Bryan
@ozsideshow.bsky.social
Current affairs and politics, coffee, hiking. The sky is blue here. Personal account.
May 2, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Reposted by Bryan
A post on the election's great imponderable: preference flows www.pollbludger.net/2025/05/01/g...
Going with the flow - The Poll Bludger
Amid talk that One Nation might prove the Coalition's salvation, an in-depthlook at how preferences might flow.
www.pollbludger.net
May 1, 2025 at 3:00 AM
A post on the election's great imponderable: preference flows www.pollbludger.net/2025/05/01/g...
I miss the worm #BringBacktheWorm #leadersbedate25
April 16, 2025 at 10:13 AM
I miss the worm #BringBacktheWorm #leadersbedate25
Reposted by Bryan
The distribution shows that while there was a high primary vote for minor parties and INDs, these people weren't hating the majors, just liking someone else more. Of voters for candidates outside the top 3, 72.2% put one of the majors ahead of Hopper.
February 18, 2025 at 2:32 AM
The distribution shows that while there was a high primary vote for minor parties and INDs, these people weren't hating the majors, just liking someone else more. Of voters for candidates outside the top 3, 72.2% put one of the majors ahead of Hopper.
Reposted by Bryan
Since 1990:
Cases where a non-major-party federal Reps candidate has led on primaries but lost to a major party candidate: 1
Cases of the opposite: 19.
(includes by-elections)
Cases where a non-major-party federal Reps candidate has led on primaries but lost to a major party candidate: 1
Cases of the opposite: 19.
(includes by-elections)
February 14, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Since 1990:
Cases where a non-major-party federal Reps candidate has led on primaries but lost to a major party candidate: 1
Cases of the opposite: 19.
(includes by-elections)
Cases where a non-major-party federal Reps candidate has led on primaries but lost to a major party candidate: 1
Cases of the opposite: 19.
(includes by-elections)
Reposted by Bryan
When parliamentarians left Canberra on Thursday after the fortnight sitting, federal politics had the air of an uneasy waiting game.
Grattan on Friday: Albanese and Trump put Australia in holding patterns on election timing and tariffs
theconversation.com
February 13, 2025 at 9:44 AM
When parliamentarians left Canberra on Thursday after the fortnight sitting, federal politics had the air of an uneasy waiting game.
Reposted by Bryan
The WA election race is underway today with the issue of writs. So far 253 candidates lower house candidates have been named. Find all the names plus election background and profiles of every seat at my WA Election guide. www.abc.net.au/news/electio... #wavotes
Election Preview
Western Australia Election Preview 2025
www.abc.net.au
February 5, 2025 at 7:21 AM
The WA election race is underway today with the issue of writs. So far 253 candidates lower house candidates have been named. Find all the names plus election background and profiles of every seat at my WA Election guide. www.abc.net.au/news/electio... #wavotes
Reposted by Bryan
My #WAVotes2025 election guide has just been launched. The usual features, a preview, full profiles of every seat, indexes by candidate, electorate name and margin. Legislative Council to be added in a day or two. www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
January 15, 2025 at 5:30 AM
My #WAVotes2025 election guide has just been launched. The usual features, a preview, full profiles of every seat, indexes by candidate, electorate name and margin. Legislative Council to be added in a day or two. www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
Reposted by Bryan
My new column: the year the geopolitical plates shifted & where to in 2025. From Ukraine, Gaza, Syria, Russia, China to what Trump means. Mideast deteriorating. Gaza now almost unliveable, Turkey new kingmaker after Russia, Iran lose Syria. We’ll see fallout for years
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
The geopolitical plates have shifted. We'll see fallout for years to come
Few recent years have seen such dramatic changes as 2024 — changes that will resonate well into the future.
www.abc.net.au
December 30, 2024 at 12:23 AM
My new column: the year the geopolitical plates shifted & where to in 2025. From Ukraine, Gaza, Syria, Russia, China to what Trump means. Mideast deteriorating. Gaza now almost unliveable, Turkey new kingmaker after Russia, Iran lose Syria. We’ll see fallout for years
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
Reposted by Bryan
The #ParkerSolarProbe is just hours away from its close encounter with the Sun.📡〰️〰️〰️🛰️🔜☀️
Just 6.1 million kilometres from the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000 kilometres per hour, it’s going to be an amazing ride as it races around our star. See you on the other side!
