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petbugs13.bsky.social
nobody
@petbugs13.bsky.social
sports, satire, stats, shipping, storms, socialism, and smarm.

nothing gets serious until the third round
NHL points projections over last two weeks. would be quite something if the entire Met division wound up over 90 points.
November 20, 2025 at 4:54 PM
not quite 25 games in but there's barely any of last season still in here, so let's post some internals.

Canucks are rested but horrid at evens, while Stars have improved but are still under water. both teams generate chances on the PP, but Canucks allow more on the PK. Van better goal prevention.
November 20, 2025 at 4:50 PM
12 NHL games today and i'm not sure about that Vancouver picks you guys
November 20, 2025 at 4:42 PM
safe is death
November 20, 2025 at 4:41 PM
a glimmer
November 20, 2025 at 3:56 PM
NHL points forecasts. almost a quarter of the way through the season and we are still seeing almost 50% more OT and SO games than normal. playoff cutoff lines are going to be much higher than normal at this rate.
November 19, 2025 at 9:54 PM
four NHL games today, and four safe-ish picks
November 19, 2025 at 6:40 PM
model looking a bit better again. let's see if it's sustainable.
November 19, 2025 at 6:38 PM
on the verge
November 19, 2025 at 3:44 PM
November 19, 2025 at 3:11 AM
NHL points forecasts. Canucks down in lottery territory. oof.
November 18, 2025 at 4:24 PM
taking the safe route again today. let's see if the model can get on a roll.
November 18, 2025 at 4:22 PM
ok much better. almost a clean sheet.
November 18, 2025 at 4:19 PM
cloud nebula
November 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
it's kind of hilarious that after the initial shock reaction the stock market did fine during the shutdown but now that the government is back the rails are starting to come off
November 18, 2025 at 3:39 PM
nobody knows
November 18, 2025 at 3:43 AM
this week's Trump Index. with some enhancements.
November 17, 2025 at 6:26 PM
same as it ever was
November 17, 2025 at 4:04 PM
NHL points forecasts. we are 300 games in and just under 29% of games so far have gone past regulation. this abundance of loser points is significantly boosting the forecasts for the weaker teams expected to rack up more losses.
November 17, 2025 at 3:53 PM
but back to the today's picks. six games on the NHL sched and model is mostly going the safe route. only pick against the grain is taking the Sabres at home over the Oilers.
November 17, 2025 at 3:47 PM
at the team level, model likes the Rangers and Vegas more than it should, and the Sharks and Bruins not nearly enough.
November 17, 2025 at 3:45 PM
higher probability picks should be doing more to pull up the overall accuracy but they're almost more of a drag so far
November 17, 2025 at 3:43 PM
now at the 300 game mark and model accuracy has whittled down to 55% from just under 60% over the last hundred games or so
November 17, 2025 at 3:37 PM
the struggle is real
November 17, 2025 at 3:33 PM
oh look, one of the "most influential evolutionary theorists alive today," Robert Trivers, in an email to Epstein:
November 17, 2025 at 3:25 PM