Neil Paine
banner
neilpaine.bsky.social
Neil Paine
@neilpaine.bsky.social
Sports data guy, writer, editor, podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor, proud Georgia Tech alum. https://neilpaine.substack.com/
I wrote today about Chloe Covell, Rayssa Leal and the trend of the best female skateboarders in the world today being absurdly young relative to both their male counterparts and historical norms: neilpaine.substack.com/p/the-future...
November 20, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Just a few years ago, Detroit was the capital of America’s struggling sports cities. Now it’s on the upswing again — fueled by the incredible rise of the Lions as current Super Bowl favorites. neilpaine.substack.com/p/can-the-li...
January 17, 2025 at 6:39 PM
With a 12% chance to make the playoffs, the Bengals are in danger of wasting an amazing Joe Burrow season. But sadly, that’s nothing new for Cincinnati over the history of the franchise: neilpaine.substack.com/p/nobody-was...
January 3, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Focusing on Lamar Jackson’s play this year, I wrote about the strange psychology of MVP voting (not just in the NFL), and how a defending multi-time MVP with the best numbers of his career can somehow be a heavy underdog to win again: neilpaine.substack.com/p/voter-fati...
December 30, 2024 at 4:56 PM
The NY Rangers are in a tailspin right now, having lost 11 of 14 games with a -1.5 GPG diff. But making things worse is that the schedule only gets harder. According to Elo ratings, NYR has faced the EASIEST schedule of any team so far; their SOS rises to 4th-HARDEST over the rest of the season.
December 18, 2024 at 4:40 PM
Red Bull finishing third in the F1 constructor’s standings — and McLaren winning it! — seemed unthinkable a year ago. But as we’ve seen before, today’s dominant team can quickly become tomorrow’s third-place outfit once it reaches some kind of tipping point. neilpaine.substack.com/p/how-red-bu...
December 17, 2024 at 9:41 PM
The Thunder are big favorites to win the NBA Cup right now. But the rest of the field are no slouches — and that includes the Hawks, who are the team that most consistently aligns their play to the level of the competition (for good or bad) this season. neilpaine.substack.com/p/basketball...
December 13, 2024 at 8:46 PM