Peter Donaghy
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peterdonaghy.bsky.social
Peter Donaghy
@peterdonaghy.bsky.social
Belfast based spreadsheet guy
Reposted by Peter Donaghy
i do not know if this justifies the URGENT
October 23, 2025 at 5:36 AM
Possibly concerning news for Sinn Féin? For nearly 3 decades, the SF share of the vote at Irish general elections has been correlated with the length of the title of Rob Zombie's most recent album. If the pattern continues, it could be ominous for SF at the next general election.
October 13, 2025 at 10:30 PM
This could cause a deflationary spirali
October 9, 2025 at 10:03 AM
It's striking how there was very little change in the demographic makeup of Northern Ireland for the first 50 years after partition, followed by rapid change in the 50 years from 1971.

factcheckni.org/articles/dem...
September 29, 2025 at 9:29 PM
By the end of the 2020s we could end up with:

- Nigel Farage as Prime Minister
- TUV as the largest unionist party
- A nationalist plurality in Stormont
YouGov's September 2025 MRP projects a hung parliament where Reform UK would be almost certain to form a government

Reform UK: 311 (+306 from 2024)
Labour: 144 (-267)
Lib Dems: 78 (+6)
Conservatives: 45 (-76)
SNP: 37 (+28)
Greens: 7 (+3)
Plaid: 6 (+2)
Others: 3 (-2)

yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
September 26, 2025 at 8:39 AM
The shortest distance across the border from England to Scotland is over 130 miles
September 23, 2025 at 8:34 PM
I wonder why spending on schools in Northern Ireland has fallen so far behind GB since 2020.
September 21, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Reposted by Peter Donaghy
Print sales are, amazingly, still the main revenue base for most mainstream local newspapers and cross-subsidise the online journalism. As the remaining print readers die, and with online ad revenue flatlining, that journalistic cross-subsidy will fall. So that's an 18% decline year-on-year.
September 15, 2025 at 11:05 AM
An obviously unsustainable situation. When the Millennials approach retirement age, there will be fewer than 2 working age people for every person over 65 across Europe, with the ratio in Italy close to 1:1. Without enough taxpayers to pay for pensions the system will collapse.
September 13, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Incredibly, it has now been nearly two years since the last Northern Ireland-wide hospital waiting statistics were published because of the ludicrous time it has taken to roll out the new "encompass" patient record system.
September 11, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Comparing the Copernicus imagery of Lough Neagh between 2023 and 2025 shows how the blue-green algae situation has been even worse this year.
September 9, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Reposted by Peter Donaghy
Andy Burnham is not gonna become Labour's next leader, come off it, I mean how would that work, needs a winnable by-election in frankly, a handful of seats, to be able to quit as mayor, this is 'Ruth Davidson to save the Tories' all over again.
September 8, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Until this year, Northern Ireland had cheaper electricity than the UK average, but prices are now marginally higher. Prices in the Republic are around 18% higher but NI still one of the most expensive electricity markets worldwide (prices 17% higher than France and 108% higher than the US).
September 7, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Something I hadn't realised - Ireland has the most expensive electricity in the world (apart from 65k population Bermuda), with prices 59% higher than France and 2.4 times higher than average prices in the United States.
September 7, 2025 at 7:40 PM
WWE Raw is coming to Belfast in 2026. It hasn’t had much notice outside wrestling circles, but it’s a major coup - the biggest international broadcast event from the city since the 2021 UEFA Super Cup.
September 1, 2025 at 1:23 PM
By the 2050s Millennials will discover the state pensions system was a Ponzi: pay in for decades, collapse at payout. The electoral nihilism of the Boomers today will seem tame by comparison.
The UK and Ireland are far from the most severe amongst developed economies - by 2050 there will be around 1.2 people aged 25-64 for every person over 65 in Italy and Spain.
August 26, 2025 at 7:51 AM
In the UK in 1950 there were 5 people aged 25-64 for every person over 65. When the Millennials start to reach retirement age in the 2050s there'll be fewer than 2, falling to 1.4 by the end of the century. That seems... unworkable?
August 25, 2025 at 10:44 PM
Surprising that the increase in the foreign born population in the UK in the 2020s wasn't that large by European standards over the period; much smaller than in Ireland or Austria. And the immigrant population % in the United States has barely increased since 2015.
July 29, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Peter Donaghy
The US-EU deal will greeted with the utmost sensitivity in Ireland, not just because pharma is still not out of the woods, but because it creates a differential in trading rates between Northern Ireland (10% as part of UK deal) and Republic of Ireland (15% as part of EU)
July 27, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Looking at the updated UN migration data for 2024:

- Share of the UK population born abroad up 1.5 percentage points from 2020-24; lower than most other European states

- Ireland’s foreign-born population share rose by 4.0 points in four years; one of the highest rises globally
July 27, 2025 at 11:42 AM
On votes at 16 for the 2029 GE in NI. Will mean around an extra 51k potential voters (people aged 8 or 9 at the 2021 census):

49% Catholic
33% Protestant
18% Other

The electorate in 2024 was 1.36m, so it will increase the number of potential voters by about 3.5%.
July 17, 2025 at 7:51 PM
At a very rainy Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in Tbilisi last weekend for the Georgia v Ireland rugby match.
July 16, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Sinn Féin at the 2029 Westminster election when Reform announce that they're running candidates
June 18, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Peter Donaghy
I imagine all these jobs will go with AI
June 16, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Something I hadn't realised before today - there won't be any individual level records released for the 1926 Northern Ireland census as the records were lost and presumed destroyed in WW2. It means there's a 26 year gap in census information on individuals from 1911 to 1937.
June 15, 2025 at 7:12 PM