Okabeep
@okabeep.bsky.social
Mostly lurking OSINT or global news/politics. May occasionally do some geolocation, make hot takes, or post something mildly amusing.
Reposted by Okabeep
Reposted by Okabeep
There are huge risks the US is walking into around Venezuela that could lead to scenarios I outlined below 5 weeks ago
But as with any dictatorship, Maduro's weak internal legitimacy made him and Venezuela vulnerable to external military intervention
bsky.app/profile/aphc...
But as with any dictatorship, Maduro's weak internal legitimacy made him and Venezuela vulnerable to external military intervention
bsky.app/profile/aphc...
Plausible worst case scenario with Venezuela in four steps:
1. Rubio and Venezuelan exiles sell the idea of decapitation strikes against Maduro to Trump as the one big thing that solves Venezuela, cartels and Cuba for the US.
1. Rubio and Venezuelan exiles sell the idea of decapitation strikes against Maduro to Trump as the one big thing that solves Venezuela, cartels and Cuba for the US.
January 3, 2026 at 10:54 AM
There are huge risks the US is walking into around Venezuela that could lead to scenarios I outlined below 5 weeks ago
But as with any dictatorship, Maduro's weak internal legitimacy made him and Venezuela vulnerable to external military intervention
bsky.app/profile/aphc...
But as with any dictatorship, Maduro's weak internal legitimacy made him and Venezuela vulnerable to external military intervention
bsky.app/profile/aphc...
Reposted by Okabeep
Anyway, it's hard to see how this makes the US more secure. And I can't help looking at the pictures of this massive naval deployment and thinking about how much it cost relative to giving Ukraine what it needs to defend itself. 10/10
January 3, 2026 at 2:37 PM
Anyway, it's hard to see how this makes the US more secure. And I can't help looking at the pictures of this massive naval deployment and thinking about how much it cost relative to giving Ukraine what it needs to defend itself. 10/10
Always happy to support the Hornets! I'm hoping for a flag!
January 1, 2026 at 11:41 PM
Always happy to support the Hornets! I'm hoping for a flag!
Bring down more Shaheds!
December 3, 2025 at 3:59 AM
Bring down more Shaheds!
$50 sent. Keep fighting the good fight!
November 20, 2025 at 3:42 PM
$50 sent. Keep fighting the good fight!