Rob de Vries
rob-devries.bsky.social
Rob de Vries
@rob-devries.bsky.social
Quantitative Sociologist at the University of Kent.
Author: Critical Statistics - Seeing Beyond the Headlines (https://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/critical-statistics-9781137609793/)
/1 Listening to the back catalogue of @fivefourpod.bsky.social and the episode on Garland v. Cargill has finally persuaded me out of my instinct towards textualism.

Textualism is tempting as a solution to subjectivity. Determining the purpose or spirit of a law feels problematically subjective...
December 11, 2025 at 10:49 AM
/1 Interesting because there seem to be two separate phenomena here. He references the 'angry vegans' stereotype, which Benoit Monin at Stanford has shown comes from 'moral status threat' (psychological defense against idea that people are lookind down on you).
This is actually quite brilliant, up to and including the final sentence 🔥
December 3, 2025 at 9:26 AM
The "she does not own a car..." part is so telling. They just can't conceive of a politician who isn't already rich. She's not poor, just not one of the wealthy class of people who are allowed to be 'serious' political candidates.
You guys realize that taxing people to pay for services isn't socialism, right? This is just how governments work.
November 18, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Are they actually using LLMs here (which doesn't seem necessary), or is this going to be a conventional statistical model that they've branded as "AI"? If it's the latter they have radically missed the public mood on having AI shoved down their throats:

www.gov.uk/government/n....
Education Secretary sets roadmap to improve attendance levels
Every school to be set an individual minimum target to improve attendance and set up every child to achieve and thrive.
www.gov.uk
November 12, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Overheard on the train yesterday: a nice example of small ways in which a privileged background can help in getting 'top jobs'.

A father and daughter discussing her career choices. She dismisses Oxbridge because their degrees are all BA and she wants to do a more scientific BSc /1
October 20, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Found this guy in the garden yesterday. Looked crazily like a hummingbird. Apparently it's a hummingbird hawk moth
October 5, 2025 at 7:18 PM
I've spent far too much time making up a game to simulate inequality for my 2nd year sociology students. Lacking anyone stupid enough to test it with me, I got chatgpt to simulate it and it managed remarkable well:

chatgpt.com/share/68dd39...
ChatGPT - Game simulation results
A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges
chatgpt.com
October 1, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Would be interesting to see what this looks like with prestige/social status as a dimension. Lots of 'low PMC' (e.g. journalists, creative professionals) are actually the most prestigious jobs in society - and well within most people's conception of the 'PMC'
On the morning of Keir Starmer's conference speech here's a new post on an odd psychopathology in British politics - our main parties don't like the people who vote for them - the dreaded Professional Managerial Class. And so they are acting out like a divorced dad seeking cooler voters. 1/n
British Politics' Midlife Crisis
Why British Parties Can't Make Peace with Their Actual Voters
benansell.substack.com
October 1, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Business Secretary Peter Kyle: "Too often people go to university to explore research and knowledge...I want people to go to university to start businesses in our country"

Welp, goodbye Arts, Humanities, Social Sciences, we had an OK run...

www.lbc.co.uk/article/brit...
British students lack ‘drive’ of their American peers, says Business Secretary | LBC
The Business Secretary has defended comments he made at a meeting with investors where he said British students lack the ‘drive’ and ‘vigour’ of their American peers.
www.lbc.co.uk
September 30, 2025 at 8:39 AM
Reposted by Rob de Vries
This also just seems like a statistical fluke? 2025 isn't even over yet. It's weird to publish an article about a "trend" that applies to 6 months out of the last three decades.
September 26, 2025 at 3:26 AM
Facts in the article:
1. RW extremists have been responsible for vastly more (and more lethal) political violence in the US since the 1980s.
2. In 2025, there have been 5 LW attacks & 1 RW
3. You can't infer a trend because violence fluctuates so much.

Headline
www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
Left-Wing Terrorism Is on the Rise
For the first time in more than 30 years, attacks by the far left outnumber those by the far right.
www.theatlantic.com
September 24, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Just been reminded that I wrote this on THES quite a while ago: www.timeshighereducation.com/blog/yes-pee...

Nobody read it, but now I'm on social media finally I can see if anyone is interested...
Yes, peer review sucks. But attention-economy hellscapes would be worse
Obliging everyone to undertake post-publication review would aid discoverability in a world without traditional journals, says Robert de Vries
www.timeshighereducation.com
September 24, 2025 at 12:03 PM
"“Free speech culture” tells people they should shut up about the things that make them passionate so other people feel more comfortable disagreeing with them" www.popehat.com/p/how-free-s...
How "Free Speech Culture" Is Killing Free Speech: Part One
Blurring The Lines Between Official Censorship And Individual Criticism Built The Intellectual Foundation For Trump's Assault On Free Expression
www.popehat.com
September 22, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Interesting argument from @ryanhatesthis.bsky.social on Search Engine podcast: Gen Z are having a 'coolness' crisis because: 1) finding something obscure but good is 'cool', 2) popularity metrics are now how people know things are good. Hence no-one will like your video/post or think you are cool
September 22, 2025 at 10:41 AM
The big problem with the current Labour party is that they seem to have accepted that they have no way to set the agenda. The right persuades people that small boats and refugee hotels are an existential threat to the nation so we have to 'meet the public where they are'.
September 16, 2025 at 2:24 PM
my attempt to visualise @michaelhobbes.bsky.social point about why US Democrats struggle with messaging
September 5, 2025 at 8:19 AM