Andrew Murray Ph.D (Once _Was_Arnold)
@oncewasarnold.bsky.social
Smart people notice everything that’s there
Even smarter people also notice what should be there - but isn’t
Unfortunately, complete loonies see stuff that isn’t there too
Critical thinking is how we tell the difference
Even smarter people also notice what should be there - but isn’t
Unfortunately, complete loonies see stuff that isn’t there too
Critical thinking is how we tell the difference
The whole point is to get rid of inconveniently competent, honest, professional leaders.
October 1, 2025 at 4:48 AM
The whole point is to get rid of inconveniently competent, honest, professional leaders.
SA has many sites of world wide geological significance/interest. The sharp boundary here marks the Acraman bolide impact layer - an extinction level event in the Ediacaran. This specimen from Brachina Gorge in the Flinders Ranges, picked up with the yellow tail wallabies looking on solemnly.
September 26, 2025 at 9:58 AM
SA has many sites of world wide geological significance/interest. The sharp boundary here marks the Acraman bolide impact layer - an extinction level event in the Ediacaran. This specimen from Brachina Gorge in the Flinders Ranges, picked up with the yellow tail wallabies looking on solemnly.
Unbelievable. Never knew these beautiful things existed - until today. Geraldton visitor centre, Western Australia, upstairs out of the way, display of photography by Colombian artist Maria Fernanda Cardoso. Then come home and this pops up on BlueSky !
September 10, 2025 at 4:41 AM
Unbelievable. Never knew these beautiful things existed - until today. Geraldton visitor centre, Western Australia, upstairs out of the way, display of photography by Colombian artist Maria Fernanda Cardoso. Then come home and this pops up on BlueSky !
If they are using AI (and you know they are because the real stuff is in short supply), the preamble is going read like this:
September 4, 2025 at 4:29 AM
If they are using AI (and you know they are because the real stuff is in short supply), the preamble is going read like this:
And here it is
September 4, 2025 at 4:25 AM
And here it is
Latest WW C19 data from WA is out - very good to see ! Flu and some not flu not C19 not RSV unpleasant bugs are knocking family and friends about but C19 heading down @mikehoney.bsky.social @mackayim.bsky.social
August 1, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Latest WW C19 data from WA is out - very good to see ! Flu and some not flu not C19 not RSV unpleasant bugs are knocking family and friends about but C19 heading down @mikehoney.bsky.social @mackayim.bsky.social
Yes, I think it’s that. Compare the yellow line (cases from testing recorded) and the blue line (wastewater count) in this chart. The majority of infections in Western Australia in the last three years have not been recorded. My guess is that less than 5% of ppl have never had Covid.
July 21, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Yes, I think it’s that. Compare the yellow line (cases from testing recorded) and the blue line (wastewater count) in this chart. The majority of infections in Western Australia in the last three years have not been recorded. My guess is that less than 5% of ppl have never had Covid.
Summer waves are bigger than winter ones in Australia (I think it is only coincidentally seasonal). We are in the onset of another “winter” wave now driven by NB1.8.1 and it’s already bigger than this years small summer wave. Very low vax uptake now
June 29, 2025 at 12:18 AM
Summer waves are bigger than winter ones in Australia (I think it is only coincidentally seasonal). We are in the onset of another “winter” wave now driven by NB1.8.1 and it’s already bigger than this years small summer wave. Very low vax uptake now
On the 153rd day of June, the C19 in Perth wastewater is going up again @mikehoney.bsky.social @thecovidinfoguy.bsky.social @amnewtonphd.bsky.social
June 26, 2025 at 7:08 AM
On the 153rd day of June, the C19 in Perth wastewater is going up again @mikehoney.bsky.social @thecovidinfoguy.bsky.social @amnewtonphd.bsky.social
Flu was almost eliminated in Australia during the period of closed borders (and vaccination)
June 14, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Flu was almost eliminated in Australia during the period of closed borders (and vaccination)
It’s hard to say how it will trend in one place vs another because the population immunity “landscapes” differ. For example, we normally get our biggest wave in our summer but the most recent one was quite muted. So there are fewer people still immune now (and vax rates have cratered).
May 31, 2025 at 11:42 PM
It’s hard to say how it will trend in one place vs another because the population immunity “landscapes” differ. For example, we normally get our biggest wave in our summer but the most recent one was quite muted. So there are fewer people still immune now (and vax rates have cratered).
New data released today (from analyses of a week ago, averaging the prior two weeks.
May 30, 2025 at 2:40 AM
New data released today (from analyses of a week ago, averaging the prior two weeks.
