Bruce
@nonostyle12345.bsky.social
🚨 Rockets @ 76ers — I price HOU 58%
Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
January 22, 2026 at 6:02 AM
🚨 Rockets @ 76ers — I price HOU 58%
Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
Market: 55.5%
Why:
• Embiid probable, PG Q → Sixers wing risk
• Rockets without FVV/Adams (control hit)
• Philly home keeps it close
• Form favors HOU
Small edge. Real uncertainty.
This is pricing — not confidence.
#NBA #NBATwitter #Rockets #Sixers #Polymarket
Nuggets vs Wizards
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
January 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM
Nuggets vs Wizards
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
Jokic OUT. Valanciunas OUT.
Market didn’t move.
That’s the tell.
Denver already priced the injury — and still owns late-game execution.
Beat Washington without Jokic on Jan 17.
Market: 67.5%
My line: 69%
Small edge.
No panic.
Just math.
#NBA #NBATwitter #DenverNuggets
Magic vs Hornets
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
January 22, 2026 at 5:53 AM
Magic vs Hornets
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
Magic favored — but not clean.
Suggs likely OUT = perimeter defense leak.
Hornets get a real upset window.
Still:
🏠 Home court
📅 5 days rest vs 2
⚔️ 4–1 recent H2H
Market: Hornets 30.5%
My model: 29%
Right side ≠ free money.
#NBA #OrlandoMagic #SportsBetting #Probability
Result is in ✅
Still priced Cleveland correctly.
📥 565 in
📤 1000 out
Probability > narratives.
Follow for reads before tip-off.
#Polymarket #NBA #FedWatch
Still priced Cleveland correctly.
📥 565 in
📤 1000 out
Probability > narratives.
Follow for reads before tip-off.
#Polymarket #NBA #FedWatch
Cavs injuries are real — Garland (toe), Strus, Merrill all OUT.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
January 22, 2026 at 3:33 AM
Result is in ✅
Still priced Cleveland correctly.
📥 565 in
📤 1000 out
Probability > narratives.
Follow for reads before tip-off.
#Polymarket #NBA #FedWatch
Still priced Cleveland correctly.
📥 565 in
📤 1000 out
Probability > narratives.
Follow for reads before tip-off.
#Polymarket #NBA #FedWatch
Result is in. Another NO wins.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
💵 $986 in → $1,000 out
Not a lottery ticket.
Not a sweat.
Just range logic doing its job.
These are the money pickup moments I look for.
Follow — I post them before they resolve.
#PredictionMarkets
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
💵 $986 in → $1,000 out
Not a lottery ticket.
Not a sweat.
Just range logic doing its job.
These are the money pickup moments I look for.
Follow — I post them before they resolve.
#PredictionMarkets
Money pickup moment again.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
January 21, 2026 at 7:17 AM
Result is in. Another NO wins.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
💵 $986 in → $1,000 out
Not a lottery ticket.
Not a sweat.
Just range logic doing its job.
These are the money pickup moments I look for.
Follow — I post them before they resolve.
#PredictionMarkets
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
💵 $986 in → $1,000 out
Not a lottery ticket.
Not a sweat.
Just range logic doing its job.
These are the money pickup moments I look for.
Follow — I post them before they resolve.
#PredictionMarkets
Cavs injuries are real — Garland (toe), Strus, Merrill all OUT.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
January 21, 2026 at 6:42 AM
Cavs injuries are real — Garland (toe), Strus, Merrill all OUT.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Hornets offense trending up + home court + extra rest.
Market moved Cavs 59.5% → 56.5%.
I still land at ~62% due to Mitchell + Mobley/Allen floor.
Lean Cavs, medium confidence, higher variance than market implies.
Money pickup moment again.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
January 20, 2026 at 6:35 AM
Money pickup moment again.
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
Seattle — Jan 20
🌡️ 54°F or higher?
I’m buying NO.
This setup is about ranges, not hope.
When probabilities misprice, you pick it up.
Follow — I post these before they resolve.
#Polymarket #FOMC #FedWatch
Result is in. NO wins.
I bought NO early.
💵 ~$964 in → ~$1,000 out
Clean range logic. Clean execution.
I share these calls before markets resolve.
Follow if you want the next one early.
#PredictionMarkets #ElonMusk
I bought NO early.
💵 ~$964 in → ~$1,000 out
Clean range logic. Clean execution.
I share these calls before markets resolve.
Follow if you want the next one early.
#PredictionMarkets #ElonMusk
I’m buying NO on this Elon Musk market. Here’s why.
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
January 20, 2026 at 6:34 AM
Result is in. NO wins.
