Pawel Brodzinski
@pawelbrodzinski.bsky.social
Leader of an org where anyone can make any decision (Lunar Logic).
Doing anything that no one else wants to do.
A mouthful on product development, org design, lean/agile, IT in general.
Doing anything that no one else wants to do.
A mouthful on product development, org design, lean/agile, IT in general.
Vibe-coded app. Authorization.
"Add localhost:3000/auth/linkedi... to authorized redirect URLs"
It is "works well on my machine" of the AI era :D
"Add localhost:3000/auth/linkedi... to authorized redirect URLs"
It is "works well on my machine" of the AI era :D
November 5, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Vibe-coded app. Authorization.
"Add localhost:3000/auth/linkedi... to authorized redirect URLs"
It is "works well on my machine" of the AI era :D
"Add localhost:3000/auth/linkedi... to authorized redirect URLs"
It is "works well on my machine" of the AI era :D
"Unlike 1999, tech’s profits justify the premium."
Are these profits coming from AI? Save for hardware vendors, which AI wave made fly, what profits are we talking about?
And what happens to Nvidia when it's suddenly clear that OpenAI isn't on a path to profitability?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Are these profits coming from AI? Save for hardware vendors, which AI wave made fly, what profits are we talking about?
And what happens to Nvidia when it's suddenly clear that OpenAI isn't on a path to profitability?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
November 3, 2025 at 8:01 PM
"Unlike 1999, tech’s profits justify the premium."
Are these profits coming from AI? Save for hardware vendors, which AI wave made fly, what profits are we talking about?
And what happens to Nvidia when it's suddenly clear that OpenAI isn't on a path to profitability?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Are these profits coming from AI? Save for hardware vendors, which AI wave made fly, what profits are we talking about?
And what happens to Nvidia when it's suddenly clear that OpenAI isn't on a path to profitability?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Hype wave versus reality.
Upon seeing the chart, I was like:
* Your ARR is not annual (can't be yet)
* Nor is it recurring (can't know yet)
After 10s research (literally clicking the links):
* It's also fake
* And scam
Check your sources, people!
Upon seeing the chart, I was like:
* Your ARR is not annual (can't be yet)
* Nor is it recurring (can't know yet)
After 10s research (literally clicking the links):
* It's also fake
* And scam
Check your sources, people!
November 3, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Hype wave versus reality.
Upon seeing the chart, I was like:
* Your ARR is not annual (can't be yet)
* Nor is it recurring (can't know yet)
After 10s research (literally clicking the links):
* It's also fake
* And scam
Check your sources, people!
Upon seeing the chart, I was like:
* Your ARR is not annual (can't be yet)
* Nor is it recurring (can't know yet)
After 10s research (literally clicking the links):
* It's also fake
* And scam
Check your sources, people!
"We haven't yet shown a single dollar of profit, but we're already too big to fail."
Welcome to 2025.
What do you not understand?
Welcome to 2025.
What do you not understand?
November 3, 2025 at 8:37 AM
"We haven't yet shown a single dollar of profit, but we're already too big to fail."
Welcome to 2025.
What do you not understand?
Welcome to 2025.
What do you not understand?
@kentbeck.com's post (substack.com/inbox/post/1...) reminded me about my own "disastrous failure" story.
In the end, our clients just ended up with a bit of extra work. Nothing too serious.
In the end, our clients just ended up with a bit of extra work. Nothing too serious.
October 30, 2025 at 5:15 PM
@kentbeck.com's post (substack.com/inbox/post/1...) reminded me about my own "disastrous failure" story.
In the end, our clients just ended up with a bit of extra work. Nothing too serious.
In the end, our clients just ended up with a bit of extra work. Nothing too serious.
That didn't age overly well.
It still somehow escapes me how these English developers build successful products.
It still somehow escapes me how these English developers build successful products.
October 30, 2025 at 4:11 PM
That didn't age overly well.
It still somehow escapes me how these English developers build successful products.
It still somehow escapes me how these English developers build successful products.
For years, statistical forecasting was the way to go for me when someone asked for an estimate.
Then I got back to simple linear approximation.
TL;DR: It's much quicker. And good enough.
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
Then I got back to simple linear approximation.
TL;DR: It's much quicker. And good enough.
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
October 30, 2025 at 3:30 PM
For years, statistical forecasting was the way to go for me when someone asked for an estimate.
Then I got back to simple linear approximation.
TL;DR: It's much quicker. And good enough.
