Roberta Maggi
@robertamaggi.bsky.social
Development practitioner focusing 🔎 on security sector reform & governance, mostly #Libya #MENA | Associate Fellow, CARPO | @warstudieskcl.bsky.social & @gvagrad.bsky.social alumna | Own 💭 & usual caveats apply
Pinned
Roberta Maggi
@robertamaggi.bsky.social
· May 28
Beyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in Libya
With all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQe
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
🚨 NEW @chathamhouse.org paper: Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya
Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya
Why an enhanced ‘economic track’ must be integrated into political negotiations
www.chathamhouse.org
December 17, 2025 at 12:32 PM
🚨 NEW @chathamhouse.org paper: Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya
Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Interested in international security and development programming?
@robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on
🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES
eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
@robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on
🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES
eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
Security in Fragmented States: Understanding and Responding to Hybrid Security Challenges – European Governance Lab
eugovlab.com
July 30, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Interested in international security and development programming?
@robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on
🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES
eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
@robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on
🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES
eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
This weeks Maghrebi magazine is out now featuring my piece on Libya - Eu relations with analysis from @robertamaggi.bsky.social - maghrebi.org?sdm_process_...
maghrebi.org
July 16, 2025 at 11:19 AM
This weeks Maghrebi magazine is out now featuring my piece on Libya - Eu relations with analysis from @robertamaggi.bsky.social - maghrebi.org?sdm_process_...
Grateful to @eddiemonkman.bsky.social for including my thoughts in his latest article on escalation and territorial control in #Sudan and at its border with #Libya. I focus on providing geopolitical nuance & historical contextualisation of current events & their impact on both countries' stability.
I spoke to @robertamaggi.bsky.social about Libya's subtle involvement in the Sudanese Civil War - maghrebi.org/2025/06/20/l...
Libya’s subtle involvement in Sudan civil war
Since civil war began in Sudan in April 2023, the potential for the conflict to affect the region has grown.
maghrebi.org
June 22, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Grateful to @eddiemonkman.bsky.social for including my thoughts in his latest article on escalation and territorial control in #Sudan and at its border with #Libya. I focus on providing geopolitical nuance & historical contextualisation of current events & their impact on both countries' stability.
أود أن أعبر عن خالص امتناني و جزيل الشكر والتقدير لصحيفة الوسط على مشاركتها لمقالي الذي كتبته مع الدكتور كريم مزران لصالح مركز @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
من يملك إرادة التغيير في ليبيا؟ المجلس الأطلسي يطرح مسارين للوصول إلى الانتخابات
المجلس الأطلسي يقترح نهجا موقتا لدعم العملية السياسية التي ترعاها الأمم المتحدة في ليبيا.
alwasat.ly
June 10, 2025 at 7:31 PM
أود أن أعبر عن خالص امتناني و جزيل الشكر والتقدير لصحيفة الوسط على مشاركتها لمقالي الذي كتبته مع الدكتور كريم مزران لصالح مركز @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
#Russia is upgrading its military footprint in #Libya -
“The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
“The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
Mi-26s and T-62s: What Russia's military backing of Haftar means for Libya
A sweeping display of arms and alliances in Benghazi reflects Khalifa Haftar’s effort to project statehood, Moscow’s deeper investment in Libya, and a shifting power balance that could reshape peace p...
www.al-monitor.com
June 4, 2025 at 6:50 AM
#Russia is upgrading its military footprint in #Libya -
“The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
“The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
newlinesmag.com
May 28, 2025 at 11:52 AM
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQe
Beyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in Libya
With all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
May 28, 2025 at 8:31 AM
Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQe
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
The assassination of Abdul Ghani al-Kikli and clashes in Tripoli that followed shattered illusions of stability in #Libya.
Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
Beyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in Libya
With all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
May 27, 2025 at 2:10 PM
The assassination of Abdul Ghani al-Kikli and clashes in Tripoli that followed shattered illusions of stability in #Libya.
Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake.
International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
In Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of Militias
A recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset.
mecouncil.org
May 21, 2025 at 3:25 PM
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake.
International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
HASSAN: What is habeas corpus?
NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country
HASSAN: That's incorrect
NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country
HASSAN: That's incorrect
May 20, 2025 at 2:16 PM
HASSAN: What is habeas corpus?
NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country
HASSAN: That's incorrect
NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country
HASSAN: That's incorrect
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Reports that the #US is seeking to send migrants to #Libya have raised big concerns on the risks of #HR violations and abuse.
In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability.
globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability.
globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
How potential US migrant expulsions to Libya could feed into the country's criminal economy and instability
On 7 May 2025, reports emerged that the US was preparing to deport irregular migrants to Libya. While no deportations had occurred as of mid-May, and the US government has neither confirmed nor denied...
globalinitiative.net
May 20, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Reports that the #US is seeking to send migrants to #Libya have raised big concerns on the risks of #HR violations and abuse.
In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability.
globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability.
globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Today's perfect example of this:
Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process.
This will not end well
Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process.
This will not end well
So, internationals questioning whether to back calls for Dbeiba to go or not are fixating on the wrong question.
Change is coming.
The question is whether you back Dbeiba, the PC, Aguileh, Haftar to manage it into further chaos. Or take control of a transition to something new
Change is coming.
