Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot)
@redistrict.bluesky.bot
Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
http://cookpolitical.com/about/staff/david-wasserman
(Unofficial bot maintained by @manos.lol)
http://cookpolitical.com/about/staff/david-wasserman
(Unofficial bot maintained by @manos.lol)
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
November 4, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
Big difference between the VA HoD & U.S. House: today, there are 13 House Dems in Trump seats but zero VA HoD Dems in Trump districts. That gives Dems a head start towards the House majority.
Still, I'll be watching the extent to which VA Dems break into Trump turf tonight.
Still, I'll be watching the extent to which VA Dems break into Trump turf tonight.
November 5, 2025 at 3:25 AM
Big difference between the VA HoD & U.S. House: today, there are 13 House Dems in Trump seats but zero VA HoD Dems in Trump districts. That gives Dems a head start towards the House majority.
Still, I'll be watching the extent to which VA Dems break into Trump turf tonight.
Still, I'll be watching the extent to which VA Dems break into Trump turf tonight.
If Dems win 63+ HoD seats, it would be consistent w/ a lot of strong overperformances we've seen for Dems in downballot races so far in '25 and indicate that Dems should be considered favorites for House control in '26.
November 5, 2025 at 3:25 AM
If Dems win 63+ HoD seats, it would be consistent w/ a lot of strong overperformances we've seen for Dems in downballot races so far in '25 and indicate that Dems should be considered favorites for House control in '26.
Today, the VA House of Delegates is effectively 51D-49R. But there are eight GOP delegates in districts that voted for Harris in '24, another six in districts that voted for Trump by 0-5 pts, and another seven in districts Trump won by 5-10 pts.
November 5, 2025 at 3:22 AM
Today, the VA House of Delegates is effectively 51D-49R. But there are eight GOP delegates in districts that voted for Harris in '24, another six in districts that voted for Trump by 0-5 pts, and another seven in districts Trump won by 5-10 pts.