Just 6.1 million kilometres from the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000 kilometres per hour, it’s going to be an amazing ride as it races around our star. See you on the other side!
December 24, 2024 at 6:42 AM
The #ParkerSolarProbe is just hours away from its close encounter with the Sun.📡〰️〰️〰️🛰️🔜☀️
Just 6.1 million kilometres from the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000 kilometres per hour, it’s going to be an amazing ride as it races around our star. See you on the other side!
Just 6.1 million kilometres from the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000 kilometres per hour, it’s going to be an amazing ride as it races around our star. See you on the other side!
Reposted by Bryan
Popular Podcasts 2024
These were the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024. These podcast entries piqued the most visitor interest and attracted the greatest number of page views.
Supported by Lenny.fm
www.greataustralianpods.com/popular-podc...
#AusPods #Podcasts #Australia
These were the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024. These podcast entries piqued the most visitor interest and attracted the greatest number of page views.
Supported by Lenny.fm
www.greataustralianpods.com/popular-podc...
#AusPods #Podcasts #Australia
December 23, 2024 at 10:18 PM
Popular Podcasts 2024
These were the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024. These podcast entries piqued the most visitor interest and attracted the greatest number of page views.
Supported by Lenny.fm
www.greataustralianpods.com/popular-podc...
#AusPods #Podcasts #Australia
These were the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024. These podcast entries piqued the most visitor interest and attracted the greatest number of page views.
Supported by Lenny.fm
www.greataustralianpods.com/popular-podc...
#AusPods #Podcasts #Australia
Reposted by Bryan
Here comes the Sun - On the 24th December 2024, at 11:53 GMT (10:53pm AEDT) (6:53am ET), NASA’s Parker Solar Probe will fly 6.1 million kilometres above the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000km/hr.
Follow its journey at: science.nasa.gov/mission/parker-solar-probe
Follow its journey at: science.nasa.gov/mission/parker-solar-probe
December 23, 2024 at 4:25 AM
Here comes the Sun - On the 24th December 2024, at 11:53 GMT (10:53pm AEDT) (6:53am ET), NASA’s Parker Solar Probe will fly 6.1 million kilometres above the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000km/hr.
Follow its journey at: science.nasa.gov/mission/parker-solar-probe
Follow its journey at: science.nasa.gov/mission/parker-solar-probe
Reposted by Bryan
The AEC has published its estimates of seat margins on post-redistribution electoral boundaries. Antony Green and Ben Raue weigh in on how and why they differ from ours. antonygreen.com.au/fed25-a-plet... www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
FED25 – A Plethora of Estimated Margins and Problems with the AEC Version
In a pre-Christmas treat for election nerds, the Australian Electoral Commission is about to publish its estimated seat margins for next year’s Federal election. The 2025 Federal election will be f…
antonygreen.com.au
December 20, 2024 at 6:24 AM
The AEC has published its estimates of seat margins on post-redistribution electoral boundaries. Antony Green and Ben Raue weigh in on how and why they differ from ours. antonygreen.com.au/fed25-a-plet... www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
Reposted by Bryan
The AEC published their margins for the next federal election earlier today, which will be the basis for calculating swings. But in a number of non-classic seats, despite their best efforts, I don't think their margins accurately reflect the seat. I explained more here:
www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
www.tallyroom.com.au
December 20, 2024 at 6:00 AM
The AEC published their margins for the next federal election earlier today, which will be the basis for calculating swings. But in a number of non-classic seats, despite their best efforts, I don't think their margins accurately reflect the seat. I explained more here:
www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
www.tallyroom.com.au/58564
Reposted by Bryan
It's this time of year again ... 2024 a very different year in polls to 2023.