The question is whether you back Dbeiba, the PC, Aguileh, Haftar to manage it into further chaos. Or take control of a transition to something new
May 19, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Today's perfect example of this:
Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process.
This will not end well
Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process.
This will not end well
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.
It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
emadbadi.com
May 14, 2025 at 1:48 PM
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.
It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
BREAKING: The Trump administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to Libya, five people with knowledge of the effort told NBC News.
Trump administration working on plan to move 1 million Palestinians to Libya
Details are murky and no final agreement has been reached, but the plan is under serious enough consideration that the administration has discussed it with Libyan leadership.
nbcnews.to
May 16, 2025 at 8:17 PM
BREAKING: The Trump administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to Libya, five people with knowledge of the effort told NBC News.
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Big demonstrations in Tripoli tonight for the government to fall, several ministers have resigned, protesters now reaching the prime minister's office...unfortunately there's no way around the other site to follow these events...
May 16, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Big demonstrations in Tripoli tonight for the government to fall, several ministers have resigned, protesters now reaching the prime minister's office...unfortunately there's no way around the other site to follow these events...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
There is a power struggle ongoing right now in Libya amongst a despised, illegitimate, disconnected elite trying to play off mass frustration and desperation for change
The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
May 16, 2025 at 9:09 PM
There is a power struggle ongoing right now in Libya amongst a despised, illegitimate, disconnected elite trying to play off mass frustration and desperation for change
The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare.
The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
May 14, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare.
The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
As reshuffling decrees are announced by the GNU/PM, it's important to remember that reform is more than mere de jure changes in chains of command.
A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
May 13, 2025 at 5:06 PM
As reshuffling decrees are announced by the GNU/PM, it's important to remember that reform is more than mere de jure changes in chains of command.
A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Things in Libya are heating up as Ghneiwa, probably the most successful milita leader of Tripoli's cartel, was assassinated at a meeting advertised as calming recent tensions.
Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home
Big night ahead
Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home
Big night ahead
May 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Things in Libya are heating up as Ghneiwa, probably the most successful milita leader of Tripoli's cartel, was assassinated at a meeting advertised as calming recent tensions.
Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home
Big night ahead
Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home
Big night ahead
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
As POTUS heads to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar next week for the first major foreign trip of his second term, lifting Syria sanctions should be at the top of his agenda -- doing so is the only way to position the Syrian people to be able to hold their govt accountable to deliver a Syria for all.
Ahead of POTUS' trip to the Middle East next week, TIMEP joins 57 Syrian and international partners in calling on President Trump to lift or suspend US sanctions on Syria and support regional efforts towards humanitarian relief, reconstruction, and recovery.
timep.org/2025/05/09/j...
timep.org/2025/05/09/j...
May 9, 2025 at 9:54 PM
As POTUS heads to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar next week for the first major foreign trip of his second term, lifting Syria sanctions should be at the top of his agenda -- doing so is the only way to position the Syrian people to be able to hold their govt accountable to deliver a Syria for all.
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Informative on the Gaza foundation scheme, in equal parts illegal and incompetent.
• UAE nixed funding plea
• Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that
• USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts
@jacobmagid.bsky.social
www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
• UAE nixed funding plea
• Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that
• USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts
@jacobmagid.bsky.social
www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
May 9, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Informative on the Gaza foundation scheme, in equal parts illegal and incompetent.
• UAE nixed funding plea
• Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that
• USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts
@jacobmagid.bsky.social
www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
• UAE nixed funding plea
• Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that
• USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts
@jacobmagid.bsky.social
www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
This obviously requires verification, but here's a possible explanation for why greedy actors in Tripoli might be tempted to agree to taking the Trump admin's deportees even at the risk of being swept from power by the backlash this could cause.
www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
Libya and Trump administration discussed sharing billions of dollars in frozen funds, sources say
Envoy Massad Boulos purportedly held talks with Tripoli-based government about sharing billions of dollars in frozen Libyan state assets
www.middleeasteye.net
May 8, 2025 at 7:29 PM
This obviously requires verification, but here's a possible explanation for why greedy actors in Tripoli might be tempted to agree to taking the Trump admin's deportees even at the risk of being swept from power by the backlash this could cause.
www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
The Trump administration is reportedly planning to deport Laotian, Vietnamese, and Philippino individuals to Libya.
Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
BREAKING: Immigrant rights advocates ask federal judge in Boston to halt reportedly imminent deportation flight taking 3rd-country nationals to Libya. "Libya has a long record of extreme human rights violations," the attorneys say. Doc: www.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
LibyaTROMotDVD050725
www.documentcloud.org
May 7, 2025 at 10:34 PM
The Trump administration is reportedly planning to deport Laotian, Vietnamese, and Philippino individuals to Libya.
Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
Reposted by Roberta Maggi
My long read for @ecfr.eu and probably the publication im most proud of in all my years doing this.
A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it
ecfr.eu/publication/...
A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it
ecfr.eu/publication/...
The bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile states
Russia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back…
ecfr.eu
May 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
My long read for @ecfr.eu and probably the publication im most proud of in all my years doing this.
A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it
ecfr.eu/publication/...
A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it
ecfr.eu/publication/...