Patrick Sullivan
patrick-sullivan.bsky.social
Patrick Sullivan
@patrick-sullivan.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Researcher at the American Political Economy Exchange (APEX), @ispsyale.bsky.social. Associated Researcher @excinequality.bsky.social. Green Bay Packers Part Owner
Reposted by Patrick Sullivan
7/ Maybe that’s part of the reason why the bill is so unpopular? The more people know about it, the more they hate it, per EG collaborators @jacobhacker.bsky.social & @patrick-sullivan.bsky.social. equitablegrowth.org/working-pape...

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Americans Informed About the Distributional Effects of Republicans’ Budget Bill Overwhelmingly Oppose It
Survey results show that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act is broadly unpopular—overwhelmingly so after respondents learned of its regressive distributional effects.
equitablegrowth.org
July 3, 2025 at 1:10 PM
But more importantly, they should vote "NO" on this horrendous and cruel piece of legislation because it's the right thing to do...
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Republican members of Congress should take note

Republicans who voted to "repeal and replace" the Affordable Care Act in 2017 were more likely to lose reelection than their co-partisans who voted "No"

link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The Electoral Consequences of Roll Call Voting: Health Care and the 2018 Election - Political Behavior
For years, Republicans in Congress promised to “repeal and replace” the Affordable Care Act. The results of the 2016 elections put them in position to take action on the seminal domestic policy achiev...
link.springer.com
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Moreover, majorities of all groups (Democrats, Independents, EVEN Republicans) who learned about distributional effects of the bill said they would be LESS likely for their senator in the future if they were to vote YES on the budget bill
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Even Republicans who learned about the regressivity of the bill became overwhelmingly opposed

61 percent of Republicans in this group opposed the bill, with less than one-quarter supporting
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
But among those who learned about how regressive the bill is, opposition increased drastically, to 78 percent

In fact, opposition outnumbered support by a ratio of 7 to 1!
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
@jacobhacker.bsky.social and I found similar results in a recent survey we conducted, examining Americans' attitudes towards the GOP's budget bill

Among those who were asked directly for their opinions, opposition already outpaced support by nearly 20 percentage points
July 2, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Reposted by Patrick Sullivan
As @brendanvduke.bsky.social says, this isn’t a case of shared sacrifice. The bill isn’t asking everyone to tighten their belts a little in the name of deficit reduction. Instead it’s asking the poorest to tighten their belts so the richest can loosen their belts.

That is profoundly unfair.
June 29, 2025 at 10:41 PM
And if you would like to learn more about what is exactly in the so-called "Big Beautiful Bill," what makes it so regressive, and why it could even get worse, check out our recent policy report, also published at @equitablegrowth.bsky.social

equitablegrowth.org/congressiona...
Congressional Republicans’ budget bill is the most regressive in at least 40 years
Jacob Hacker and Patrick Sullivan shine a light on the hidden regressive elements of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
equitablegrowth.org
June 29, 2025 at 10:25 PM
In addition to the linked article above, you can also read more on the survey in a Working Paper we published with the great folks at @equitablegrowth.bsky.social

equitablegrowth.org/working-pape...
Americans Informed About the Distributional Effects of Republicans’ Budget Bill Overwhelmingly Oppose It
Survey results show that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act is broadly unpopular—overwhelmingly so after respondents learned of its regressive distributional effects.
equitablegrowth.org
June 29, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Whereas Republican support for the the bill in our control condition strongly outnumbered opposition, opposition dominates support in our treatment group - with Republicans opposing the GOP budget bill by a nearly 3:1 margin.
June 29, 2025 at 10:25 PM
We also examined how the effects of this information varied by respondents' political affiliation.

Opposition increased for all groups (Dems, Independents, Reps) who received information on the bill's regressivity.

However, the effects of this information were largest among Republicans
June 29, 2025 at 10:25 PM