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
Then I got back to simple linear approximation.
TL;DR: It's much quicker. And good enough.
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
Code review karma: the better code reviews you give, the better ones you receive.
That and more stats behind code reviews): substack.com/inbox/post/1...
That and more stats behind code reviews): substack.com/inbox/post/1...
October 22, 2025 at 9:26 AM
Code review karma: the better code reviews you give, the better ones you receive.
That and more stats behind code reviews): substack.com/inbox/post/1...
That and more stats behind code reviews): substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Find 5 differences.
The top picture is from Musk's tweet mocking the AWS outage.
The bottom is from the original CNBC article.
(And it's not to defend AWS or anything.)
The top picture is from Musk's tweet mocking the AWS outage.
The bottom is from the original CNBC article.
(And it's not to defend AWS or anything.)
October 21, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Find 5 differences.
The top picture is from Musk's tweet mocking the AWS outage.
The bottom is from the original CNBC article.
(And it's not to defend AWS or anything.)
The top picture is from Musk's tweet mocking the AWS outage.
The bottom is from the original CNBC article.
(And it's not to defend AWS or anything.)
Candidates mass applying with AI.
Companies mass rejecting with AI.
(Not so new) hacks to trick the AI tools emerge.
Both hiring and looking for a job is sure fun these days.
Is it only me, or is it not sustainable?
Source: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Companies mass rejecting with AI.
(Not so new) hacks to trick the AI tools emerge.
Both hiring and looking for a job is sure fun these days.
Is it only me, or is it not sustainable?
Source: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
October 20, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Candidates mass applying with AI.
Companies mass rejecting with AI.
(Not so new) hacks to trick the AI tools emerge.
Both hiring and looking for a job is sure fun these days.
Is it only me, or is it not sustainable?
Source: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Companies mass rejecting with AI.
(Not so new) hacks to trick the AI tools emerge.
Both hiring and looking for a job is sure fun these days.
Is it only me, or is it not sustainable?
Source: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Recruitment in 2025.
AI has helped everyone so much! High fives, everyone!
AI has helped everyone so much! High fives, everyone!
October 17, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Recruitment in 2025.
AI has helped everyone so much! High fives, everyone!
AI has helped everyone so much! High fives, everyone!
This is going to be a new trend
October 7, 2025 at 1:43 PM
This is going to be a new trend
Women-led startups get less than half the money and still deliver better revenues.
www.bcg.com/publications...
We could wonder whether data-driven (in their own declarations) leaders of VCs will take notice. I wouldn't hold my breath, though.
www.bcg.com/publications...
We could wonder whether data-driven (in their own declarations) leaders of VCs will take notice. I wouldn't hold my breath, though.
September 26, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Women-led startups get less than half the money and still deliver better revenues.
www.bcg.com/publications...
We could wonder whether data-driven (in their own declarations) leaders of VCs will take notice. I wouldn't hold my breath, though.
www.bcg.com/publications...
We could wonder whether data-driven (in their own declarations) leaders of VCs will take notice. I wouldn't hold my breath, though.
Same data. Completely different message.
The only trick? Changing the chart type to cumulative.
Now, one has to wonder why LinkedIn now displays traffic data on a cumulative chart by default. Why would they want users to perceive their traffic as better than it really is?
The only trick? Changing the chart type to cumulative.
Now, one has to wonder why LinkedIn now displays traffic data on a cumulative chart by default. Why would they want users to perceive their traffic as better than it really is?
September 22, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Same data. Completely different message.
The only trick? Changing the chart type to cumulative.
Now, one has to wonder why LinkedIn now displays traffic data on a cumulative chart by default. Why would they want users to perceive their traffic as better than it really is?
The only trick? Changing the chart type to cumulative.
Now, one has to wonder why LinkedIn now displays traffic data on a cumulative chart by default. Why would they want users to perceive their traffic as better than it really is?
Truly, a recommendation-worthy leadership coach, mentor, and keynote speaker, helping leaders grow...
Not that good at telling jokes, though ;)
Not that good at telling jokes, though ;)
September 16, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Truly, a recommendation-worthy leadership coach, mentor, and keynote speaker, helping leaders grow...
Not that good at telling jokes, though ;)
Not that good at telling jokes, though ;)
1 picture = 1000 words:
1. As a startup, you're on the left side (because probability)
2. As a VC, all you care about is on the right side
3. Do the math
Yes, even if a VC (2) invested in a startup (1), it changes nothing. It's just expendable.
