Trajectory
@readtrajectory.bsky.social
Strategic analysis where geopolitics, technology, and security converge.
Making sense of complexity.
🌐 readtrajectory.com
Making sense of complexity.
🌐 readtrajectory.com
As Taiwan's strategic value evolves, the ground beneath its security shifts. What comes next could reshape the global tech landscape.
Taiwan Strategic Value: When Support Structures Might Change
Taiwan's semiconductor monopoly has made the island indispensable to its international partners. But American industrial policy is explicitly designed to end that dependence. As chip production diversifies and military costs rise, the calculus sustaining Taiwan's security is quietly shifting.
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December 26, 2025 at 6:51 AM
As Taiwan's strategic value evolves, the ground beneath its security shifts. What comes next could reshape the global tech landscape.
The EU and the US are at odds over digital governance. This clash could upend the transatlantic alliance.
US Sanctions on EU Officials: End of Transatlantic Cooperation?
When America sanctions Europeans for enforcing European law, it is not merely disagreeing about policy—it is declaring that the European conception of digital governance is itself illegitimate. The transatlantic relationship has survived many disputes. It may not survive this one.
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December 25, 2025 at 11:13 PM
The EU and the US are at odds over digital governance. This clash could upend the transatlantic alliance.
Drones at warp speed. Can the US keep up with China's industrial might?
CENTCOM Drone Task Force vs China: Can the US Scale Fast Enough?
CENTCOM's new task forces promise rapid drone deployment, but the sixty-day timeline addresses bureaucratic friction while ignoring industrial reality. China produces ten million drones annually. No procurement reform can bridge that chasm.
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December 25, 2025 at 11:11 PM
Drones at warp speed. Can the US keep up with China's industrial might?
Sahel's new military junta: Allies or accelerating collapse? The mysterious consequences of inviting Russian contractors to the region.
Sahel Junta Alliance: Can AES Defeat Jihadists or Accelerate Collapse?
Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger have formed a mutual defense pact, expelled Western forces, and invited Russian contractors. The result is not victory over jihadists but accelerating state failure—and that may be precisely the point.
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December 24, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Sahel's new military junta: Allies or accelerating collapse? The mysterious consequences of inviting Russian contractors to the region.
Warships at Venezuela's doorstep, but not a shot fired. What's the real game afoot?
US Venezuela Blockade: Why the Naval Deployment Doesn't Match the Mission
The USS Gerald R. Ford sits off Venezuela with enough firepower to destroy but not enough forces to occupy. This gap between capability and intent reveals Washington's true objectives—and their limits.
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December 24, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Warships at Venezuela's doorstep, but not a shot fired. What's the real game afoot?
Russia's not-so-secret weapon against NATO. The Kremlin's cosmic gambit to disrupt the West.
Starlink Vulnerability: Russia EW Threat to NATO and US Pacific Ops
Russia's growing ability to jam SpaceX's satellite constellation threatens not just Ukraine's battlefield communications but the entire architecture of American and NATO military operations from Eastern Europe to the Pacific.
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December 24, 2025 at 10:53 PM
Russia's not-so-secret weapon against NATO. The Kremlin's cosmic gambit to disrupt the West.
Donald Trump's formative years shaped him in unexpected ways. The survival system that emerged from these crucibles explains the leader—and his limits.
What Made Donald Trump: Formative Experiences & Core Beliefs
Roy Cohn taught him to sue. Fred Trump taught him that love was leverage. Military academy taught him that institutions betray. The survival system that emerged from these crucibles explains the leader—and his limits.
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December 24, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Donald Trump's formative years shaped him in unexpected ways. The survival system that emerged from these crucibles explains the leader—and his limits.
Forged in fire, tempered by chaos. The making of a leader who sees the world as a personal battle.
What Made Vladimir Putin: Psychology and Strategy
A childhood in post-siege Leningrad, abandonment in Dresden, and the chaos of 1990s Russia forged a leader who experiences geopolitics as personal survival. Understanding Putin's formative crucibles explains decisions that have reshaped Europe.
