Nicole 🎹🐢
nicoleplayspiano.bsky.social
Nicole 🎹🐢
@nicoleplayspiano.bsky.social
Figuring out how to use this!
🎶 Music Director, ♿️ Autistic Advocate, 🏆 Drama Desk Winner
1 - This is not the same level data that was used in Clark County's analysis and cannot be compared to it. However the anomaly in Erie is most prevalent between 55-85% turnout which is a pattern I've noticed in precinct level data.
2 - PA does not (and will not) release CVR or ballot image data.
February 19, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Just for fun, though, here are two of my favorite instances of third party or extreme vote behavior throwing off the symmetry of the chart:
February 19, 2025 at 4:28 AM
Yes, that is normal. That's representative of the two-party system. Trump vote share+Harris vote share almost always comes out being close to 100 so it makes sense they are roughly inverses of each other.
February 19, 2025 at 4:24 AM
That's a great question but I'm not sure.
February 18, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Yes. And several other PA counties I have checked.
February 14, 2025 at 3:32 AM
I'm not sure, I haven't checked all 67 counties. I believe most but not all have published precinct level results
February 14, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Precinct level :)
February 14, 2025 at 3:10 AM
PA doesn't release CVR data. This is all precinct level.
February 14, 2025 at 2:35 AM
Compare polling place data (PA combines early vote and election day data in their reporting) with mail-in and provisional data. See how in mail-in and provisional Harris votes are concentrated towards the top and hardly interact at all with Trump votes?
February 12, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Reposted by Nicole 🎹🐢
Sojourner Truth’s real speech, not the one that was doctored to sound more “slave like”

www.thesojournertruthproject.com
The Sojourner Truth Project
Read the most accurate version of Sojourner Truth’s “Ain’t I a woman” speech. And hear it as she would’ve sounded, in her upper New York State low-Dutch accent.  Sojourner Truth’s original “Ain’t I a ...
www.thesojournertruthproject.com
February 2, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Happy to help! And I have a 2020 Early Vote chart but the CVR files are a nightmare to work with on my laptop and I'm having trouble accessing the election day data. You can see that there is a very similar trend here to 2024.
February 1, 2025 at 10:12 PM
OK here they are. This is showing Clark County votes separated by type and represented as bins of tabulators that had total ballots cast between a certain number. For ED it is grouped by 5s and EV is 25s. Please note that on ED Harris has more votes in tabs with more ballots. People did show up.
February 1, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Lol hang on, I think I shared the wrong ones -- (EV still looks wacky, I just finally shot myself in the foot with my terrible ADHD spreadsheets and mixed up a few charts)
February 1, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Hang on, I think I shared the wrong one for Election Day 🤪 (Juggling too many charts!!!!) Standby please
February 1, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Yeah, MO looks funny. In St. Louis County DJT always overperforms senate candidate, KH mostly underperforms. Same dropoff behavior as swing states.
February 1, 2025 at 7:07 PM
I didn't consider doing that, and I saw how you do it. Awesome idea. I was complaining today how TT uses accessibility tools like captions to help censor people.. I love the idea of using an accessibility tool to enhance posts for everybody!
February 1, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Again, thank you so much for your willingness to educate and for the kind but firm reminder to check myself. I view the ultra-religious comms as being vulnerable and my irritation is and was due to the perception of that being taken advantage of but I will channel it more sensitively + appropriately
January 31, 2025 at 8:39 PM