bird facts
@rippinghottakes.bsky.social
relentlessly cheery individual ☀️ physicist ⚛️
However that 2PP is *very* generous for Labor on those PVs, for which I get a 52.3-47.7 2PP using previous election prefs.
That knocks another 7 seats off Labor and puts them firmly into minority regardless of the decision of the Libs (who could plausibly win a tiny majority).
That knocks another 7 seats off Labor and puts them firmly into minority regardless of the decision of the Libs (who could plausibly win a tiny majority).
November 29, 2024 at 9:38 PM
However that 2PP is *very* generous for Labor on those PVs, for which I get a 52.3-47.7 2PP using previous election prefs.
That knocks another 7 seats off Labor and puts them firmly into minority regardless of the decision of the Libs (who could plausibly win a tiny majority).
That knocks another 7 seats off Labor and puts them firmly into minority regardless of the decision of the Libs (who could plausibly win a tiny majority).
Published 2PP is 51-49 in favour of the LNP.
On a uniform swing, Labor loses 12 seats (8 to the Libs and 4 to the Greens) and ends up in minority (albeit only by one seat).
That requires the Libs repeating their 2022 decision to put Labor last however, which seems unlikely.
On a uniform swing, Labor loses 12 seats (8 to the Libs and 4 to the Greens) and ends up in minority (albeit only by one seat).
That requires the Libs repeating their 2022 decision to put Labor last however, which seems unlikely.
November 29, 2024 at 9:38 PM
Published 2PP is 51-49 in favour of the LNP.
On a uniform swing, Labor loses 12 seats (8 to the Libs and 4 to the Greens) and ends up in minority (albeit only by one seat).
That requires the Libs repeating their 2022 decision to put Labor last however, which seems unlikely.
On a uniform swing, Labor loses 12 seats (8 to the Libs and 4 to the Greens) and ends up in minority (albeit only by one seat).
That requires the Libs repeating their 2022 decision to put Labor last however, which seems unlikely.
Only thing funnier is funding it. Millions of dollars spent to match the readership of a small Wordpress blog.
November 14, 2024 at 10:05 AM
Only thing funnier is funding it. Millions of dollars spent to match the readership of a small Wordpress blog.