potatolicious
@potatolicious.bsky.social
Seriously though, is this a new phenomenon or has "I want to be 8 again" always been a political lane? If it's new, wtf how did we get here.
December 2, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Seriously though, is this a new phenomenon or has "I want to be 8 again" always been a political lane? If it's new, wtf how did we get here.
"incentive alignment"
a/k/a heads I win, tails you lose.
a/k/a heads I win, tails you lose.
December 1, 2025 at 9:13 PM
"incentive alignment"
a/k/a heads I win, tails you lose.
a/k/a heads I win, tails you lose.
Also existing sales/service footprint outside of CN!
December 1, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Also existing sales/service footprint outside of CN!
Boy if you're waiting for perfect provability without any stochasticity in CS you're gonna be waiting a long time. Even in extremely rigorous parts of the field this is not the case.
We literally just grounded 6,000 aircraft because a solar flare broke a provably correct algorithm.
We literally just grounded 6,000 aircraft because a solar flare broke a provably correct algorithm.
November 30, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Boy if you're waiting for perfect provability without any stochasticity in CS you're gonna be waiting a long time. Even in extremely rigorous parts of the field this is not the case.
We literally just grounded 6,000 aircraft because a solar flare broke a provably correct algorithm.
We literally just grounded 6,000 aircraft because a solar flare broke a provably correct algorithm.
Not sure what they mean by "poor efficiency" but Waymo empirically works? ~10% of all ride hails in SF are now Waymo, so we have a pretty large denominator from which to say that it is indeed as safe as (if not safer) than equivalent humans.
November 30, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Not sure what they mean by "poor efficiency" but Waymo empirically works? ~10% of all ride hails in SF are now Waymo, so we have a pretty large denominator from which to say that it is indeed as safe as (if not safer) than equivalent humans.
Case in point genetics and heritability. We've observed it and successfully utilized it in a civilizational capacity for several thousand years before we figured out the causal mechanism.
Heck we had sophisticated models for it (Mendel, Punnett) 50-100 years before id'ing the mechanism.
Heck we had sophisticated models for it (Mendel, Punnett) 50-100 years before id'ing the mechanism.
November 30, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Case in point genetics and heritability. We've observed it and successfully utilized it in a civilizational capacity for several thousand years before we figured out the causal mechanism.
Heck we had sophisticated models for it (Mendel, Punnett) 50-100 years before id'ing the mechanism.
Heck we had sophisticated models for it (Mendel, Punnett) 50-100 years before id'ing the mechanism.
A key thing here is that in this situation you're a MS/Windows user, not really an OpenAI user. If Microsoft swapped GPT5 for another model that did just as well, you likely wouldn't know or care.
This is the power of distribution!
This is the power of distribution!
November 30, 2025 at 6:00 PM
A key thing here is that in this situation you're a MS/Windows user, not really an OpenAI user. If Microsoft swapped GPT5 for another model that did just as well, you likely wouldn't know or care.
This is the power of distribution!
This is the power of distribution!
Yep. First-mover advantage is stickier in enterprise (get the multi-year contracts in, starve your competitors out) but not really that effective in consumer. My expectation for a while has been that they start losing share. Current trends are bearing that out.
November 30, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Yep. First-mover advantage is stickier in enterprise (get the multi-year contracts in, starve your competitors out) but not really that effective in consumer. My expectation for a while has been that they start losing share. Current trends are bearing that out.
I think possible *if* they remain the overwhelmingly dominant consumer LLM product. But current trends suggest that Gemini is seeing faster growth, not to mention advantages Google has in product fundamentals and distribution.
Consumer tech is brutal - maintaining 80%+ share is... hard.
Consumer tech is brutal - maintaining 80%+ share is... hard.
November 30, 2025 at 5:05 PM
I think possible *if* they remain the overwhelmingly dominant consumer LLM product. But current trends suggest that Gemini is seeing faster growth, not to mention advantages Google has in product fundamentals and distribution.
Consumer tech is brutal - maintaining 80%+ share is... hard.
Consumer tech is brutal - maintaining 80%+ share is... hard.
Being in model hosting sucks. The margins are razor thin, you're competing with open weight model hosts, your customers are super price-sensitive, and it's also obscenely capital-intensive in regular hardware cycles.
Somebody will do it, but if you want the $1tn valuation you probably shouldn't.
Somebody will do it, but if you want the $1tn valuation you probably shouldn't.
November 30, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Being in model hosting sucks. The margins are razor thin, you're competing with open weight model hosts, your customers are super price-sensitive, and it's also obscenely capital-intensive in regular hardware cycles.
Somebody will do it, but if you want the $1tn valuation you probably shouldn't.
Somebody will do it, but if you want the $1tn valuation you probably shouldn't.
