Paul Harvey
@paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc
Kayaker, former college wrestler (Wheaton ‘10), foster/bio/adoptive dad, husband to the world’s best wife. Writer for The Outfield and American Soccer Analysis
NYCFC's own Maximo Carrizo with the start and the armband for the USA.
5 of the 11 (Hall, Carrizo, Berchimas, Cupps, and Sanchez) have made full MLS debuts already.
5 of the 11 (Hall, Carrizo, Berchimas, Cupps, and Sanchez) have made full MLS debuts already.
November 5, 2025 at 2:22 PM
NYCFC's own Maximo Carrizo with the start and the armband for the USA.
5 of the 11 (Hall, Carrizo, Berchimas, Cupps, and Sanchez) have made full MLS debuts already.
5 of the 11 (Hall, Carrizo, Berchimas, Cupps, and Sanchez) have made full MLS debuts already.
The story of the LA Galaxy season in a single chart:
October 30, 2025 at 6:11 PM
The story of the LA Galaxy season in a single chart:
Even weirder is Parks taking a 55% pay cut between 2024 and 2025 apparently?
October 29, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Even weirder is Parks taking a 55% pay cut between 2024 and 2025 apparently?
I think this is pretty good quality for a TAM player!
October 29, 2025 at 6:53 PM
I think this is pretty good quality for a TAM player!
This seems crazy low for both. Didn't Freese just sign an extension?
October 29, 2025 at 6:47 PM
This seems crazy low for both. Didn't Freese just sign an extension?
NYCFC's attack is essentially a dead zone where there might be any overlapping occuring:
October 29, 2025 at 1:52 PM
NYCFC's attack is essentially a dead zone where there might be any overlapping occuring:
This quote gives me pause, though it’s not Sogut saying it - for pretty much every great MLS team the foundation is domestic, and DC’s foundation is basically condemned at this point.
You can’t fix it by going abroad, no matter how good your contacts are. You have to start at home.
You can’t fix it by going abroad, no matter how good your contacts are. You have to start at home.
October 28, 2025 at 7:28 PM
This quote gives me pause, though it’s not Sogut saying it - for pretty much every great MLS team the foundation is domestic, and DC’s foundation is basically condemned at this point.
You can’t fix it by going abroad, no matter how good your contacts are. You have to start at home.
You can’t fix it by going abroad, no matter how good your contacts are. You have to start at home.
Brian Gutierrez decided to have the best game by Net G+ of his entire career last night, and the best performance by a CM in as far back as G+ goes. (of course the positional definitions are a little fuzzy, but still)
October 23, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Brian Gutierrez decided to have the best game by Net G+ of his entire career last night, and the best performance by a CM in as far back as G+ goes. (of course the positional definitions are a little fuzzy, but still)
I'm not convinced that optimizing set pieces necessarily reduces open play scoring. I think the dip in open play scoring could be due to a different cause, such as teams defending differently. While open play passes are down, dead balls aren't necessarily up:
October 21, 2025 at 2:58 PM
I'm not convinced that optimizing set pieces necessarily reduces open play scoring. I think the dip in open play scoring could be due to a different cause, such as teams defending differently. While open play passes are down, dead balls aren't necessarily up:
Not sure when this was added but SofaScore now has what appears to be a genuine, live expected possession model built into their app. That’s a pretty big step forward.
October 20, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Not sure when this was added but SofaScore now has what appears to be a genuine, live expected possession model built into their app. That’s a pretty big step forward.
It’s here and it’s beautiful - the most talented USA U17 World Cup roster.. ever?
October 16, 2025 at 5:25 PM
It’s here and it’s beautiful - the most talented USA U17 World Cup roster.. ever?
The three key questions I had about the USA-Morocco game going in. Answered pretty definitively - No, Yes, No.
Basically every way the game could have gone for Morocco it dis
Basically every way the game could have gone for Morocco it dis
October 12, 2025 at 10:07 PM
The three key questions I had about the USA-Morocco game going in. Answered pretty definitively - No, Yes, No.
