Noah Gordon
@noahjgordon.bsky.social
I research climate change at the Carnegie Endowment
Reposted by Noah Gordon
🤡OIL DEMAND WILL KEEP RISING🤡
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
November 12, 2025 at 6:10 AM
🤡OIL DEMAND WILL KEEP RISING🤡
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
No oil peak until 2035, even under stated policies (pink line). No gas peak in sight. Grim stuff
November 12, 2025 at 11:16 AM
No oil peak until 2035, even under stated policies (pink line). No gas peak in sight. Grim stuff
The seat in the British Museum where Karl Marx studied “productive forces”? It was G7.
Fun nugget. @johncassidysays.bsky.social really did his homework for this book
Fun nugget. @johncassidysays.bsky.social really did his homework for this book
November 11, 2025 at 12:35 AM
The seat in the British Museum where Karl Marx studied “productive forces”? It was G7.
Fun nugget. @johncassidysays.bsky.social really did his homework for this book
Fun nugget. @johncassidysays.bsky.social really did his homework for this book
Insightful thoughts here on why capital owners may oppose decarbonization.
It's like opposition to unions: it's not about wages necessarily but about who has the power in the workplace
It's like opposition to unions: it's not about wages necessarily but about who has the power in the workplace
The problem from their point of view is that rapid decarbonization requires public, collective decisions about the organization of production, in a way that threaten capital-owners' authority over both the production process and the political system.
November 10, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Insightful thoughts here on why capital owners may oppose decarbonization.
It's like opposition to unions: it's not about wages necessarily but about who has the power in the workplace
It's like opposition to unions: it's not about wages necessarily but about who has the power in the workplace
The big story we're missing about AI is the opportunity cost of having all the electricians build data centers instead of constructing power plants or electrifying homes.
OpenAI claims it needs 20% of US electricians and mechanics! www.latitudemedia.com/news/openai-...
OpenAI claims it needs 20% of US electricians and mechanics! www.latitudemedia.com/news/openai-...
November 7, 2025 at 6:33 PM
The big story we're missing about AI is the opportunity cost of having all the electricians build data centers instead of constructing power plants or electrifying homes.
OpenAI claims it needs 20% of US electricians and mechanics! www.latitudemedia.com/news/openai-...
OpenAI claims it needs 20% of US electricians and mechanics! www.latitudemedia.com/news/openai-...
A quarter of the power added in the US this year will be batteries--four times as much batteries as gas. This is your fossil fuel king? www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
November 3, 2025 at 3:52 PM
A quarter of the power added in the US this year will be batteries--four times as much batteries as gas. This is your fossil fuel king? www.eia.gov/todayinenerg...
We've made such progress on climate change that we've cleared the very high bar of "less bad than a extinction-level meteor"
November 3, 2025 at 3:10 PM
We've made such progress on climate change that we've cleared the very high bar of "less bad than a extinction-level meteor"
A great day for addressing symptoms and not causes
October 25, 2025 at 1:52 AM
A great day for addressing symptoms and not causes
Reposted by Noah Gordon
We usually assess the climate crisis by a single metric: greenhouse gas emissions. But that’s just one metric, and it’s not enough. Assuming that humans control a “global thermostat,” says @noahjgordon.bsky.social, is dangerous.
Noah explains why for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Noah explains why for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Humans Think They Can Control the Climate Thermostat. That’s a Problem for Climate Policy.
The cessation and mass removal of emissions would not simply turn back the clock.
carnegieendowment.org
October 24, 2025 at 5:37 PM
We usually assess the climate crisis by a single metric: greenhouse gas emissions. But that’s just one metric, and it’s not enough. Assuming that humans control a “global thermostat,” says @noahjgordon.bsky.social, is dangerous.
Noah explains why for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Noah explains why for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Reposted by Noah Gordon
The oceans and land mop up about half of the carbon that humans emit. Until they don't.
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
October 23, 2025 at 7:49 PM
The oceans and land mop up about half of the carbon that humans emit. Until they don't.
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The oceans and land mop up about half of the carbon that humans emit. Until they don't.
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
October 23, 2025 at 7:49 PM
The oceans and land mop up about half of the carbon that humans emit. Until they don't.
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
My new piece on the weakening of natural carbon sinks, and the fallacy that we humans have our hands on a global thermostat, is out now for
@carnegieendowment.org
carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Reposted by Noah Gordon
The best thread of the year?
The best thread of the year.
The best thread of the year.
1. To opinions! Solar is the cheapest source of bulk electricity in many countries, and the quickest to deploy, and now you couldn't stop it being built if you wanted to. The limits to PV build in most places are grid access, permitting, and sometimes installation labour.
October 20, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The best thread of the year?
The best thread of the year.
The best thread of the year.
Graphic of the day: Earth's drift towards climate tipping points.
Humans determine the fate of the energy transition, not the climate. The thermostat can easily slip out of our hands.
