OSINT KINGFISHER
@osintkingfisher.bsky.social
Mainly following the Russian invasion of Ukraine - reliably sources only
Ukraine will stop Russian fuel exports completely😃
September 24, 2025 at 8:34 PM
Ukraine will stop Russian fuel exports completely😃
The more Trump starts to believe that Ukraine can destroy Russia, the better.
It might make him start acting (sanctions?).
Because if Ukraine destroys Russia without US support, then Trump won’t get the Noble price. So he somehow needs to become part of this win to claim a decisive contribution.
It might make him start acting (sanctions?).
Because if Ukraine destroys Russia without US support, then Trump won’t get the Noble price. So he somehow needs to become part of this win to claim a decisive contribution.
September 24, 2025 at 5:15 PM
The more Trump starts to believe that Ukraine can destroy Russia, the better.
It might make him start acting (sanctions?).
Because if Ukraine destroys Russia without US support, then Trump won’t get the Noble price. So he somehow needs to become part of this win to claim a decisive contribution.
It might make him start acting (sanctions?).
Because if Ukraine destroys Russia without US support, then Trump won’t get the Noble price. So he somehow needs to become part of this win to claim a decisive contribution.
Nice article, but you have used wrong patriot numbers here:
“Ukraine currently has five Patriot batteries, three provided by the United States, as well as one from Romania and another jointly supplied by Germany and the Netherlands.”
“Ukraine currently has five Patriot batteries, three provided by the United States, as well as one from Romania and another jointly supplied by Germany and the Netherlands.”
August 15, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Nice article, but you have used wrong patriot numbers here:
“Ukraine currently has five Patriot batteries, three provided by the United States, as well as one from Romania and another jointly supplied by Germany and the Netherlands.”
“Ukraine currently has five Patriot batteries, three provided by the United States, as well as one from Romania and another jointly supplied by Germany and the Netherlands.”
The Liberian president might even be old enough to remember what the word “groceries” means
July 10, 2025 at 6:03 AM
The Liberian president might even be old enough to remember what the word “groceries” means
I don’t understand why Europe doesn’t order 10-20 SAMP/T NG for Ukraine.
Patriot is bettet for short term, but it will also keep delivering headaches because of US. The sooner SAMP/T NG is ordered, the sooner the headaches will be over.
Patriot is bettet for short term, but it will also keep delivering headaches because of US. The sooner SAMP/T NG is ordered, the sooner the headaches will be over.
July 4, 2025 at 6:05 AM
I don’t understand why Europe doesn’t order 10-20 SAMP/T NG for Ukraine.
Patriot is bettet for short term, but it will also keep delivering headaches because of US. The sooner SAMP/T NG is ordered, the sooner the headaches will be over.
Patriot is bettet for short term, but it will also keep delivering headaches because of US. The sooner SAMP/T NG is ordered, the sooner the headaches will be over.
There is a funny paradox in the message that Iran might want to share about the current state of the uranium.
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
June 26, 2025 at 8:44 PM
There is a funny paradox in the message that Iran might want to share about the current state of the uranium.
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
June 26, 2025 at 8:41 PM
There is a funny paradox in the message that Iran might want to share about the current state of the uranium.
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
June 26, 2025 at 8:41 PM
There is a funny paradox in the message that Iran might want to share about the current state of the uranium.
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
June 26, 2025 at 8:39 PM
There is a funny paradox in the message that Iran might want to share about the current state of the uranium.
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
Let’s assume both cases one by one:
June 26, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Obviously, it’s not entirely black and white. However, it does show that in both scenarios, Iran has—at the very least—some paradoxical incentives to present the opposite scenario as true. So treat their statements on the matter with even more skepticism than usual.
June 26, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Obviously, it’s not entirely black and white. However, it does show that in both scenarios, Iran has—at the very least—some paradoxical incentives to present the opposite scenario as true. So treat their statements on the matter with even more skepticism than usual.
The second case is that the uranium is actually still intact.