New data released today. WW count translates to about 50 new cases/100,000 people per day and rising fast
May 30, 2025 at 2:37 AM
New data released today. WW count translates to about 50 new cases/100,000 people per day and rising fast
It’s almost a textbook case of muddled communication - and ATAGI is largely to blame, in my opinion, for a mess of recommendations, permissions, suggestions all broken down by age and nebulous self risk assessments. Meanwhile, now up to about 1000 new cases a day in Perth, based on WW data
May 30, 2025 at 2:26 AM
It’s almost a textbook case of muddled communication - and ATAGI is largely to blame, in my opinion, for a mess of recommendations, permissions, suggestions all broken down by age and nebulous self risk assessments. Meanwhile, now up to about 1000 new cases a day in Perth, based on WW data
@flinty01.bsky.social Perth wastewater spike to 16/9 is dominated by this new variant. Numbers are only being reported every fortnight now, which is a long time if one is trying to plan to minimise exposure and react. D’ya reckon there’s any chance that might go back to weekly ?
May 29, 2025 at 2:14 AM
@flinty01.bsky.social Perth wastewater spike to 16/9 is dominated by this new variant. Numbers are only being reported every fortnight now, which is a long time if one is trying to plan to minimise exposure and react. D’ya reckon there’s any chance that might go back to weekly ?
Yes. They average over 14 days but the last update of this chart before the current one (data to 16/5) was 3/5 from memory
May 23, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Yes. They average over 14 days but the last update of this chart before the current one (data to 16/5) was 3/5 from memory
Definitely another wave beginning in WA, as shown by the most reliable indicator (wastewater). The summer wave was the smallest yet, let’s hope this one stays small too.
May 23, 2025 at 9:29 AM
Definitely another wave beginning in WA, as shown by the most reliable indicator (wastewater). The summer wave was the smallest yet, let’s hope this one stays small too.
C19 was eradicated in Western Australia until the border opened in March 22. Two Omicron waves followed that year and also in 23 and 24. Early on, with widespread testing, cases followed the wastewater curve very closely. Levels are low now but vax rates decreasing so we may see a resurgence
April 24, 2025 at 3:50 AM
C19 was eradicated in Western Australia until the border opened in March 22. Two Omicron waves followed that year and also in 23 and 24. Early on, with widespread testing, cases followed the wastewater curve very closely. Levels are low now but vax rates decreasing so we may see a resurgence
@amnewtonphd.bsky.social I’m encouraged, despite the small uptick this week to see levels staying low. If we also get a lower winter peak I reckon we can say, at least with the current variant mix, we are seeing some broad immunity developed. What do you think ?
April 11, 2025 at 1:33 AM
@amnewtonphd.bsky.social I’m encouraged, despite the small uptick this week to see levels staying low. If we also get a lower winter peak I reckon we can say, at least with the current variant mix, we are seeing some broad immunity developed. What do you think ?
Has stayed down another week - lowest wastewater count since the beginning of measurement. Doesn’t mean risk is gone, but community transmission is low right now.
March 18, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Has stayed down another week - lowest wastewater count since the beginning of measurement. Doesn’t mean risk is gone, but community transmission is low right now.
Hasn’t happened in WA up to a week ago. Will be interesting to see if there is an uptick this coming week
March 16, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Hasn’t happened in WA up to a week ago. Will be interesting to see if there is an uptick this coming week
“If you really think the world is flat, Russell, wouldn’t you, of all people sign up for the most exciting surfing event ?”
March 14, 2025 at 6:41 AM
“If you really think the world is flat, Russell, wouldn’t you, of all people sign up for the most exciting surfing event ?”
The same experiment happened in the 4x larger population of Australia. Furthermore, the isolated state of Western Australia is a sub-experiment with no significant infection until 3 mo after the rest and with > 80% adults triple vaxxed by then.
March 7, 2025 at 2:07 AM
The same experiment happened in the 4x larger population of Australia. Furthermore, the isolated state of Western Australia is a sub-experiment with no significant infection until 3 mo after the rest and with > 80% adults triple vaxxed by then.
This question comes up from time to time. Here is my Aranet 4 at 8000’ (unpressurised) over the Peel-Harvey inlet.
It’s a lot of nerdy fun having one - it records continuously and is WiFi enabled. It shows when the wind direction changes during the might and when visitors arrive during the day
It’s a lot of nerdy fun having one - it records continuously and is WiFi enabled. It shows when the wind direction changes during the might and when visitors arrive during the day
February 17, 2025 at 11:46 PM
This question comes up from time to time. Here is my Aranet 4 at 8000’ (unpressurised) over the Peel-Harvey inlet.
It’s a lot of nerdy fun having one - it records continuously and is WiFi enabled. It shows when the wind direction changes during the might and when visitors arrive during the day
It’s a lot of nerdy fun having one - it records continuously and is WiFi enabled. It shows when the wind direction changes during the might and when visitors arrive during the day