+1 on this. The real money will be upwards in the value chain, and I expect the big players to rapidly Sherlock their most compelling API customers (see also: Cursor).
November 30, 2025 at 4:58 PM
+1 on this. The real money will be upwards in the value chain, and I expect the big players to rapidly Sherlock their most compelling API customers (see also: Cursor).
I think without knocking Britain out you can’t really claim a win, especially since the failure of the U-Boat campaign meant that the UK wasn’t materially isolated/insignificant.
The existence of the convoy bridge meant the western front was very much still a threat.
The existence of the convoy bridge meant the western front was very much still a threat.
November 29, 2025 at 6:52 PM
I think without knocking Britain out you can’t really claim a win, especially since the failure of the U-Boat campaign meant that the UK wasn’t materially isolated/insignificant.
The existence of the convoy bridge meant the western front was very much still a threat.
The existence of the convoy bridge meant the western front was very much still a threat.
Your watch tells you if you have high blood pressure or afib!
“AI” already pervades your life in extremely positive ways that doesn’t have the downsides of the latest hype train!
“AI” already pervades your life in extremely positive ways that doesn’t have the downsides of the latest hype train!
November 29, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Your watch tells you if you have high blood pressure or afib!
“AI” already pervades your life in extremely positive ways that doesn’t have the downsides of the latest hype train!
“AI” already pervades your life in extremely positive ways that doesn’t have the downsides of the latest hype train!
It’s also already doing incredibly useful stuff in efficient ways that have very few social downsides! Your phone automatically calls emergency services if you get into a car wreck!
November 29, 2025 at 5:51 PM
It’s also already doing incredibly useful stuff in efficient ways that have very few social downsides! Your phone automatically calls emergency services if you get into a car wreck!
I guarantee Siri has a better tool calling recall than stuffing the same tools willy nilly into ChatGPT. By a very wide margin.
November 29, 2025 at 3:35 PM
I guarantee Siri has a better tool calling recall than stuffing the same tools willy nilly into ChatGPT. By a very wide margin.
Yes. I will die on this hill. People don’t know the difference between a chatbot and an assistant.
November 29, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Yes. I will die on this hill. People don’t know the difference between a chatbot and an assistant.
It’s just much more peer-to-peer. I’m not convinced the model of “a small number of mega-followed ‘celeb’ accounts that everyone replies to” is a super pro-social thing.
November 28, 2025 at 5:39 PM
It’s just much more peer-to-peer. I’m not convinced the model of “a small number of mega-followed ‘celeb’ accounts that everyone replies to” is a super pro-social thing.
This is also partially an insurance problem. Many homes are now much more expensive to insure, putting down pressure on prices but not necessarily monthly costs.
November 27, 2025 at 3:23 PM
This is also partially an insurance problem. Many homes are now much more expensive to insure, putting down pressure on prices but not necessarily monthly costs.
I have the Arc Ultra (no satellites no sub) and can recommend. I’m not an audiophile but the quality is excellent to my ears. Plugging into existing Sonos network for music is a nice plus.
November 22, 2025 at 1:51 AM
I have the Arc Ultra (no satellites no sub) and can recommend. I’m not an audiophile but the quality is excellent to my ears. Plugging into existing Sonos network for music is a nice plus.
You don’t accidentally gain 300M MAU with children. At that level you are not only aware of how children work but also have actively exploited this knowledge extensively.
November 21, 2025 at 7:24 PM
You don’t accidentally gain 300M MAU with children. At that level you are not only aware of how children work but also have actively exploited this knowledge extensively.
Right, my point is that I don’t think they’re simply negligent about the fact that they’re responsible for a bunch of kids, but that they’re fully competent and generally cognizant in the process of growing a product whose entire growth curve is kids.
November 21, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Right, my point is that I don’t think they’re simply negligent about the fact that they’re responsible for a bunch of kids, but that they’re fully competent and generally cognizant in the process of growing a product whose entire growth curve is kids.
As someone who’s worked on an adjacent product… I am far less willing to give the benefit of the doubt.
In my experience people who run products overwhelmingly used by kids know *exactly* what they’re doing.
In my experience people who run products overwhelmingly used by kids know *exactly* what they’re doing.
November 21, 2025 at 7:16 PM
As someone who’s worked on an adjacent product… I am far less willing to give the benefit of the doubt.
In my experience people who run products overwhelmingly used by kids know *exactly* what they’re doing.
In my experience people who run products overwhelmingly used by kids know *exactly* what they’re doing.
So if your ISP is a US-based one you’ll look like you’re in the US, regardless of where you physically actually are.
November 19, 2025 at 1:55 PM
So if your ISP is a US-based one you’ll look like you’re in the US, regardless of where you physically actually are.