Nicolás de la Cerda
banner
ndelacerda.bsky.social
Nicolás de la Cerda
@ndelacerda.bsky.social
Post-Doctoral Fellow
Center for Inter-American Policy and Research
Tulane University
2) Affective Polarization Patterns: In Peru, outgroup animosity substantially outweighs ingroup favoritism across multiple measures. Citizens are more motivated to oppose the "other side" than support their own.
June 26, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Why this asymmetry? Two potential explanations:

1) Low Political Trust: When citizens receive political cues, they face conflicting signals, a shared identity (Fujimorismo/anti-Fujimorismo) from a distrusted source (politicians). This creates cross-pressure that weakens ingroup effects.
June 26, 2025 at 7:35 PM
I conducted a survey experiment with 1,546 Peruvians, randomly exposing them to Fujimorista or anti-Fujimorista cues attached to real policy proposals currently discussed in Congress. Results show that political cues significantly influence policy preferences even without strong partisan brands.
June 26, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Yet despite these harsh conditions for partisan attachments, Peru has two enduring non-partisan political identities: Fujimorismo and anti-Fujimorismo. These are defined not by party loyalty, but by opposing stances on the country's authoritarian past under Alberto Fujimori.
June 26, 2025 at 7:35 PM
I test this argument in Peru, an extreme case of party system breakdown. Between 2015 and 2024, Peru had seven presidents, averaging just 1.1 years per president.
June 26, 2025 at 7:35 PM