Ole Peters
banner
opeters.bsky.social
Ole Peters
@opeters.bsky.social
Physicist, Ergodicity Economics @london-math-lab.bsky.social and @sfiscience.bsky.social
Newsletter: ergodicityeconomics.eo.page/4ct3k
Blog: http://ergodicityeconomics.com
We don't use the term "capital" but maybe this excerpt helps, from royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10....
Our views on the role of models, meaning axioms or assumptions, are laid out on p.59 of the book.
ergodicityeconomics.com/an-introduct...
October 14, 2025 at 5:07 PM
That’s true, it’s not exactly the Ising model. Closer to a lattice gas, which can be mapped to a spin-1 Ising model…
Upshot: statistical mechanicians studied variants of these systems, around the time when Schelling proposed his model.
October 1, 2025 at 1:23 PM
I was also just thinking about ontology -- the study of being and existence -- in the context of economics.

Curiously, a number of the topics on your list are chapters in the EE textbook. Plenty of overlap.
September 26, 2025 at 2:26 PM
That's rather lovely in a non-trivial way!
At the launch party last week, we also had a big book for big ideas.
June 25, 2025 at 8:34 AM
6/
And, of course, have a look at our textbook, where we develop Ergodicity Economics, from the ground up. A fully functioning formal alternative to orthodox economic theory.
ergodicityeconomics.com/publications/
Textbook – Ergodicity Economics
ergodicityeconomics.com
May 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
5/
If you find this as interesting as I do, come along next week to listen to one of the authors, Duncan James, present the book and recent updates, in our EE seminar series:

ergodicityeconomics.com/event/semina...
Seminar. Duncan James. “Risky Curves–New Results and Future Directions” – Ergodicity Economics
ergodicityeconomics.com
May 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
4/
That was established in an admirable effort by 4 economists, experts in expected-utility theory, who reviewed 8 decades of empirical work, concluding:
"The power to predict out-of-sample is in the poor to non-existent range."

See "Risky Curves"
routledge.com/Risky-Curves...
Risky Curves: On the Empirical Failure of Expected Utility
For several decades, the orthodox economics approach to understanding choice under risk has been to assume that each individual person maximizes some sort of personal utility function defined over pur...
routledge.com
May 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
3/
What does that mean?
I would say it means that this core concept of orthodox economics -- utility -- is meaningless and misleading.
But don't take my word for it - this is known: empirically, expected-utility theory and its descendants, like prospect theory etc., don't work.
May 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
2/
I've written a blog post about this with Ollie Hulme, where we spell out the mathematics and give you an interactive app.
Try it out for yourself. Maximizing expected utility destroys actual utility.
ergodicityeconomics.com/2025/05/28/exp
Expected-utility maximizers don’t maximize utility. – Ergodicity Economics
ergodicityeconomics.com
May 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
15 years ago I started SAM, the Society for the Advancement of Mediocrity.
It went alright, and I think it was an ok idea.
May 26, 2025 at 3:59 PM
And please stay in touch and tell us what you find.
ergodicityeconomics.eo.page/4ct3k

Most of all: enjoy!
This is creative, living, science, and I think the fun we had while writing the book shines through on the page.
Ergodicity Economics mailing list
Join for all things ergodicity!
ergodicityeconomics.eo.page
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
The result is a book that will enable its readers to go far beyond it. It's not a collection of papers, nor a comprehensive survey. It's a launch pad. Absorb what's in this book and take it in entirely new directions.
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Then move to collections of individuals, then let them interact. At each level our thinking is informed by the ergodicity problem: how does our perspective change when we move from a statistical-ensemble perspective to a temporal perspective?
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
We start by introducing tools we found to be useful over the years, wherever they came from. Next we think about a single person making trivial decisions, then increase the complexity of the decisions one step at a time. We create a temporal context, and add ignorance.
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
And we ended up with a delightful book. A textbook that you can actually read because it outlines the beginning of a new field. It's deliberate, systematic, and maximally simple.
ergodicityeconomics.com/publications/
Textbook – Ergodicity Economics
ergodicityeconomics.com
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
We unified, simplified, and systematized.
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
We collected earlier work by researchers who had also asked the ergodicity question, explicitly or implicitly. We traced this problem back over the centuries, found relevant tricks in books on physics, signal processing, economics, mathematics.
ergodicityeconomics.com/2024/02/05/e...
Ergodicity economics — a history – Ergodicity Economics
ergodicityeconomics.com
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
The ergodicity question remained the key to it all: do we think of randomness as variation across time or as variation across multiple systems, real or imagined?

So we called what we were doing "Ergodicity economics."
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
May 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM