Rory Carroll
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rorycarroll.bsky.social
Rory Carroll
@rorycarroll.bsky.social
Bad plan imo
November 6, 2025 at 2:26 AM
It's called a master plan and it's basically the entire economy
November 4, 2025 at 10:08 PM
My work here is done...
November 4, 2025 at 10:04 PM
We would be so rich if it was our problem though
November 4, 2025 at 9:54 PM
If you asked me to invest my own money in this idea, I would probably say no.
November 4, 2025 at 9:49 PM
I think a lot of companies have made the calculations and jumped out of the business, some are gonna ride it out.
November 4, 2025 at 9:48 PM
1. What's the term then, 100 years?
2. I think they're more likely staying ahead of hype than making investments based on calculations of whether there's a real business there at some point in an unknowable future.
November 4, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Yeah, I just think some of these projects reach a point where there's no conceivable way to pay back the investment in a reasonable timeframe, or where the things that have to go right are so far out of your control that it doesn't make sense anymore.
November 4, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Drivers work cheap
November 4, 2025 at 9:38 PM
1. I don't think there's an opportunity to replace privately owned cars with car sharing in anything approaching the near term.
2. The profit per-ride over time to generate a profit against existing investments is a math problem. I bet that number is unworkable.
3. Assuming that, still a big hole.
November 4, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Oh, I don't. I'm just curious as to how they're explaining their plans these days.
November 4, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Yeah, I agree with that, I'm trying to figure out how this is supposed to work as a business though.
November 4, 2025 at 9:07 PM
I just don't see how they recover their investment. Even assuming they're making a better margin per ride, sign some licensing deals with automakers or whatever, they just have such a massive hole to dig out of.
November 4, 2025 at 9:07 PM
How profitable would each robotaxi built have to be and how long would it have to operate to return the money that's been invested in the tech?
November 4, 2025 at 9:05 PM
I get that it would be cheaper for an individual user, at least it could be theoretically, but I don't get how it's cheaper for the companies making the investments.
November 4, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Why would it be cheaper, and how does any of that make enough money to return on the investment?
November 4, 2025 at 8:53 PM
So for untold billions of dollars in investment, the return is that we save money on paying cab drivers?
November 4, 2025 at 8:46 PM