1 - This is not the same level data that was used in Clark County's analysis and cannot be compared to it. However the anomaly in Erie is most prevalent between 55-85% turnout which is a pattern I've noticed in precinct level data. 2 - PA does not (and will not) release CVR or ballot image data.
February 19, 2025 at 9:37 PM
1 - This is not the same level data that was used in Clark County's analysis and cannot be compared to it. However the anomaly in Erie is most prevalent between 55-85% turnout which is a pattern I've noticed in precinct level data. 2 - PA does not (and will not) release CVR or ballot image data.
Yes, that is normal. That's representative of the two-party system. Trump vote share+Harris vote share almost always comes out being close to 100 so it makes sense they are roughly inverses of each other.
February 19, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Yes, that is normal. That's representative of the two-party system. Trump vote share+Harris vote share almost always comes out being close to 100 so it makes sense they are roughly inverses of each other.
Compare polling place data (PA combines early vote and election day data in their reporting) with mail-in and provisional data. See how in mail-in and provisional Harris votes are concentrated towards the top and hardly interact at all with Trump votes?
February 12, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Compare polling place data (PA combines early vote and election day data in their reporting) with mail-in and provisional data. See how in mail-in and provisional Harris votes are concentrated towards the top and hardly interact at all with Trump votes?
Happy to help! And I have a 2020 Early Vote chart but the CVR files are a nightmare to work with on my laptop and I'm having trouble accessing the election day data. You can see that there is a very similar trend here to 2024.
February 1, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Happy to help! And I have a 2020 Early Vote chart but the CVR files are a nightmare to work with on my laptop and I'm having trouble accessing the election day data. You can see that there is a very similar trend here to 2024.
OK here they are. This is showing Clark County votes separated by type and represented as bins of tabulators that had total ballots cast between a certain number. For ED it is grouped by 5s and EV is 25s. Please note that on ED Harris has more votes in tabs with more ballots. People did show up.
February 1, 2025 at 9:14 PM
OK here they are. This is showing Clark County votes separated by type and represented as bins of tabulators that had total ballots cast between a certain number. For ED it is grouped by 5s and EV is 25s. Please note that on ED Harris has more votes in tabs with more ballots. People did show up.
Lol hang on, I think I shared the wrong ones -- (EV still looks wacky, I just finally shot myself in the foot with my terrible ADHD spreadsheets and mixed up a few charts)
February 1, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Lol hang on, I think I shared the wrong ones -- (EV still looks wacky, I just finally shot myself in the foot with my terrible ADHD spreadsheets and mixed up a few charts)
I didn't consider doing that, and I saw how you do it. Awesome idea. I was complaining today how TT uses accessibility tools like captions to help censor people.. I love the idea of using an accessibility tool to enhance posts for everybody!
February 1, 2025 at 6:50 PM
I didn't consider doing that, and I saw how you do it. Awesome idea. I was complaining today how TT uses accessibility tools like captions to help censor people.. I love the idea of using an accessibility tool to enhance posts for everybody!
Again, thank you so much for your willingness to educate and for the kind but firm reminder to check myself. I view the ultra-religious comms as being vulnerable and my irritation is and was due to the perception of that being taken advantage of but I will channel it more sensitively + appropriately
January 31, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Again, thank you so much for your willingness to educate and for the kind but firm reminder to check myself. I view the ultra-religious comms as being vulnerable and my irritation is and was due to the perception of that being taken advantage of but I will channel it more sensitively + appropriately