(Link to last year's piece, working on 2024 review tonight kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/12/2023... )
(Link to last year's piece, working on 2024 review tonight kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/12/2023... )
December 19, 2024 at 7:58 AM
It's this time of year again ... 2024 a very different year in polls to 2023.
(Link to last year's piece, working on 2024 review tonight kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/12/2023... )
(Link to last year's piece, working on 2024 review tonight kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/12/2023... )
Reposted by Bryan
Perpetually annoyed by Australian articles claiming things will become public domain based on US copyright terms. Please could you interview an Australian lawyer? Sigh www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
Popeye and Tintin enter the public domain in 2025
Popeye and Tintin are among the iconic works to enter the public domain in the US from next year.
www.abc.net.au
December 17, 2024 at 4:47 AM
Perpetually annoyed by Australian articles claiming things will become public domain based on US copyright terms. Please could you interview an Australian lawyer? Sigh www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
Reposted by Bryan
Will Australia have its first national February election? And what about the WA Election Date? All the details here. antonygreen.com.au/will-austral... #auspol
December 13, 2024 at 2:27 AM
Will Australia have its first national February election? And what about the WA Election Date? All the details here. antonygreen.com.au/will-austral... #auspol
Reposted by Bryan
Carbon Neutral Canberra #4:
Electrify everything! Households' role in Canberra's next big carbon neutral push
with UC Centre for Environmental Governance director, Prof Jacki Schirmer, & UC Canberra Business School Prof Rebekah Russell-Bennett.
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/c... #auspol
Electrify everything! Households' role in Canberra's next big carbon neutral push
with UC Centre for Environmental Governance director, Prof Jacki Schirmer, & UC Canberra Business School Prof Rebekah Russell-Bennett.
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/c... #auspol
Carbon Neutral Canberra #4: Electrify everything! Households’ role in Canberra’s next big carbon neutral push
Podcast Episode · FAB Canberra · 23/10/2024 · 1 sec
podcasts.apple.com
December 11, 2024 at 6:52 AM
Carbon Neutral Canberra #4:
Electrify everything! Households' role in Canberra's next big carbon neutral push
with UC Centre for Environmental Governance director, Prof Jacki Schirmer, & UC Canberra Business School Prof Rebekah Russell-Bennett.
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/c... #auspol
Electrify everything! Households' role in Canberra's next big carbon neutral push
with UC Centre for Environmental Governance director, Prof Jacki Schirmer, & UC Canberra Business School Prof Rebekah Russell-Bennett.
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/c... #auspol
Reposted by Bryan
A very common misconception I see is that it is necessary to vote below the line in the Senate to control where your preferences go. This was true for Senate elections from 1984 to 2014 but is no longer true. (It is still true in the Vic state upper house for now.)
December 11, 2024 at 10:19 AM
A very common misconception I see is that it is necessary to vote below the line in the Senate to control where your preferences go. This was true for Senate elections from 1984 to 2014 but is no longer true. (It is still true in the Vic state upper house for now.)
Reposted by Bryan
I'm excited to announce that my complete guide to the 2025 Australian federal election is now live, all 150 House races and 8 Senate contests can be found here: www.tallyroom.com.au/aus2025
#auspol
(The only exception is the candidates section, which will be filled in later this week)
#auspol
(The only exception is the candidates section, which will be filled in later this week)
2025 Australian federal election
Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the next Australian federal election. This guide will include comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2…
www.tallyroom.com.au
December 8, 2024 at 10:55 PM
I'm excited to announce that my complete guide to the 2025 Australian federal election is now live, all 150 House races and 8 Senate contests can be found here: www.tallyroom.com.au/aus2025
#auspol
(The only exception is the candidates section, which will be filled in later this week)
#auspol
(The only exception is the candidates section, which will be filled in later this week)
Good win by Australia. Harris, Labuschange, Starc and Boland all stepping up when needed. McSweeney showing promise after Perth. #AUSvIND
December 8, 2024 at 5:54 AM
Good win by Australia. Harris, Labuschange, Starc and Boland all stepping up when needed. McSweeney showing promise after Perth. #AUSvIND