Humans determine the fate of the energy transition, not the climate. The thermostat can easily slip out of our hands.
October 20, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Graphic of the day: Earth's drift towards climate tipping points.
Humans determine the fate of the energy transition, not the climate. The thermostat can easily slip out of our hands.
Humans determine the fate of the energy transition, not the climate. The thermostat can easily slip out of our hands.
‘Lord, limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, but not yet.’”
IPCC chair Jim Skea dropping bars
IPCC chair Jim Skea dropping bars
October 17, 2025 at 5:13 PM
‘Lord, limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, but not yet.’”
IPCC chair Jim Skea dropping bars
IPCC chair Jim Skea dropping bars
It's useful to compare the required speed of potential climate solutions to the fastest ever transformations driven by the profit motive.
Left is @bentleyallan.bsky.social (w/me), on minerals
Right is Turner et al in Nature, on BECCS
Left is @bentleyallan.bsky.social (w/me), on minerals
Right is Turner et al in Nature, on BECCS
October 17, 2025 at 4:57 PM
It's useful to compare the required speed of potential climate solutions to the fastest ever transformations driven by the profit motive.
Left is @bentleyallan.bsky.social (w/me), on minerals
Right is Turner et al in Nature, on BECCS
Left is @bentleyallan.bsky.social (w/me), on minerals
Right is Turner et al in Nature, on BECCS
Are you reading The Long Heat yet? Natura facit saltus...
@wimcarton.bsky.social
@wimcarton.bsky.social
October 17, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Are you reading The Long Heat yet? Natura facit saltus...
@wimcarton.bsky.social
@wimcarton.bsky.social
Reposted by Noah Gordon
Argentina edition of Libertarian bible
October 11, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Argentina edition of Libertarian bible
This is my quant
RFK Jr: "When my uncle was president, the fertility rate in this country was 3.5%. Today it is 1.6%. The replacement rate -- in other words the amount of fertility you need to keep your population even -- is 2.1%. We are below replacement. That is a national security threat to our country."
October 16, 2025 at 9:53 PM
This is my quant
We talk about CO2 emissions, but we really care about CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.
If the land & oceans no longer soak up half of the carbon humans emit--and the land sink disappeared in 2023--we are in a whole new ballgame.
2024 saw the biggest increase ever.
If the land & oceans no longer soak up half of the carbon humans emit--and the land sink disappeared in 2023--we are in a whole new ballgame.
2024 saw the biggest increase ever.
October 16, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We talk about CO2 emissions, but we really care about CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.
If the land & oceans no longer soak up half of the carbon humans emit--and the land sink disappeared in 2023--we are in a whole new ballgame.
2024 saw the biggest increase ever.
If the land & oceans no longer soak up half of the carbon humans emit--and the land sink disappeared in 2023--we are in a whole new ballgame.
2024 saw the biggest increase ever.
The US is threatening all those who support the IMO carbon tax. This is rogue state behavior
October 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
The US is threatening all those who support the IMO carbon tax. This is rogue state behavior
“The U.S. Empire’s boomerang is not confined to the 19th and 20th centuries… Today, local police forces cruise around small U.S. towns in bomb-proof quasi-tanks recycled from Iraq and Afghanistan.”
October 15, 2025 at 11:17 PM
“The U.S. Empire’s boomerang is not confined to the 19th and 20th centuries… Today, local police forces cruise around small U.S. towns in bomb-proof quasi-tanks recycled from Iraq and Afghanistan.”
I'm putting together a team
October 14, 2025 at 6:50 PM
I'm putting together a team
Reposted by Noah Gordon
Tomorrow!
Join me to discuss combatting the New Climate Denialism at @carnegieendowment.org this Wednesday, Oct 1 in DC or online, along with my co-panelists @jeremywallace.bsky.social, @cathfraser.bsky.social, @leonardom-d.bsky.social, @noahjgordon.bsky.social and more. carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...
Climate Clarity: Combatting New Denialism in the United States
A conversation on how to combat denialism and advance climate solutions.
carnegieendowment.org
September 30, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Tomorrow!
Reposted by Noah Gordon
Join me to discuss combatting the New Climate Denialism at @carnegieendowment.org this Wednesday, Oct 1 in DC or online, along with my co-panelists @jeremywallace.bsky.social, @cathfraser.bsky.social, @leonardom-d.bsky.social, @noahjgordon.bsky.social and more. carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...
Climate Clarity: Combatting New Denialism in the United States
A conversation on how to combat denialism and advance climate solutions.
carnegieendowment.org
September 29, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Join me to discuss combatting the New Climate Denialism at @carnegieendowment.org this Wednesday, Oct 1 in DC or online, along with my co-panelists @jeremywallace.bsky.social, @cathfraser.bsky.social, @leonardom-d.bsky.social, @noahjgordon.bsky.social and more. carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...
Free speech is back in the USA 🦅🚀
September 29, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Free speech is back in the USA 🦅🚀