Oliver Strijbis
@ostrijbis.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science at Franklin University Switzerland; Prediction markets; Live forecasts on 50plus1.ch; Forecast Brew newsletter
Thank you!
Right, the numbers hold steady. It’s only the uncertainty that is declining. The most likely scenario is a Yes-vote share around 55%.
I do not have a prediction apart from the one of the market. It has historically shown to be pretty precise and easily outperforms my own intuitions.
Right, the numbers hold steady. It’s only the uncertainty that is declining. The most likely scenario is a Yes-vote share around 55%.
I do not have a prediction apart from the one of the market. It has historically shown to be pretty precise and easily outperforms my own intuitions.
September 22, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Thank you!
Right, the numbers hold steady. It’s only the uncertainty that is declining. The most likely scenario is a Yes-vote share around 55%.
I do not have a prediction apart from the one of the market. It has historically shown to be pretty precise and easily outperforms my own intuitions.
Right, the numbers hold steady. It’s only the uncertainty that is declining. The most likely scenario is a Yes-vote share around 55%.
I do not have a prediction apart from the one of the market. It has historically shown to be pretty precise and easily outperforms my own intuitions.
Also weil ein Politologe oder eine Politologin eine zweifelhafte Aussage gemacht hat, verstellt „Kaum etwas (…) die politische Debatte seit den 90ern so stark wie jene Politologie, die glaubt, Ökonomie nicht verstehen zu müssen…“?
July 3, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Also weil ein Politologe oder eine Politologin eine zweifelhafte Aussage gemacht hat, verstellt „Kaum etwas (…) die politische Debatte seit den 90ern so stark wie jene Politologie, die glaubt, Ökonomie nicht verstehen zu müssen…“?