment. Humanity is failing the moment.
That's why I'm no longer investing in American companies. Free markets need the rule of law to properly function. In Trump's America, private property is now subject to the whims of a corrupt madman. Moreover, con-men/predators are being unleashed.
July 4, 2025 at 4:30 PM
That's why I'm no longer investing in American companies. Free markets need the rule of law to properly function. In Trump's America, private property is now subject to the whims of a corrupt madman. Moreover, con-men/predators are being unleashed.
He's rich and so willing to think outside the box, he must be a genius!
a cartoon of homer simpson sitting in a crowd with the words pure genius above him
ALT: a cartoon of homer simpson sitting in a crowd with the words pure genius above him
media.tenor.com
June 30, 2025 at 7:45 PM
He's rich and so willing to think outside the box, he must be a genius!
GOP = Lord Farquaad
shrek is standing on a set of stairs next to a group of knights .
ALT: shrek is standing on a set of stairs next to a group of knights .
media.tenor.com
June 28, 2025 at 1:21 AM
GOP = Lord Farquaad
Conservatives: we have no choice, we can only reduce our deficit/debt on the backs of the poor....
some of you may die written on a poster with shrek and two knights
ALT: some of you may die written on a poster with shrek and two knights
media.tenor.com
June 27, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Conservatives: we have no choice, we can only reduce our deficit/debt on the backs of the poor....
Why should we even give the GOP the benefit of the doubt that they would actually increase the rate of growth? At worst, their growth record appears to be lower than the growth record of Democrats. At best, they do no better. And with what they're doing to certainty, immigrants, and science....
June 17, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Why should we even give the GOP the benefit of the doubt that they would actually increase the rate of growth? At worst, their growth record appears to be lower than the growth record of Democrats. At best, they do no better. And with what they're doing to certainty, immigrants, and science....
At long last, has he no sense of decency? And at what point will markets stop believing him? Lordy...
June 17, 2025 at 12:31 AM
At long last, has he no sense of decency? And at what point will markets stop believing him? Lordy...
There's gonna be ketchup on the walls tonight!
June 15, 2025 at 3:04 AM
There's gonna be ketchup on the walls tonight!
But military parades worked out so well in The Lion King 🤷
a cartoon lion is sitting on a rock in front of a crowd of demons
ALT: a cartoon lion is sitting on a rock in front of a crowd of demons
media.tenor.com
June 14, 2025 at 5:09 PM
But military parades worked out so well in The Lion King 🤷