Robin Hawkes
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robhawkes.bsky.social
Robin Hawkes
@robhawkes.bsky.social
🐙 DataViz at @octopus.energy
⚡️ Obsessed with maps and energy
✨ Creator of ViziCities
👨‍💻 Previously Wood Mackenzie & devrel at Mozilla
Wind output and curtailment in Scotland during Storm Floris
August 11, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Experimenting with the styling of the wind particles as well as the colour ramp for the wind speed layer.

Kinda loving how much detail you can see now from the Meteomatics EURO1k weather model
August 10, 2025 at 3:25 PM
A zoomed in view of wind farm curtailment in Scotland during Storm Floris…

The yellow rings are showing the curtailed volume at each wind farm as a proportion of their installed capacity.
August 8, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Spot the moment I lost momentum picking up a book that I couldn't get into and ultimately avoided reading…

I haven't given up on that book but I've accepted that I needed to stop reading it for now as it was stopping me reading anything at all.
August 1, 2025 at 8:38 PM
I've never read as many books in a single year and I don't plan on stopping…

I also don't plan on stopping keeping track and making pointless data visualisations from my reading data 🤓
August 1, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Experimenting with adding gas power plants on the map so you can see turn-up in the south in response to wind curtailment in the north.

The red rings show gas turn-up scaled to the capacity of each power plant. I'm currently showing all gas offers so it still needs work.
July 25, 2025 at 8:54 PM
🍇
July 24, 2025 at 2:27 PM
The result means that we pay wind farms to switch off when it's windy and then pay again (a lot more) to replace the energy using gas generation.

In total that day cost over £18million, including £11million for the replacement energy.
July 24, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Switching off wind farms on July 4th lost 113,831MWh of clean energy, only to replace it with gas.

The map shows how much wind farms were curtailed that day alongside boundary capacity:

🟢 Spare cap. at boundary
🟠 Close to limit (poss. constrained)
🔴 At limit (constrained)
July 24, 2025 at 12:13 PM
No problem! I've had a deeper look myself and from what I can tell the FES curtailment data is only for balancing of demand and doesn't include transmission constraints (as per their data workbook at least)

That's a hell of a lot of curtailment volume (and cost) missing from the forecasts…
July 24, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Experimenting with showing transmission boundaries on my renewables map, colour-coded based on forecast flow limits (red = boundary at limit)

This is critical context for understanding the reason why wind farms are often switched off in Scotland, even when it's windy
July 23, 2025 at 5:04 PM
"The financial framework designed to support the project […] will grant EDF support via energy bills from the start of its construction."

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
July 22, 2025 at 9:07 AM
I'm trying to get my head around the frankly insane curtailment volumes predicted in the latest @neso-energy.bsky.social Future Energy Scenarios data

Am I right in saying that these curtailment volumes don't even include curtailment due to grid constraints? 🤯

www.neso.energy/publications...
July 21, 2025 at 2:28 PM
I need to take a proper look myself, particularly with the curtailment volume forecasts… they seem wild compared to what I've seen previously.
July 21, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Generation and curtailment at British wind farms during Storm Éowyn earlier this year 🌬️⚡

Notice the wind farms in Scotland turning off as the storm passes due to very high wind speeds and transmission constraints

You can see live and historic generation on the map:
renewables-map.robinhawkes.com
July 21, 2025 at 1:01 PM
The new wind farms doing their thing…

Well, aside from Moray West which was 100% curtailed at the time I recorded the animation 🫠
July 18, 2025 at 8:21 AM
More on wake effect parameterisation in the EURO1k model

www.meteomatics.com/en/news/prod...
July 17, 2025 at 10:20 PM
July 17, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Which also means they're available on my wind curtailment dashboard ❌⚡

Unsurprising to see the two newest Scottish wind farms already being switched off a bunch…

renewables-map.robinhawkes.com/curtailment
July 17, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Three of the newest wind farms are now available on my live renewables map:

✅ Dogger Bank A
✅ Moray West
✅ Neart na Gaoithe

All three include live output, curtailment as well as historic data

renewables-map.robinhawkes.com
July 17, 2025 at 10:01 PM
I still can't get over the resolution of the @meteomatics.com wind data, I swear you can see the wake effects from Gwynt-y-Mor in this example 🤯

Their EURO1k model supports wake effects, so it's definitely possible…
July 17, 2025 at 7:56 PM
These images comparing the two shows the difference in detail, you can literally see the wind snaking its way through the various valleys in the high-res data.

It was impossible for me to get this level of insight previously.
July 15, 2025 at 8:29 AM
I'm experimenting with @meteomatics.com high-res weather data on my live renewables map to replace the low-res GFS data that I've used up to now.

The difference is incredible… 🤯
July 15, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Holy shit, this is starting to get interesting…

You can literally see the wind snaking its way through the various valleys 🤯

I'm experimenting with @meteomatics.com high-res wind data vs. the existing low-res GFS data (second image)
July 14, 2025 at 7:17 PM
I went paddle-boarding this weekend for the first time and loved it so much I know I'll be getting my own board and gear.

So… any recommendations, brands, etc? 🙏

I can also recommend Niwbwrch pictured (old photo of mine), great views of the mountains as you paddle.
July 14, 2025 at 11:48 AM