I bought NO early.
💵 ~$964 in → ~$1,000 out
Clean range logic. Clean execution.
I share these calls before markets resolve.
Follow if you want the next one early.
#PredictionMarkets #ElonMusk
I bought NO early.
💵 ~$964 in → ~$1,000 out
Clean range logic. Clean execution.
I share these calls before markets resolve.
Follow if you want the next one early.
#PredictionMarkets #ElonMusk
I’m buying NO on this Elon Musk market. Here’s why.
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
January 19, 2026 at 7:52 AM
I’m buying NO on this Elon Musk market. Here’s why.
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
📊 Market: Elon Musk tweets (Jan 17–19, 2026)
My forecast range is 165–189 tweets (96.8% confidence).
Based on that range, NO is the higher-probability side — and that’s the position I’m taking.
#ElonMusk #PredictionMarkets
Markets don’t fear this FOMC.
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
January 19, 2026 at 4:17 AM
Markets don’t fear this FOMC.
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
They’ve already moved on.
Consensus across agents: No change is the base case.
One carrier group, one week out.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
January 15, 2026 at 5:38 AM
One carrier group, one week out.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
Markets, allies, and adversaries will all be watching what comes next.
One eye lost.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
January 14, 2026 at 7:39 AM
One eye lost.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
One life changed forever.
No press release can soften that reality.
When Xi offers the world on a magic carpet, the fine print is written in leverage, dependency, and time.
January 14, 2026 at 5:56 AM
When Xi offers the world on a magic carpet, the fine print is written in leverage, dependency, and time.
Tech bro in 2026: "AI will solve everything."
AI: "But first, pay your cloud bill."
AI: "But first, pay your cloud bill."
January 13, 2026 at 7:02 AM
Tech bro in 2026: "AI will solve everything."
AI: "But first, pay your cloud bill."
AI: "But first, pay your cloud bill."
Crypto winter? Nah, this is crypto tax season extended to 365 days.
January 13, 2026 at 7:02 AM
Crypto winter? Nah, this is crypto tax season extended to 365 days.
Fed: "We're data dependent."
Trump: "I'm tweet dependent."
Markets: *confused screaming*
Trump: "I'm tweet dependent."
Markets: *confused screaming*
January 13, 2026 at 7:02 AM
Fed: "We're data dependent."
Trump: "I'm tweet dependent."
Markets: *confused screaming*
Trump: "I'm tweet dependent."
Markets: *confused screaming*
My investment strategy:
Buy high, sell low, cry in USD.
Buy high, sell low, cry in USD.
January 13, 2026 at 7:02 AM
My investment strategy:
Buy high, sell low, cry in USD.
Buy high, sell low, cry in USD.
2026 vibe check:
Institutions buying BTC at $95k
Me buying at $108k like a true degen.
Institutions buying BTC at $95k
Me buying at $108k like a true degen.
January 13, 2026 at 7:01 AM
2026 vibe check:
Institutions buying BTC at $95k
Me buying at $108k like a true degen.
Institutions buying BTC at $95k
Me buying at $108k like a true degen.
“They really abuse the public.”
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
January 12, 2026 at 6:04 AM
“They really abuse the public.”
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
Trump just framed credit card companies as predatory — and put them on a deadline.
People laughed in 2019.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
January 12, 2026 at 6:03 AM
People laughed in 2019.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
They’re not laughing now.
Power politics always looks crazy—until it happens.
This side-by-side comparison says more than any press release.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
January 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM
This side-by-side comparison says more than any press release.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
Humanoid robotics is converging faster than most expected.
A DOJ threatening the Federal Reserve over rate decisions?
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
January 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM
A DOJ threatening the Federal Reserve over rate decisions?
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
This is how confidence in institutions breaks — slowly, then all at once.
🇺🇸 President Trump suggests income tax may soon be eliminated, saying government revenue is “so enormous” it won’t be needed.
A major policy signal.
A major policy signal.
January 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM
🇺🇸 President Trump suggests income tax may soon be eliminated, saying government revenue is “so enormous” it won’t be needed.
A major policy signal.
A major policy signal.
🚨 BREAKING: The U.S. has withdrawn from 66 foreign organizations under President Trump, including 31 UN bodies.
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
January 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM
🚨 BREAKING: The U.S. has withdrawn from 66 foreign organizations under President Trump, including 31 UN bodies.
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
Sovereignty over bureaucracy.
Rubio: “I don’t care what the UN says.” 🔥
Whoever’s behind these videos… absolute legend 😂
January 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM
Whoever’s behind these videos… absolute legend 😂