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December 24, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Forged in fire, tempered by chaos. The making of a leader who sees the world as a personal battle.
A leader forged in the flames of persecution. The Party's fears, not its power, now drive him.
Xi Jinping: Formative Experiences That Shaped China's Leader
The most powerful Chinese leader since Mao was forged not by privilege but by persecution. His seven years in a cave village during the Cultural Revolution—and the destruction of his family—created a ruler who fears the Party's weakness more than its strength.
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December 24, 2025 at 8:29 AM
A leader forged in the flames of persecution. The Party's fears, not its power, now drive him.
Sovereignty or submission? The Sahel's choice to embrace Russia may come at a higher cost than expected.
Sahel Alliance Analysis: AES, Russia, and Regional Security
Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger have expelled French forces, quit ECOWAS, and embraced Russian mercenaries in the name of sovereignty. But their Alliance of Sahel States has outsourced enforcement to a partner with no interest in their success—only their perpetual dependence.
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December 24, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Sovereignty or submission? The Sahel's choice to embrace Russia may come at a higher cost than expected.
Darfur's genocide. A broken system. How Sudan's RSF evades intervention.
Sudan RSF Genocide: Why Humanitarian Intervention Failed
The United States has formally declared genocide in Darfur. The RSF continues killing. Sudan reveals that the humanitarian intervention system was never designed to work against adversaries with great-power protection and independent revenue streams.
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December 23, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Darfur's genocide. A broken system. How Sudan's RSF evades intervention.
Missile silos near Mongolia, but this isn't about weapons. China's message is clear: they can't be disarmed.
China ICBM Silos Mongolia: Nuclear Deterrence Analysis 2025
Beijing's 250 new missile silos near Mongolia have accomplished their strategic purpose before a single warhead launches: demonstrating that China cannot be disarmed. The era of American nuclear primacy has ended, and no treaty framework exists to manage what comes next.
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December 23, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Missile silos near Mongolia, but this isn't about weapons. China's message is clear: they can't be disarmed.
Meth's deadly grip on Pacific islands. As cartels transform transit routes into markets, a crisis unfolds.
Pacific Drug Trafficking Crisis: Transit Routes Become Markets
International drug cartels have transformed Pacific Island nations from transit points into consumption markets. As methamphetamine flows through ancient kinship networks and overwhelms fragile institutions, communities face threats their governments cannot defeat alone.
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December 23, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Meth's deadly grip on Pacific islands. As cartels transform transit routes into markets, a crisis unfolds.
Australia's water systems are a silent giant. When they break, the ripple effects will shake the nation.
Australia Water Infrastructure Crisis: Cascading Consequences
Australia's water and sewerage systems serve millions through infrastructure so reliable it has become invisible. That invisibility masks profound vulnerability—to cyber attack, climate stress, and institutional neglect. When disruption comes, its consequences will cascade far beyond burst pipes.
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December 23, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Australia's water systems are a silent giant. When they break, the ripple effects will shake the nation.
Lifelines down. Lives at risk. Australia's telecom vulnerabilities exposed.
Australia Telecommunications Outage Consequences | Infrastructure Risk
The 2023 Optus outage severed ten million Australians from banking, healthcare, and emergency services for twelve hours. The 2025 failure allegedly killed two people. These were accidents. The next major disruption might not be—and Australia remains structurally unprepared for either.
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December 23, 2025 at 2:19 AM
Lifelines down. Lives at risk. Australia's telecom vulnerabilities exposed.
Grid failure, more than just blackouts. The cascading consequences you never saw coming.
Australia Grid Failure Consequences: First, Second, Third Order Effects
Australia's electricity grid faces compounding threats from cyber attacks, extreme weather, and accelerating coal closures. The consequences of major disruption cascade through three orders of magnitude—from immediate infrastructure failure to civilisational transformation. Current planning...
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December 23, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Grid failure, more than just blackouts. The cascading consequences you never saw coming.
Cables cut, communications lost. How Russia holds the Baltic's digital lifeline.