In that case, Iran might be perfectly fine with the world believing it has been destroyed. That illusion would give them the opportunity to continue developing nuclear weapons in secret, hoping the rest of the world lets its guard down.
In that case, Iran might be perfectly fine with the world believing it has been destroyed. That illusion would give them the opportunity to continue developing nuclear weapons in secret, hoping the rest of the world lets its guard down.
June 26, 2025 at 8:36 PM
The second case is that the uranium is actually still intact.
In that case, Iran might be perfectly fine with the world believing it has been destroyed. That illusion would give them the opportunity to continue developing nuclear weapons in secret, hoping the rest of the world lets its guard down.
In that case, Iran might be perfectly fine with the world believing it has been destroyed. That illusion would give them the opportunity to continue developing nuclear weapons in secret, hoping the rest of the world lets its guard down.
First, the case that the uranium has been destroyed.
If that’s the case, Iran has an interest in maintaining the appearance that its uranium stockpile remains intact. This could serve as a deterrent by creating the illusion that they are on the brink of developing a nuclear weapon.
If that’s the case, Iran has an interest in maintaining the appearance that its uranium stockpile remains intact. This could serve as a deterrent by creating the illusion that they are on the brink of developing a nuclear weapon.
June 26, 2025 at 8:36 PM
First, the case that the uranium has been destroyed.
If that’s the case, Iran has an interest in maintaining the appearance that its uranium stockpile remains intact. This could serve as a deterrent by creating the illusion that they are on the brink of developing a nuclear weapon.
If that’s the case, Iran has an interest in maintaining the appearance that its uranium stockpile remains intact. This could serve as a deterrent by creating the illusion that they are on the brink of developing a nuclear weapon.
You don’t hold any escalation cards anymore. All have them have already been used
June 6, 2025 at 10:31 AM
You don’t hold any escalation cards anymore. All have them have already been used
Insane! Thanks for the great work of documenting all these losses🙌🙌
May 29, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Insane! Thanks for the great work of documenting all these losses🙌🙌
Furthermore, threats and strength is the only language that Russia “understands”.
They see “de-escalations” and diplomatic solutions as invitations to keep escalating.
They see “de-escalations” and diplomatic solutions as invitations to keep escalating.
May 20, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Furthermore, threats and strength is the only language that Russia “understands”.
They see “de-escalations” and diplomatic solutions as invitations to keep escalating.
They see “de-escalations” and diplomatic solutions as invitations to keep escalating.
4 or 5 milestones?
May 13, 2025 at 8:07 AM
4 or 5 milestones?
Unfortunately it is not a new package, see:
Various international and Ukrainian media outlets have been reporting since yesterday that Germany has provided #Ukraine with a new military aid package. These are (unintentional) fake news! With this post I would like to explain how this happened.
1/6
1/6
May 8, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Unfortunately it is not a new package, see:
Het zou pas echt helpen als je je zou uitspreken om de 200+ mjd aan Oekraine te overhandigen.
Met dat bedrag kan UA zich tot de tanden bewapenen.
Als Europa dat voor elkaar had gekregen waren al deze slachtoffers helemaal niet gevallen.
Met dat bedrag kan UA zich tot de tanden bewapenen.
Als Europa dat voor elkaar had gekregen waren al deze slachtoffers helemaal niet gevallen.
May 3, 2025 at 8:08 AM
Het zou pas echt helpen als je je zou uitspreken om de 200+ mjd aan Oekraine te overhandigen.
Met dat bedrag kan UA zich tot de tanden bewapenen.
Als Europa dat voor elkaar had gekregen waren al deze slachtoffers helemaal niet gevallen.
Met dat bedrag kan UA zich tot de tanden bewapenen.
Als Europa dat voor elkaar had gekregen waren al deze slachtoffers helemaal niet gevallen.
What a mess. So how many more IRIS-T SLM to be delivered this year? 4?
April 18, 2025 at 9:27 AM
What a mess. So how many more IRIS-T SLM to be delivered this year? 4?