Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
A major policy signal.
A major policy signal.
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
“It’s a big industry now.”
Wall Street is watching.
“It’s a big industry now.”
Wall Street is watching.
State of the Union.
Feb 24, 2026.
Invited by Speaker Johnson.
History in the making. 🔥
2026 will be a year of winning.
State of the Union.
Feb 24, 2026.
Invited by Speaker Johnson.
History in the making. 🔥
2026 will be a year of winning.
It’s industrial.
Whoever builds batteries, EVs, and solar at scale controls the next era of power.
It’s industrial.
Whoever builds batteries, EVs, and solar at scale controls the next era of power.
It’ll be taken by machines that can walk, lift, recover from falls, and work 24/7 in the real world.
It’ll be taken by machines that can walk, lift, recover from falls, and work 24/7 in the real world.
It’ll be taken by machines that can walk, lift, recover from falls, and work 24/7 in the real world.
It’ll be taken by machines that can walk, lift, recover from falls, and work 24/7 in the real world.
No, I don't regret my vote. This is perfect.
No, I don't regret my vote. This is perfect.
#stockmarket
#stocks
#money
#stockmarket
#stocks
#money