1. As a startup, you're on the left side (because probability)
2. As a VC, all you care about is on the right side
3. Do the math
Yes, even if a VC (2) invested in a startup (1), it changes nothing. It's just expendable.
September 16, 2025 at 5:14 PM
1 picture = 1000 words:
1. As a startup, you're on the left side (because probability)
2. As a VC, all you care about is on the right side
3. Do the math
Yes, even if a VC (2) invested in a startup (1), it changes nothing. It's just expendable.
1. As a startup, you're on the left side (because probability)
2. As a VC, all you care about is on the right side
3. Do the math
Yes, even if a VC (2) invested in a startup (1), it changes nothing. It's just expendable.
95% of corporate GenAI initiatives deliver zero measurable return: www.forbes.com/sites/andrea...
My comment?
(Yup, it's a refurbished slide from more than 10 years ago.)
My comment?
(Yup, it's a refurbished slide from more than 10 years ago.)
September 15, 2025 at 12:26 PM
95% of corporate GenAI initiatives deliver zero measurable return: www.forbes.com/sites/andrea...
My comment?
(Yup, it's a refurbished slide from more than 10 years ago.)
My comment?
(Yup, it's a refurbished slide from more than 10 years ago.)
Most Agile transformations be like:
September 12, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Most Agile transformations be like:
When startups focus on securing funding, they play the startup funding theater.
However, the investors who give them money assume that they are on a good, old, boring growth trajectory.
Those two are very different.
However, the investors who give them money assume that they are on a good, old, boring growth trajectory.
Those two are very different.
September 9, 2025 at 3:31 PM
When startups focus on securing funding, they play the startup funding theater.
However, the investors who give them money assume that they are on a good, old, boring growth trajectory.
Those two are very different.
However, the investors who give them money assume that they are on a good, old, boring growth trajectory.
Those two are very different.
ChatGPT seasonality.
2/3 of usage coming from students?
I think we have a bigger problem than whether or not OpenAI is profitable.
Except I don't think our education system has a chance to catch up anytime soon.
2/3 of usage coming from students?
I think we have a bigger problem than whether or not OpenAI is profitable.
Except I don't think our education system has a chance to catch up anytime soon.
September 8, 2025 at 5:33 PM
ChatGPT seasonality.
2/3 of usage coming from students?
I think we have a bigger problem than whether or not OpenAI is profitable.
Except I don't think our education system has a chance to catch up anytime soon.
2/3 of usage coming from students?
I think we have a bigger problem than whether or not OpenAI is profitable.
Except I don't think our education system has a chance to catch up anytime soon.
The IT industry these days be like
September 3, 2025 at 10:03 AM
The IT industry these days be like
Funny how narrowly we see AI applications from within the software development bubble.
Interesting how the expectations evolve, too. AI stopped being as creative? Or have we started spotting how generic it is?
Source: learn.filtered.com/hubfs/The%20...
Interesting how the expectations evolve, too. AI stopped being as creative? Or have we started spotting how generic it is?
Source: learn.filtered.com/hubfs/The%20...
August 26, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Funny how narrowly we see AI applications from within the software development bubble.
Interesting how the expectations evolve, too. AI stopped being as creative? Or have we started spotting how generic it is?
Source: learn.filtered.com/hubfs/The%20...
Interesting how the expectations evolve, too. AI stopped being as creative? Or have we started spotting how generic it is?
Source: learn.filtered.com/hubfs/The%20...
"We can see an overall decrease in a favorable outlook on AI."
One interesting finding in @gregorojstersek.bsky.social's summary of the last StackOverflow dev survey.
More stuff here: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
One interesting finding in @gregorojstersek.bsky.social's summary of the last StackOverflow dev survey.
More stuff here: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
August 20, 2025 at 10:26 AM
"We can see an overall decrease in a favorable outlook on AI."
One interesting finding in @gregorojstersek.bsky.social's summary of the last StackOverflow dev survey.
More stuff here: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
One interesting finding in @gregorojstersek.bsky.social's summary of the last StackOverflow dev survey.
More stuff here: substack.com/inbox/post/1...
As developers get to use more AI they trust it less.
A surprise? If you're paying attention, then probably not so much.
A surprise? If you're paying attention, then probably not so much.
July 31, 2025 at 3:57 PM
As developers get to use more AI they trust it less.
A surprise? If you're paying attention, then probably not so much.
A surprise? If you're paying attention, then probably not so much.