Russia Shadow Fleet NATO Undersea Cable Vulnerability Baltic Crisis
Russia's shadow fleet has spent years mapping NATO's undersea cables and pipelines in the Baltic and North Sea. The intelligence is collected. The targets are known. In a crisis, the vulnerability window—measured in weeks of degraded communications and months of repairs—favors the attacker. NATO...
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December 22, 2025 at 11:58 PM
Cables cut, communications lost. How Russia holds the Baltic's digital lifeline.
The Pacific's digital lifeline comes with strings attached. Connectivity or control - which path will island nations choose?
Pacific Tech Infrastructure: Strategic Resilience or Corporate Dependency?
Google and its peers are laying cables to connect the Pacific's most isolated nations. The infrastructure brings genuine benefits—and dependencies that look increasingly like digital feudalism. For island governments that cannot maintain what they do not understand, the gift may cost more than...
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December 22, 2025 at 10:36 PM
The Pacific's digital lifeline comes with strings attached. Connectivity or control - which path will island nations choose?
Juntas turn east, violence surges west. The Sahel's deadly dance with Moscow.
Sahel Juntas Russia Alliance vs Jihadists | Analysis
Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger expelled Western forces and embraced Moscow's Africa Corps. Eighteen months later, jihadist violence has surged 190% since 2021. The juntas may survive. Their states may not.
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December 22, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Juntas turn east, violence surges west. The Sahel's deadly dance with Moscow.
Quantum computers are coming. Is your organization ready?
Quantum Computing Security Threat: What Organizations Must Do Now
Quantum computers capable of breaking today's encryption may arrive within a decade. The race to upgrade global cryptographic infrastructure has begun—but most organizations have not started running. The consequences of delay compound daily.
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December 22, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Quantum computers are coming. Is your organization ready?
AI agents are quietly reshaping the enterprise. You won't believe the hidden transformations.
AI Agent Second-Order Effects: Enterprise Workflow Transformation
As 79% of enterprises adopt AI agents, the consequential shifts are not in productivity metrics but in organizational connective tissue—informal networks, tacit knowledge, and accountability structures that never appeared on workflow diagrams.
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December 22, 2025 at 10:25 PM
AI agents are quietly reshaping the enterprise. You won't believe the hidden transformations.
China's underwater secrets are slipping away. Can Taiwan seize the moment?
China Submarine Weakness Taiwan 2035: The Closing Window
Chinese submarines remain dangerously loud—detectable by sensors designed to exploit their acoustic signatures. As allied underwater surveillance networks mature faster than Chinese quieting technology improves, Beijing faces a narrowing window where undersea weakness constrains Taiwan options....
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December 22, 2025 at 6:01 AM
China's underwater secrets are slipping away. Can Taiwan seize the moment?
China's missiles now threaten every Pacific base. How will Washington respond?
US Pacific Bases: Deterrent or Target for China's Missiles?
China's missile arsenal can now threaten every American base in the Western Pacific. The forces meant to prevent war may instead invite the opening salvo of one. Washington faces choices it has spent decades avoiding.
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December 22, 2025 at 12:56 AM
China's missiles now threaten every Pacific base. How will Washington respond?
Teetering on the edge of crisis. Which threads will fray first?
Sahel Crisis Spreads to Coastal West Africa: What Breaks First
The crisis spreading from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger will not arrive at the coast as an invasion. It will come as school absences, shifting market inventories, and the quiet death of institutional legitimacy. Understanding the sequence reveals which interventions might still work—and which...
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December 21, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Teetering on the edge of crisis. Which threads will fray first?
Atomic clocks. Global infrastructure. One small outage, endless ripples.
GPS Timing Infrastructure Vulnerability: Single Points of Failure
A brief power outage at a Colorado atomic clock facility exposed the invisible dependencies that underpin global finance, telecommunications, and power grids—and the cascade failures that could follow when backup systems run out of time.
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December 21, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Atomic clocks. Global infrastructure. One small outage, endless ripples.