Basically every way the game could have gone for Morocco it dis
Basically every way the game could have gone for Morocco it dis
Morocco goes ahead vs the USA U20s on a long throw in goal
October 12, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Morocco goes ahead vs the USA U20s on a long throw in goal
I have been working on a new USA Soccer stat hub for a couple of months now in Tableau, as I grew increasingly dissatisfied with what I put together at the start of 2025. It's *finally* ready for public consumption. The images here don't show the half of it:
public.tableau.com/views/MLSAdv...
public.tableau.com/views/MLSAdv...
October 9, 2025 at 6:47 PM
I have been working on a new USA Soccer stat hub for a couple of months now in Tableau, as I grew increasingly dissatisfied with what I put together at the start of 2025. It's *finally* ready for public consumption. The images here don't show the half of it:
public.tableau.com/views/MLSAdv...
public.tableau.com/views/MLSAdv...
If I were an MLS team in the market for an 8, I think Leo Walta at IK Sirius might be on the top of my list. He's not really a true 10, though, and he might be a little too expensive to pry out of Sweden without a DP deal.
October 9, 2025 at 2:01 PM
If I were an MLS team in the market for an 8, I think Leo Walta at IK Sirius might be on the top of my list. He's not really a true 10, though, and he might be a little too expensive to pry out of Sweden without a DP deal.
Frankie Westfields High Value Actions tonight (either progressive or +0.015 g+)
October 3, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Frankie Westfields High Value Actions tonight (either progressive or +0.015 g+)
Never forget 🫡
September 27, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Never forget 🫡
Saving this for the next time someone tries to tell me MLS doesn't have any stakes because it doesn't have pro/rel
September 25, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Saving this for the next time someone tries to tell me MLS doesn't have any stakes because it doesn't have pro/rel
Seymour Reid makes Doyle's "just missed the cut list", and I wanted to add a little context on this snippet.
Reid loses value on his receiving simply for not getting on the ball in the box, and if you watch him you can see he's a little hesitant making his runs in that area. Needs to improve.
Reid loses value on his receiving simply for not getting on the ball in the box, and if you watch him you can see he's a little hesitant making his runs in that area. Needs to improve.
September 25, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Seymour Reid makes Doyle's "just missed the cut list", and I wanted to add a little context on this snippet.
Reid loses value on his receiving simply for not getting on the ball in the box, and if you watch him you can see he's a little hesitant making his runs in that area. Needs to improve.
Reid loses value on his receiving simply for not getting on the ball in the box, and if you watch him you can see he's a little hesitant making his runs in that area. Needs to improve.
I tried to get Gemini to convert the official FIFA Squad List into a csv for me, and it came out with some wild hallucinations - including an entire Slovakia team that didn't qualify, and this almost correct but not quite list of American players:
September 24, 2025 at 5:12 PM
I tried to get Gemini to convert the official FIFA Squad List into a csv for me, and it came out with some wild hallucinations - including an entire Slovakia team that didn't qualify, and this almost correct but not quite list of American players:
I wrote WAY too much on where the U20 USYNT stands heading into the U20 World Cup, one of my favorite tournaments. Part 1 is out now; part 2 is coming in a few days, and covers the other groups in the tournament:
500wp90.substack.com/p/a-way-too-...
500wp90.substack.com/p/a-way-too-...
September 24, 2025 at 12:28 PM
I wrote WAY too much on where the U20 USYNT stands heading into the U20 World Cup, one of my favorite tournaments. Part 1 is out now; part 2 is coming in a few days, and covers the other groups in the tournament:
500wp90.substack.com/p/a-way-too-...
500wp90.substack.com/p/a-way-too-...
There are a lot of really good U22 players! Here's what my ballot would be if I had one. With the U22s you have to balance guys who have been consistently productive, guys with good numbers but low minutes, and of course throw a couple very young but promising players in for good measure.
September 23, 2025 at 3:34 PM
There are a lot of really good U22 players! Here's what my ballot would be if I had one. With the U22s you have to balance guys who have been consistently productive, guys with good numbers but low minutes, and of course throw a couple very young but promising players in for good measure.